(anonymous) 0xa1b141…fc6a83
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$129
Unrealized P&L
+$118
Hit rate
9.0%
Resolved
70
Trades
3,920
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-27 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
52% 12% -$75
Politics
42% 19% -$22
Tech
3% 0% -$32
Sports
2% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 333 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +465 $342 83¢ $386 +$45 10-16 18:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +363 $297 83¢ $301 +$4 10-08 18:57
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +250 $205 99¢ $246 +$41 10-09 00:14
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +272 $54 63¢ $172 +$118 10-14 07:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +264 $132 55¢ $147 +$15 10-07 20:03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +170 $121 83¢ $141 +$20 10-19 19:01
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +182 $138 72¢ $132 -$6 10-07 23:35
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +160 $107 80¢ $127 +$20 10-08 05:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +264 $138 44¢ $117 -$21 10-07 23:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +170 $108 68¢ $117 +$8 10-09 18:50
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +153 $111 72¢ $111 $0 10-10 11:50
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +151 $106 72¢ $109 +$3 10-27 00:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +165 $103 66¢ $108 +$5 10-24 06:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +151 $104 68¢ $103 -$1 10-07 03:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +201 $105 50¢ $101 -$4 10-25 21:58
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +270 $220 37¢ $99 -$121 10-14 07:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $99 50¢ $99 +$0 10-25 21:58
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $86 98¢ $98 +$12 10-09 01:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +150 $112 64¢ $96 -$17 10-26 20:16
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +124 $80 77¢ $95 +$16 10-08 16:07
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +112 $103 82¢ $91 -$12 10-10 09:38
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +100 $64 88¢ $88 +$25 10-20 19:33
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +114 $74 77¢ $88 +$13 10-07 23:46
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +479 $128 17¢ $81 -$46 10-16 18:55
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $0 10-26 11:03
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +90 $78 84¢ $76 -$2 10-22 01:48
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +100 $55 72¢ $72 +$17 10-17 17:04
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +80 $63 87¢ $69 +$5 10-14 18:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $78 69¢ $69 -$9 10-26 00:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +120 $76 55¢ $66 -$10 10-10 04:55