Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved (90d)
580
Trades (90d)
6,938
6,938 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$66.4K
$66.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$732
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-30 11:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
63% 46% -$1,244
Politics
27% 47% -$493
Sports
4% 30% -$62
Tech
3% 67% +$11
Crypto
2% 20% -$30
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 500 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +80 $34 89¢ $71 +$37 10-19 20:24
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +50 $38 97¢ $48 +$10 10-23 16:48
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$8 10-21 15:25
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +50 $15 91¢ $45 +$30 10-22 18:23
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 77¢ $38 +$4 10-16 00:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +40 $37 93¢ $37 +$1 10-30 08:25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +42 $30 86¢ $37 +$6 10-16 16:48
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $26 59¢ $30 +$3 10-17 19:24
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +50 $31 56¢ $28 -$3 10-22 08:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +50 $19 46¢ $23 +$4 10-22 10:07
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +38 $21 61¢ $23 +$2 10-30 08:50
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +50 $18 44¢ $22 +$4 10-22 08:40
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +50 $24 41¢ $20 -$3 10-17 19:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +57 $20 33¢ $19 -$1 10-22 13:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 10-30 05:22
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:24
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +19 $14 94¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:44
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +25 $15 67¢ $17 +$2 10-22 10:24
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$0 10-30 07:20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +50 $16 33¢ $16 +$0 10-22 13:32
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +20 $13 80¢ $16 +$3 10-23 14:49
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $16 53¢ $16 +$0 10-18 12:21
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +40 $18 39¢ $16 -$2 10-30 08:50
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +20 $15 72¢ $14 -$1 10-20 14:44
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +20 $15 72¢ $14 -$1 10-30 08:12
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $14 47¢ $14 $0 10-16 12:24
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 69¢ $14 -$1 10-30 09:15
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +20 $10 61¢ $12 +$3 10-29 07:08
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +18 $11 67¢ $12 +$1 10-22 10:24
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $13 23¢ $10 -$3 10-29 09:59