Realized P&L
-$1.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
680
Trades
12,128
lifetime
Volume
$132.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 11-01 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
55% 47% -$1,289
Politics
35% 47% -$508
Tech
4% 69% +$17
Sports
4% 30% -$62
Crypto
2% 25% -$59
Pop-Culture
1% 67% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 2022 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +240 $221 93¢ $223 +$2 11-01 10:03
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +180 $162 91¢ $164 +$2 11-01 12:43
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +177 $131 76¢ $135 +$4 10-31 13:47
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +130 $127 98¢ $128 +$0 11-01 01:54
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +120 $113 95¢ $114 +$2 10-31 02:41
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +88 $73 88¢ $78 +$4 11-01 06:22
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +92 $75 82¢ $76 +$1 11-01 17:50
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +80 $34 92¢ $73 +$39 10-19 20:24
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +116 $70 63¢ $73 +$3 11-01 15:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +100 $64 70¢ $70 +$5 11-01 09:28
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +106 $69 64¢ $68 -$1 11-01 17:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +103 $64 62¢ $64 +$0 11-01 15:18
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +100 $65 62¢ $62 -$3 10-30 13:00
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +69 $59 87¢ $60 +$2 11-01 11:04
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +85 $61 70¢ $60 -$1 11-01 20:48
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +100 $58 59¢ $59 +$1 11-01 16:13
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +90 $53 62¢ $56 +$3 10-30 18:47
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +140 $64 39¢ $54 -$10 11-01 12:34
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +50 $38 98¢ $49 +$10 10-23 16:48
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +50 $38 95¢ $47 +$9 10-21 15:25
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +80 $47 55¢ $44 -$4 10-31 14:03
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +52 $40 82¢ $43 +$2 11-01 02:38
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +115 $46 37¢ $43 -$3 11-01 15:04
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +100 $44 41¢ $41 -$2 11-01 11:27
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +63 $38 64¢ $41 +$3 11-01 15:04
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +66 $39 60¢ $40 +$1 11-01 17:14
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $26 80¢ $40 +$13 10-17 19:24
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 10-16 00:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +103 $40 38¢ $39 -$1 11-01 15:18
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +163 $44 24¢ $38 -$6 10-31 13:47