Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 25%-30%?
open
Total volume
$5,927
$31 in 24h
Trades
379
Unique wallets
80
Liquidity
$10,184
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-21
last 11-05 15:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.6¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $439
vs crowd: 32% YES on $4.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $403 | $1.6K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $835 | $912 | $77 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $12 | $152 | $140 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $41 | $41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $35 | $404 | $368 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $346 | $82 | +$264 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $119 | $15 | +$103 |
| Median | 2 | $107 | $38 | +$69 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $31 | $93 | $62 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $155 | $389 | $235 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $458 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +469 | $63 | $63 | 13 | 11-05 15:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +269 | $196 | $196 | 13 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +250 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +250 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +148 | $113 | $113 | 7 | 10-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +120 | $101 | $124 | 5 | 10-23 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +120 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 10-23 23:36 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +111 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 09-20 04:08 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +100 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 11-02 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +95 | $29 | $40 | 7 | 11-02 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +95 | $71 | $72 | 6 | 11-03 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | +85 | -$80 | $592 | 21 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +77 | -$91 | $328 | 4 | 09-23 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | No | +61 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-04 02:47 |
| Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | +61 | $27 | $144 | 9 | 11-04 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +60 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 11-01 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 10-10 11:14 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +53 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 09-20 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | +50 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-22 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +48 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-13 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +48 | $37 | $39 | 5 | 10-13 01:08 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-27 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +40 | $15 | $18 | 4 | 11-01 23:04 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-01 23:04 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +40 | $35 | $60 | 4 | 10-10 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 11-02 14:45 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +38 | $22 | $44 | 11 | 11-04 02:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 11-05 15:58 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +31 | $3 | $26 | 6 | 11-04 09:38 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $16 | 3 | 10-26 17:05 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +30 | $29 | $159 | 9 | 10-22 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +29 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 09-20 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +27 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-30 01:10 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +25 | $22 | $120 | 9 | 10-10 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 17:05 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +22 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-10 13:04 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-10 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-11 14:42 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $27 | 6 | 10-13 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-02 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-10 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-21 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-01 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-10 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-10 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-10 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 09-20 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-01 22:10 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-02 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $15 | $46 | 3 | 10-10 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-19 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-19 22:37 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +15 | $7 | $12 | 3 | 10-27 13:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 15:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x4f751d… |
| 11-05 15:58:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4f751d… |
| 11-04 20:34:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd39c1c… |
| 11-04 20:34:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 85 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd39c1c… |
| 11-04 09:38:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a07b1… |
| 11-04 09:38:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a07b1… |
| 11-04 09:38:30 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | SELL | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x6a07b1… |
| 11-04 09:38:30 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6a07b1… |
| 11-04 05:32:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 36 | 90¢ | $33 | 0xf85e22… |
| 11-04 05:32:34 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | BUY | 36 | 90¢ | $33 | 0xf85e22… |
| 11-04 04:27:07 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9d3b27… |
| 11-04 04:27:07 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9d3b27… |
| 11-04 02:47:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x0f9d09… |
| 11-04 02:47:27 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0f9d09… |
| 11-04 02:47:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0f9d09… |
| 11-04 02:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 | No | BUY | 61 | 88¢ | $54 | 0x0f9d09… |
| 11-03 05:00:10 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 35 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x05a60a… |
| 11-03 05:00:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9c0fbc… |
| 11-03 05:00:10 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x9c0fbc… |
| 11-03 05:00:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x05a60a… |
| 11-03 04:59:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x910f18… |
| 11-03 04:59:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x910f18… |
| 11-03 00:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x81a678… |
| 11-03 00:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x81a678… |
| 11-02 17:01:52 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x1c67f2… |
| 11-02 17:01:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x1c67f2… |
| 11-02 14:45:06 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xa16488… |
| 11-02 14:45:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xa16488… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xa7ec0a… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 31 | 77¢ | $23 | 0xf702f9… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xa7ec0a… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 26¢ | $20 | 0xa7ec0a… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 31 | 77¢ | $23 | 0xf702f9… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 21 | 77¢ | $16 | 0xabcea3… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 21 | 77¢ | $16 | 0xabcea3… |
| 11-02 14:44:51 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xa7ec0a… |
| 11-02 00:55:48 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x85ea34… |
| 11-02 00:55:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x85ea34… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x1c68b0… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | SELL | 515 | 32¢ | $163 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 60 | 32¢ | $19 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 37 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x1c68b0… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 210 | 71¢ | $150 | 0x1c68b0… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x1c68b0… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x7213a3… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 27¢ | $18 | 0x1c68b0… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 210 | 32¢ | $66 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 137 | 69¢ | $95 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 44 | 68¢ | $30 | 0x7c66c2… |
| 11-02 00:55:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x7213a3… |
| 11-02 00:41:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x238f2f… |
| 11-02 00:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x238f2f… |
| 11-01 23:26:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 70¢ | $17 | 0x3e2137… |
| 11-01 23:26:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 70¢ | $17 | 0x3e2137… |
| 11-01 23:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x1123ea… |
| 11-01 23:15:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 68¢ | $16 | 0x1123ea… |
| 11-01 23:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf81d4b… |
| 11-01 23:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf81d4b… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x13fdce… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xd4e233… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xd4e233… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x81e6d9… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | No | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0xe2f911… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x13fdce… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xe2f911… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x81e6d9… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xd4e233… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xd4e233… |
| 11-01 23:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0xd4e233… |
| 11-01 22:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xb9616a… |
| 11-01 22:11:51 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xb9616a… |
| 11-01 22:10:40 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x9c4d22… |
| 11-01 22:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x9c4d22… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xce9142… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xfd0054… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xfd0054… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xce9142… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc4f2e6… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc4f2e6… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 44 | 77¢ | $34 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 361 | 23¢ | $82 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 23¢ | $16 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 11-01 22:10:15 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x2dc34e… |
| 10-31 15:24:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x538395… |
| 10-31 15:24:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x538395… |
| 10-30 01:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 27 | 76¢ | $21 | 0x5dd7f5… |
| 10-30 01:10:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x5dd7f5… |