(anonymous) 0x0479be…ca8177 Create alert
whale bot cold 10L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$318
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved
8,231
Trades
22,499
lifetime
Volume
$121.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 11-07 10:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
51% 24% -$1,535
Politics
29% 2% -$534
Crypto
12% 75% -$127
Tech
5% 9% -$114
Sports
3% 3% -$44
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 402 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +212 $161 99¢ $210 +$50 11-04 11:39
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +156 $119 80¢ $125 +$6 11-04 13:59
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027? Yes +149 $92 75¢ $112 +$20 11-07 04:12
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? No +126 $71 72¢ $91 +$20 11-02 16:40
Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? No +92 $72 98¢ $90 +$18 10-28 06:30
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No +110 $46 76¢ $84 +$38 11-06 05:38
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +92 $58 78¢ $72 +$14 11-06 09:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +73 $34 98¢ $72 +$37 10-30 05:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +78 $52 81¢ $63 +$11 11-04 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +74 $58 84¢ $62 +$5 11-07 01:04
Government shutdown by December 31? No +89 $55 62¢ $55 +$0 11-07 02:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? Yes +66 $53 80¢ $53 $0 11-07 00:12
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? No +56 $50 94¢ $53 +$3 10-27 18:36
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +72 $38 72¢ $52 +$14 10-27 17:05
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026? No +60 $45 82¢ $50 +$4 11-02 13:13
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $35 83¢ $49 +$15 11-02 14:51
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? No +77 $53 64¢ $49 -$4 11-03 18:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$4 11-04 09:40
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 11-05 11:39
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? No +58 $42 83¢ $48 +$6 11-02 17:15
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +60 $45 80¢ $48 +$3 11-04 19:10
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? No +49 $30 97¢ $47 +$17 11-03 00:49
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026? No +69 $39 68¢ $47 +$8 11-06 07:52
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +60 $38 78¢ $47 +$9 10-25 05:56
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? No +60 $39 74¢ $45 +$6 11-02 06:29
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +68 $41 66¢ $45 +$3 11-06 08:42
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? No +59 $42 74¢ $44 +$2 11-03 15:34
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting? No +58 $35 76¢ $44 +$8 11-04 14:59
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 +$0 11-06 20:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $43 85¢ $42 $0 11-06 14:41