Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved

1,690

Trades

11,313

lifetime

Volume

$72.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 10-28 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

69% 7% -$1,155

Politics

20% 4% -$241

Sports

8% 2% -$68

Tech

2% 6% -$27

Crypto

1% 6% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 538 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy closes above 780 on october 16 2026	14	$258	140	140	+0	No	-$2	10-16 11:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	22	$236	220	220	+0	open	—	10-20 05:57
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	12	$221	120	120	+0	No	-$2	10-15 10:41
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	32	$217	285	285	+0	open	—	10-17 06:32
will xauusd reach 4500 in october 2026	19	$193	165	165	+0	open	—	10-19 05:10
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	14	$192	140	140	+0	open	—	10-19 10:04
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	18	$165	129	129	+0	open	—	10-19 09:04
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	16	$155	140	140	+0	open	—	10-15 06:42
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	15	$153	140	140	+0	open	—	10-18 19:46
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	10	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 03:49
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	16	$123	160	160	+0	open	—	10-18 19:12
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	9	$122	80	80	+0	open	—	10-21 07:52
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15	16	$118	140	140	+0	open	—	10-16 08:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	10	$116	100	100	+0	No	-$2	10-16 05:42
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	12	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	10-17 06:41
wti closes above 93 on october 16 2026	9	$112	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	10-16 10:53
will coin reach 182 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	7	$110	80	60	+20	Yes	-$1	10-15 19:15
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	9	$110	80	80	+0	No	-$2	10-14 09:25
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	7	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-16 05:12
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?	7	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 09:23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	8	$107	77	77	+0	No	-$1	10-16 05:20
Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	7	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	10-16 06:48
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?	9	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	10-15 04:23
will hood reach 120 in september 2026 from september 19	6	$96	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	09-20 09:12
wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	6	$95	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	09-23 05:24
Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	6	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	10-18 01:27
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	10-21 05:12
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	18	$87	160	160	+0	open	—	10-11 16:45
Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?	12	$85	58	58	+0	No	$0	10-18 15:30
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	16	$84	128	128	+0	open	—	10-15 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:30:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	58	51¢	$29	0x328341…
10-27 15:59:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xf7403d…
10-27 15:59:26	Will Macklin Celebrini record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xff2f4f…
10-27 15:59:18	Will Lea Jansen qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x392795…
10-27 15:59:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x696de9…
10-25 09:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x285452…
10-25 09:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x6733fb…
10-25 09:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4344ea…
10-25 09:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x512372…
10-25 09:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1f42ad…
10-25 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5d6e33…
10-25 09:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf27e3f…
10-25 09:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x70aa5b…
10-22 01:43:47	Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xfe6bb1…
10-22 01:43:42	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x0dee1d…
10-22 01:43:33	Will Jonathan Taylor have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x5bc496…
10-22 01:43:23	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x94c975…
10-22 01:43:15	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x6460d1…
10-21 08:13:50	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x87d574…
10-21 08:13:44	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x94322b…
10-21 07:52:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe8a948…
10-21 07:42:24	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x9d373d…
10-21 07:29:47	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x8ccf56…
10-21 06:31:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x57cfe1…
10-21 06:31:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe94429…
10-21 06:31:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xaa4bc4…
10-21 05:12:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xa2cfb2…
10-21 05:12:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xf1cc71…
10-21 04:32:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0xcd7aa5…
10-21 04:32:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0x2febd2…
10-21 01:17:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 12%-15%?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x4f2c80…
10-21 01:17:08	Will Mauricio Pochettino leave the USMNT before the 2027 Gold Cup?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xe2ac1e…
10-21 01:17:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xebfb25…
10-21 01:16:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xcd3766…
10-21 01:16:47	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe746da…
10-21 01:16:41	Will Christian McCaffrey have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x6c79ce…
10-20 12:00:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8fc561…
10-20 12:00:42	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x43c555…
10-20 11:38:56	Will Caleb Williams be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3db1b8…
10-20 11:38:47	Will Caleb Williams be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd7037d…
10-20 11:07:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5d29be…
10-20 11:07:06	Will Jalen Hurts have 28.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbc4734…
10-20 11:06:57	Will Jalen Hurts have 28.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe7e7a1…
10-20 11:03:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x294d83…
10-20 11:03:26	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x083b63…
10-20 10:39:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb1136a…
10-20 10:29:12	Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x25c5e2…
10-20 10:18:50	Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x18b74c…
10-20 10:18:42	Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xdc836f…
10-20 10:18:42	Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xb31dc9…
10-20 10:13:02	Will Ideogram have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9f02d9…
10-20 10:13:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 15%-18%?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe7e510…
10-20 10:12:54	Will Ideogram have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x481688…
10-20 10:12:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x117b6b…
10-20 09:54:59	Will Matthew Golden have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x932e3e…
10-20 09:54:51	Will Matthew Golden have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xba9080…
10-20 09:33:14	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x86cb44…
10-20 09:19:50	Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x598011…
10-20 09:19:41	Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1faecf…
10-20 08:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd49d2d…
10-20 08:58:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5727b3…
10-20 08:25:37	Will Jonathan Taylor have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xccc3a8…
10-20 08:15:20	Will Christian McCaffrey have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x91d595…
10-20 08:13:28	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6fddaa…
10-20 08:12:40	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x771804…
10-20 08:08:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x0148cd…
10-20 08:08:19	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x34534f…
10-20 07:48:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x21367e…
10-20 07:37:11	Will Lily Gladstone be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0d4e1f…
10-20 07:37:04	Will Lily Gladstone be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xf2959b…
10-20 07:37:04	Will Lily Gladstone be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x2d8fd4…
10-20 07:36:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x36ae8d…
10-20 07:23:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3fe85c…
10-20 07:22:25	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x547b09…
10-20 06:56:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x768607…
10-20 06:56:22	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf9b98a…
10-20 06:34:55	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x4b13b3…
10-20 06:34:50	Will Jalen Hurts have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa01220…
10-20 06:34:44	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xac6255…
10-20 06:28:52	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x56ffa5…
10-20 06:28:02	Will San Diego State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb2e391…
10-20 06:27:55	Will San Diego State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaa1dbf…
10-20 06:26:40	Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xbbebff…
10-20 06:26:05	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x23844a…
10-20 06:25:55	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2957a6…
10-20 06:25:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xacc8b6…
10-20 06:09:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x11cbc8…
10-20 06:07:10	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaea2ae…
10-20 05:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x4106eb…
10-20 05:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5171ec…
10-20 05:48:50	Will George Kittle have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x56eeee…
10-20 05:48:42	Will George Kittle have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbdc268…
10-20 05:43:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x9a8d92…
10-20 05:42:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0e4ce1…
10-20 05:42:02	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7d7f87…
10-20 05:40:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 70%-75%?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xcff925…
10-20 05:40:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 70%-75%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7efdda…
10-20 05:40:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 60% or more?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x36e5b1…
10-20 05:40:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 60% or more?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa7e348…
10-20 05:37:17	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x296f3b…