Scary-Holder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

159

Trades

1,402

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-30 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 98% $-9

Other

33% 100% +$13

Politics

23% 0% —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	29	$1.5K	2,063	2,063	+0	open	—	03-18 12:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$1.1K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	20	$814	858	1,058	-200	open	—	03-13 14:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$718	780	1,180	-400	open	—	03-09 19:57
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	6	$652	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$606	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 21:49
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	25	$579	500	600	-100	open	—	03-14 15:54
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	34	$548	489	488	+1	open	—	03-18 11:39
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$499	544	544	+0	open	—	03-12 22:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$483	566	566	+0	open	—	03-13 17:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	15	$466	496	496	+0	open	—	03-18 03:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$451	281	281	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$406	1,952	1,952	+0	open	—	03-17 18:07
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 21:10
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$374	274	274	+0	open	—	03-17 09:50
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$372	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 00:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	18	$372	384	384	+0	open	—	03-13 23:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$372	385	385	+0	open	—	03-14 10:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$363	214	214	+0	open	—	03-17 09:26
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	25	$353	524	524	+0	open	—	03-12 23:17
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	23	$342	346	346	+0	open	—	03-14 16:35
spx up or down on march 10 2026	4	$319	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 21:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$287	199	199	+0	open	—	03-09 19:26
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 22:13
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$237	150	150	+0	open	—	03-13 16:06
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	4	$236	200	300	-100	open	—	03-13 01:07
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$218	326	326	+0	open	—	03-16 21:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	5	$205	220	220	+0	open	—	03-11 13:54
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$198	139	139	+0	open	—	03-16 16:42
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$186	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:44:10	xrp updown 15m 1782844200	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd87497…
06-30 18:44:07	btc updown 15m 1782844200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc01e1c…
06-30 15:56:14	xrp up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcb4f06…
06-30 15:38:16	ethereum up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2c93ee…
06-30 15:38:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc46d91…
06-30 07:54:55	btc updown 4h 1782792000	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x5c9f78…
06-30 07:54:52	xrp updown 4h 1782792000	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x117b68…
06-30 06:43:26	doge updown 15m 1782801000	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x42adf8…
06-30 06:43:23	btc updown 15m 1782801000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf7ba4a…
06-30 04:58:14	btc updown 15m 1782794700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4a69a4…
06-30 04:58:10	xrp updown 15m 1782794700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xce37e7…
06-30 04:58:07	eth updown 15m 1782794700	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xee4967…
06-30 04:14:46	sol updown 15m 1782792000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x59be62…
06-29 23:34:10	sol updown 5m 1782775800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x400e7a…
06-29 22:28:20	sol updown 15m 1782771300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1d63d8…
06-29 21:57:19	xrp up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x51ba9c…
06-29 20:37:41	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x242ff6…
06-29 19:13:40	btc updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb0af26…
06-29 19:13:35	eth updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc106d4…
06-29 18:19:56	eth updown 5m 1782756900	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd6c9a…
06-29 18:19:53	sol updown 5m 1782756900	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x13a865…
06-29 17:09:35	sol updown 5m 1782752700	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd9ec12…
06-29 08:59:14	eth updown 5m 1782723300	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x6b5431…
06-29 00:24:25	eth updown 5m 1782692400	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf49caa…
06-28 23:52:37	btc updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcea22a…
06-28 18:59:23	eth updown 5m 1782672900	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd2061a…
06-28 18:59:20	xrp updown 5m 1782672900	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x2c9eb1…
06-28 18:59:14	sol updown 5m 1782672900	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe8eec4…
06-28 18:58:37	xrp updown 15m 1782672300	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x12e33a…
06-28 17:14:20	sol updown 5m 1782666600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xddcbde…
06-28 17:14:13	eth updown 15m 1782666000	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xfd437e…
06-28 14:56:23	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x252bf9…
06-28 05:58:40	sol updown 15m 1782625500	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x222a92…
06-28 05:58:37	btc updown 15m 1782625500	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x101a59…
06-28 03:56:34	solana up or down june 27 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xdda7db…
06-28 03:50:47	xrp updown 4h 1782604800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0ac314…
06-28 02:55:49	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5559c4…
06-27 23:50:47	btc updown 4h 1782590400	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x293336…
06-27 23:49:50	sol updown 5m 1782603900	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9295d1…
06-27 23:49:47	eth updown 5m 1782603900	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xeaf90d…
06-27 20:49:55	eth updown 5m 1782593100	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc412d1…
06-27 18:56:14	solana up or down june 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3c0de9…
06-27 18:14:08	sol updown 5m 1782583800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe2f1ae…
06-27 15:42:08	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x368901…
06-27 15:34:49	solana up or down on june 27 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1e4424…
06-27 15:34:47	ethereum up or down on june 27 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6c3f8e…
06-27 15:34:43	bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xd1900c…
06-27 12:13:20	eth updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9461f…
06-27 12:13:17	btc updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9e6392…
06-27 12:13:14	sol updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x903ae6…
06-26 22:57:47	solana up or down june 26 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xfe8c2b…
06-26 20:46:14	ng up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7eb088…
06-26 17:13:23	btc updown 15m 1782493200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7b9f08…
06-26 10:43:37	btc updown 15m 1782469800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa29409…
06-26 10:43:34	eth updown 15m 1782469800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaefe19…
06-26 10:43:29	sol updown 15m 1782469800	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6597ae…
06-26 10:29:11	xrp updown 5m 1782469500	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7b0a79…
06-26 10:29:07	sol updown 5m 1782469500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x821051…
06-26 10:29:04	eth updown 15m 1782468900	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xfa0626…
06-26 10:28:59	xrp updown 15m 1782468900	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xedd787…
06-26 09:14:35	btc updown 15m 1782464400	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8a3c4c…
06-26 09:14:32	sol updown 15m 1782464400	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1e221a…
06-26 05:14:26	sol updown 15m 1782450000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5e5372…
06-26 03:43:22	eth updown 15m 1782444600	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x881391…
06-26 03:13:22	eth updown 15m 1782442800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd447b4…
06-26 02:58:40	btc updown 15m 1782441900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf36d2e…
06-24 22:55:46	solana up or down june 24 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x17a366…
06-24 22:28:14	sol updown 15m 1782339300	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x560987…
06-24 22:28:11	eth updown 15m 1782339300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd26f31…
06-24 19:14:26	btc updown 5m 1782328200	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf859d7…
06-24 19:14:23	eth updown 5m 1782328200	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf023df…
06-24 17:09:37	sol updown 5m 1782320700	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x09d117…
06-24 17:09:34	xrp updown 5m 1782320700	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x391c4a…
06-24 17:09:31	btc updown 5m 1782320700	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95925f…
06-24 16:58:26	btc updown 15m 1782319500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e3b1c…
06-24 16:58:22	xrp updown 15m 1782319500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x29a9e4…
06-24 11:53:50	btc updown 4h 1782288000	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x91c0c7…
06-23 23:56:43	ethereum up or down june 23 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x14ff5c…
06-23 22:43:41	btc updown 15m 1782253800	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xf5b399…
06-23 18:55:17	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3833e2…
06-23 15:40:11	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x37ba34…
06-23 15:30:34	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaf82b9…
06-23 13:28:23	eth updown 15m 1782220500	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88b2b2…
06-23 13:28:19	btc updown 15m 1782220500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x27d65b…
06-23 13:28:14	eth updown 15m 1782220500	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9161bf…
06-23 13:28:14	eth updown 15m 1782220500	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x54bd4b…
06-23 12:28:14	sol updown 15m 1782216900	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x254365…
06-23 09:13:19	xrp updown 15m 1782205200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4390ee…
06-23 05:56:31	xrp up or down june 23 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa53466…
06-23 04:34:19	btc updown 5m 1782189000	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf84c62…
06-23 01:57:37	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x73c6db…
06-23 01:28:16	btc updown 15m 1782177300	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x3a61fb…
06-23 00:57:46	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xdc5919…
06-22 22:29:25	btc updown 5m 1782167100	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6672d7…
06-22 20:43:17	sol updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x80b524…
06-22 20:43:13	eth updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x236f21…
06-22 20:38:47	wti closes above 74 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xc01484…
06-22 18:43:31	xrp updown 15m 1782153000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4fee35…
06-22 18:43:25	btc updown 15m 1782153000	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x547880…
06-22 12:43:07	btc updown 15m 1782131400	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9a374e…