Scary-Holder 0xdc53b9…92cb5e
whale bot cold 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$227
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
2,091
Trades
9,711
lifetime
Volume
$133.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 86% -$1,145
Other
23% 60% -$399
Politics
11% 27% -$162
Tech
1% 100% +$10
Sports
1% 20% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +122 $38 94¢ $114 +$76 10-24 12:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 46¢ $113 -$23 10-28 02:24
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +195 $82 54¢ $104 +$22 10-26 12:08
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +100 $79 82¢ $82 +$3 10-25 12:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +135 $76 60¢ $81 +$5 10-27 14:34
No one announced as next James Bond? No +100 $80 76¢ $76 -$5 10-23 18:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +150 $79 48¢ $72 -$7 10-28 07:34
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +100 $76 69¢ $69 -$7 10-26 12:56
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +99 $52 64¢ $64 +$12 10-21 16:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +135 $52 40¢ $54 +$2 10-28 04:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +92 $39 56¢ $52 +$14 10-27 23:12
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +100 $44 52¢ $52 +$8 10-26 15:41
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +100 $56 50¢ $50 -$5 10-25 18:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +100 $41 50¢ $50 +$8 10-24 21:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +50 $39 94¢ $47 +$8 10-18 14:52
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $23 93¢ $46 +$24 10-22 21:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +50 $34 91¢ $46 +$12 10-13 19:04
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +50 $36 88¢ $44 +$8 10-23 16:56
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +50 $37 86¢ $43 +$6 10-21 21:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$3 10-13 15:23
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 82¢ $41 +$2 10-26 00:57
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 10-19 13:23
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +92 $51 44¢ $40 -$11 10-27 00:34
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +50 $36 80¢ $40 +$4 10-23 17:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +43 $18 92¢ $40 +$21 10-22 13:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $18 80¢ $40 +$22 10-21 14:27
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +109 $45 36¢ $39 -$6 10-26 14:53
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +50 $39 76¢ $38 -$1 10-28 02:31
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +40 $22 91¢ $36 +$14 10-10 20:16
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +50 $18 71¢ $35 +$17 10-22 01:35