Scary-Holder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

159

Trades

1,122

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-09 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$13

Crypto

33% 98% $-9

Politics

27% 0% —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	29	$1.5K	2,063	2,063	+0	open	—	03-18 12:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$1.1K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	20	$814	858	1,058	-200	open	—	03-13 14:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$718	780	1,180	-400	open	—	03-09 19:57
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	6	$652	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$606	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 21:49
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	25	$579	500	600	-100	open	—	03-14 15:54
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	34	$548	489	488	+1	open	—	03-18 11:39
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$499	544	544	+0	open	—	03-12 22:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$483	566	566	+0	open	—	03-13 17:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	15	$466	496	496	+0	open	—	03-18 03:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$451	281	281	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$406	1,952	1,952	+0	open	—	03-17 18:07
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 21:10
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$374	274	274	+0	open	—	03-17 09:50
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$372	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 00:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	18	$372	384	384	+0	open	—	03-13 23:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$372	385	385	+0	open	—	03-14 10:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$363	214	214	+0	open	—	03-17 09:26
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	25	$353	524	524	+0	open	—	03-12 23:17
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	23	$342	346	346	+0	open	—	03-14 16:35
spx up or down on march 10 2026	4	$319	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 21:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$287	199	199	+0	open	—	03-09 19:26
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 22:13
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$237	150	150	+0	open	—	03-13 16:06
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	4	$236	200	300	-100	open	—	03-13 01:07
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$218	326	326	+0	open	—	03-16 21:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	5	$205	220	220	+0	open	—	03-11 13:54
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$198	139	139	+0	open	—	03-16 16:42
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$186	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:58:10	xrp up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x12e346…
06-09 22:34:19	sol updown 5m 1781044200	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2c0b21…
06-09 22:34:16	doge updown 5m 1781044200	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x79a6ea…
06-09 20:14:09	bnb updown 5m 1781035800	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4c49ba…
06-09 20:14:06	sol updown 15m 1781035200	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x17a84e…
06-09 18:14:54	bnb updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x621234…
06-09 18:14:49	sol updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcd86f9…
06-09 18:14:45	doge updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb7eac6…
06-09 15:43:43	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xad892c…
06-09 14:14:21	bnb updown 5m 1781014200	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x007a95…
06-09 12:39:22	doge updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x34261a…
06-09 12:24:46	xrp updown 5m 1781007600	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd28816…
06-09 12:24:42	bnb updown 5m 1781007600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x040e61…
06-09 12:19:07	eth updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaae87a…
06-09 10:28:18	bnb updown 15m 1781000100	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x2d0096…
06-09 09:59:00	eth updown 15m 1780998300	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xcf4d1f…
06-09 09:58:55	btc updown 15m 1780998300	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x637ad2…
06-09 07:13:46	sol updown 15m 1780988400	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x878d8a…
06-09 07:13:43	eth updown 15m 1780988400	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x793457…
06-09 05:24:22	hype updown 5m 1780982400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x20440a…
06-08 23:14:45	hype updown 5m 1780960200	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb8322c…
06-08 20:31:12	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d970e…
06-08 20:31:09	wti closes above 93 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ea9ad…
06-08 20:29:31	sol updown 5m 1780950300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe7f5f6…
06-08 18:58:19	sol updown 15m 1780944300	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x9364f3…
06-08 16:13:25	btc updown 15m 1780934400	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x789d43…
06-08 15:44:21	eth updown 15m 1780932600	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x67ce35…
06-08 13:24:36	xrp updown 5m 1780924800	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x37535a…
06-08 12:29:36	bnb updown 5m 1780921500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd519ee…
06-08 11:53:58	btc updown 4h 1780905600	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x831680…
06-08 09:59:06	bnb updown 5m 1780912500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb73089…
06-08 09:59:01	btc updown 15m 1780911900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3ccb0e…
06-08 04:13:28	xrp updown 15m 1780891200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x208611…
06-08 03:13:19	btc updown 15m 1780887600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6a967e…
06-08 02:44:24	sol updown 15m 1780885800	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2d1ad6…
06-07 21:58:21	solana up or down june 7 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8333e3…
06-07 14:59:52	hype updown 5m 1780844100	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe68380…
06-07 11:14:01	btc updown 15m 1780830000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xad3e3a…
06-07 09:13:54	hype updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xeec0ed…
06-07 01:44:36	bnb updown 5m 1780796400	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1c15bd…
06-07 00:39:46	eth updown 5m 1780792500	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x003b4c…
06-07 00:39:43	xrp updown 5m 1780792500	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb55a11…
06-06 05:44:19	eth updown 5m 1780724400	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x22f900…
06-06 05:44:15	sol updown 5m 1780724400	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x43864f…
06-06 04:43:55	btc updown 15m 1780720200	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x247f55…
06-06 03:49:31	hype updown 5m 1780717500	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1f66fd…
06-05 22:28:43	btc updown 15m 1780697700	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x43c2c8…
06-05 17:14:33	bnb updown 15m 1780678800	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7966b8…
06-05 17:14:28	doge updown 15m 1780678800	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4f1615…
06-05 14:29:16	doge updown 5m 1780669500	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8e7b12…
06-05 14:29:13	bnb updown 5m 1780669500	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa274df…
06-05 14:29:07	sol updown 15m 1780668900	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf8a3d5…
06-05 03:14:15	sol updown 15m 1780628400	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x45e905…
06-05 00:44:18	sol updown 5m 1780620000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa62307…
06-04 21:13:13	eth updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x75aa62…
06-04 21:13:09	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x18283d…
06-04 19:13:15	btc updown 15m 1780599600	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x69892a…
06-04 19:13:12	eth updown 15m 1780599600	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x76645f…
06-04 09:09:49	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa761e9…
06-04 09:09:48	bnb updown 5m 1780563900	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd802ce…
06-04 08:24:39	bnb updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2b7c13…
06-04 08:24:36	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdeed4c…
06-04 06:39:27	xrp updown 5m 1780554900	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x092f2a…
06-04 06:39:21	sol updown 5m 1780554900	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x48d3be…
06-04 01:44:06	btc updown 15m 1780536600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xca1320…
06-04 01:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780536000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x77545b…
06-03 23:14:01	eth updown 15m 1780527600	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8f0486…
06-03 23:13:58	btc updown 15m 1780527600	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xed35cd…
06-03 23:13:52	sol updown 15m 1780527600	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x033622…
06-03 08:34:27	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa7cf0f…
06-03 06:56:48	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xdb60dd…
06-03 01:59:15	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x3609d4…
06-03 01:59:11	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x56d2a7…
06-03 01:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x12dc10…
06-03 01:04:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xd6f06a…
06-02 20:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6d4104…
06-02 20:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa9ba82…
06-02 19:44:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x865f46…
06-02 19:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc9d228…
06-02 19:44:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x689b87…
06-02 19:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52180b…
06-02 17:43:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x03b1be…
06-02 17:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb3539a…
06-02 17:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6c4b8e…
06-02 17:04:43	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x985822…
06-02 15:56:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06ac5b…
06-02 15:37:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x892751…
06-02 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb43e85…
06-02 08:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc1f1c8…
06-01 20:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xb765b8…
06-01 20:13:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd4b0a5…
06-01 20:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x94c0fa…
06-01 18:14:26	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x239705…
06-01 15:59:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x66a658…
06-01 15:36:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa2999d…
06-01 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbafb59…
06-01 03:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x466c94…
06-01 03:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x289ecd…
06-01 02:24:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x51302a…
06-01 02:24:51	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe3bde9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	292	$72.5K	4,746	06-02 20:56
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	270	$64.4K	3,253	06-09 12:17
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	264	$57.4K	3,213	06-09 12:17
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	260	$64.9K	2,383	06-09 15:24
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	247	$25.6K	2,176	06-09 20:11
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	244	$12.9K	482	06-09 15:44
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	237	$3.53K	909	06-09 07:13
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	235	$11.4K	2,020	06-09 22:34