Scary-Holder 0xdc53b9…92cb5e
whale bot cold 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$223
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
2,096
Trades
9,784
lifetime
Volume
$134.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 86% -$1,145
Other
24% 59% -$402
Politics
11% 26% -$163
Tech
1% 100% +$10
Sports
1% 20% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +243 $105 50¢ $123 +$17 10-28 13:53
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 50¢ $120 -$15 10-28 02:24
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +122 $38 97¢ $117 +$79 10-24 12:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +150 $65 56¢ $84 +$18 10-28 15:55
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +100 $79 82¢ $82 +$3 10-25 12:11
No one announced as next James Bond? No +100 $80 77¢ $77 -$3 10-23 18:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +135 $76 55¢ $73 -$3 10-27 14:34
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +150 $79 44¢ $66 -$13 10-28 07:34
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +100 $76 64¢ $64 -$12 10-26 12:56
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +99 $52 64¢ $64 +$12 10-21 16:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +135 $52 46¢ $61 +$9 10-28 04:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +92 $51 55¢ $51 $0 10-27 00:34
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +100 $41 50¢ $50 +$10 10-24 21:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +100 $56 50¢ $50 -$6 10-25 18:36
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +50 $39 94¢ $47 +$8 10-18 14:52
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +50 $36 94¢ $47 +$11 10-23 16:56
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +50 $34 93¢ $46 +$12 10-13 19:04
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $23 88¢ $44 +$21 10-22 21:59
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +50 $37 86¢ $43 +$5 10-21 21:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $18 85¢ $42 +$25 10-21 14:27
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 10-13 15:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 10-28 12:25
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +50 $36 84¢ $42 +$6 10-23 17:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +92 $39 45¢ $41 +$3 10-27 23:12
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 81¢ $40 +$0 10-19 13:23
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 80¢ $40 +$2 10-26 00:57
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +109 $45 36¢ $39 -$6 10-26 14:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +43 $18 87¢ $38 +$19 10-22 13:34
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +50 $39 75¢ $38 -$2 10-28 02:31
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +50 $18 71¢ $35 +$17 10-22 01:35