Realized P&L (30d)
-$541
Unrealized P&L
+$1.17K
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved (30d)
373
Trades (30d)
5,786
12,463 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$55.0K
$161.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-10 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 86% -$1,145
Other
31% 50% -$712
Politics
11% 33% -$187
Tech
4% 71% -$11
Sports
1% 14% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +649 $426 70¢ $452 +$26 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +288 $137 84¢ $243 +$106 11-08 05:12
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +239 $118 100¢ $239 +$121 11-06 20:25
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +649 $207 30¢ $197 -$10 11-10 15:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $151 97¢ $195 +$44 11-05 10:07
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +239 $187 82¢ $195 +$8 10-25 06:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +246 $153 77¢ $190 +$36 11-09 00:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +223 $78 84¢ $188 +$110 11-09 22:47
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +196 $147 92¢ $181 +$34 11-04 19:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $91 89¢ $178 +$87 11-08 18:46
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +249 $135 70¢ $175 +$39 11-10 02:11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +190 $87 92¢ $174 +$87 11-09 13:31
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +241 $181 69¢ $167 -$14 11-10 18:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $166 55¢ $166 $0 11-05 23:02
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +200 $132 82¢ $163 +$31 11-02 05:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 66¢ $159 +$23 10-28 02:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +170 $72 80¢ $135 +$63 11-01 23:29
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +140 $98 96¢ $134 +$36 11-08 11:49
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +300 $136 44¢ $134 -$3 11-09 10:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +200 $106 66¢ $133 +$27 11-02 08:27
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +179 $110 74¢ $132 +$22 11-04 13:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +192 $104 67¢ $129 +$26 11-04 18:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 84¢ $127 +$57 10-29 23:01
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +148 $87 84¢ $125 +$37 11-03 14:36
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +120 $80 100¢ $120 +$40 11-03 22:55
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +160 $117 74¢ $119 +$2 11-08 09:20
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +135 $91 87¢ $117 +$26 11-09 13:18
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +120 $96 97¢ $117 +$21 11-06 21:06
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +150 $45 78¢ $116 +$71 11-09 10:47
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +125 $92 88¢ $109 +$18 11-03 12:53