Scary-Holder 0xdc53b9…92cb5e Create alert
whale bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$513
Unrealized P&L
+$596
Hit rate
43.5%
Resolved (30d)
348
Trades (30d)
5,652
12,212 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$53.5K
$159.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-09 15:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 86% -$1,145
Other
30% 50% -$692
Politics
11% 32% -$182
Tech
4% 69% -$11
Sports
1% 14% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +599 $389 76¢ $453 +$63 11-09 02:41
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +288 $137 69¢ $198 +$61 11-08 05:12
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +239 $187 82¢ $195 +$8 10-25 06:01
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $151 96¢ $191 +$40 11-05 10:07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $166 62¢ $184 +$18 11-05 23:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +246 $153 72¢ $176 +$23 11-09 00:06
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +200 $132 82¢ $165 +$33 11-02 05:21
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +196 $147 83¢ $163 +$16 11-04 19:54
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +239 $118 68¢ $163 +$44 11-06 20:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 64¢ $156 +$21 10-28 02:24
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +629 $202 24¢ $154 -$48 11-09 16:06
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +199 $101 70¢ $140 +$39 11-03 12:15
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +201 $153 69¢ $139 -$14 11-08 07:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $91 68¢ $136 +$45 11-08 18:46
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +179 $110 74¢ $132 +$22 11-04 13:28
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +160 $117 80¢ $127 +$10 11-08 09:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +192 $104 66¢ $127 +$23 11-04 18:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +200 $106 63¢ $126 +$20 11-02 08:27
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +120 $77 98¢ $118 +$40 11-04 01:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 78¢ $117 +$47 10-29 23:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +300 $136 38¢ $116 -$21 11-09 10:25
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +140 $98 82¢ $114 +$17 11-08 11:49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +120 $96 94¢ $113 +$17 11-06 21:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +190 $87 60¢ $113 +$26 11-09 13:31
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +150 $96 72¢ $108 +$12 11-04 16:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +173 $106 59¢ $102 -$4 11-06 21:02
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +148 $87 69¢ $102 +$15 11-03 14:36
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +150 $118 66¢ $100 -$18 11-05 15:19
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? No +100 $71 99¢ $99 +$28 10-28 14:54
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? No +169 $88 58¢ $99 +$10 11-06 02:17