Realized P&L (30d)
-$540
Unrealized P&L
+$1.22K
Hit rate
43.2%
Resolved (30d)
372
Trades (30d)
5,777
12,450 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$54.9K
$161.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-10 15:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 86% -$1,145
Other
31% 50% -$714
Politics
11% 33% -$187
Tech
4% 71% -$11
Sports
1% 14% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +649 $426 72¢ $464 +$39 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +288 $137 84¢ $243 +$107 11-08 05:12
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +239 $118 100¢ $239 +$121 11-06 20:25
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +239 $187 84¢ $200 +$14 10-25 06:01
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $151 99¢ $198 +$47 11-05 10:07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +223 $78 87¢ $194 +$116 11-09 22:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +246 $153 77¢ $190 +$36 11-09 00:06
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +196 $147 95¢ $187 +$39 11-04 19:54
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +649 $207 29¢ $185 -$22 11-10 15:27
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +249 $135 70¢ $175 +$39 11-10 02:11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +190 $87 92¢ $174 +$87 11-09 13:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $166 57¢ $172 +$6 11-05 23:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 68¢ $164 +$28 10-28 02:24
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +200 $132 82¢ $163 +$31 11-02 05:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $91 76¢ $151 +$60 11-08 18:46
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +150 $96 100¢ $150 +$54 11-04 16:10
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +201 $153 72¢ $143 -$9 11-08 07:06
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +140 $98 99¢ $139 +$42 11-08 11:49
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +170 $72 80¢ $135 +$63 11-01 23:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +200 $106 66¢ $133 +$27 11-02 08:27
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +179 $110 74¢ $132 +$22 11-04 13:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +192 $104 68¢ $131 +$27 11-04 18:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +300 $136 42¢ $128 -$9 11-09 10:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 84¢ $127 +$57 10-29 23:01
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +148 $87 84¢ $125 +$37 11-03 14:36
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +120 $80 100¢ $120 +$40 11-03 22:55
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +160 $117 74¢ $119 +$2 11-08 09:20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +120 $96 98¢ $117 +$21 11-06 21:06
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +135 $91 86¢ $117 +$25 11-09 13:18
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +150 $45 77¢ $116 +$70 11-09 10:47