Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$940
Hit rate
48.9%
Resolved (90d)
891
Trades (90d)
10,687
12,686 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$114.6K
$163.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-12 03:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 86% -$1,145
Other
32% 50% -$724
Politics
11% 34% -$199
Tech
4% 67% -$12
Sports
1% 14% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +649 $426 70¢ $458 +$32 11-09 20:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +300 $136 81¢ $243 +$107 11-09 10:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +223 $78 90¢ $200 +$122 11-09 22:47
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +239 $187 82¢ $196 +$9 10-25 06:01
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $151 97¢ $194 +$43 11-05 10:07
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +649 $207 30¢ $191 -$16 11-10 15:27
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +196 $147 94¢ $184 +$36 11-04 19:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +190 $87 93¢ $177 +$91 11-09 13:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +246 $153 72¢ $176 +$23 11-09 00:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $91 88¢ $176 +$85 11-08 18:46
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +241 $181 71¢ $172 -$9 11-10 18:35
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +249 $135 68¢ $171 +$36 11-10 02:11
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 70¢ $169 +$33 10-28 02:24
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +200 $132 82¢ $163 +$31 11-02 05:21
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +201 $96 80¢ $162 +$66 11-12 02:21
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +288 $162 56¢ $161 -$1 11-04 22:12
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +140 $98 96¢ $135 +$37 11-08 11:49
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +179 $110 74¢ $132 +$22 11-04 13:28
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +192 $104 68¢ $131 +$27 11-04 18:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 86¢ $128 +$59 10-29 23:01
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +200 $106 64¢ $128 +$22 11-02 08:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +288 $137 44¢ $127 -$10 11-08 05:12
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +148 $87 84¢ $124 +$37 11-03 14:36
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +160 $117 75¢ $120 +$3 11-08 09:20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +120 $96 99¢ $118 +$22 11-06 21:06
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +135 $91 86¢ $116 +$24 11-09 13:18
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $109 64¢ $106 -$3 11-10 19:38
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +125 $92 84¢ $104 +$13 11-03 12:53
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No +120 $87 85¢ $102 +$15 11-11 23:00
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +150 $118 68¢ $102 -$16 11-05 15:19