Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.08K
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved (90d)
872
Trades (90d)
10,477
12,467 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$112.7K
$161.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-10 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 86% -$1,145
Other
31% 49% -$724
Politics
11% 33% -$187
Tech
4% 71% -$11
Sports
1% 14% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +649 $426 70¢ $453 +$27 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +288 $137 84¢ $243 +$106 11-08 05:12
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +649 $207 30¢ $196 -$11 11-10 15:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +200 $151 98¢ $195 +$44 11-05 10:07
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30? No +239 $187 81¢ $193 +$6 10-25 06:01
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +196 $147 97¢ $190 +$43 11-04 19:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +246 $153 77¢ $190 +$36 11-09 00:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +223 $78 84¢ $186 +$108 11-09 22:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $91 92¢ $185 +$94 11-08 18:46
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +249 $135 70¢ $175 +$39 11-10 02:11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +190 $87 91¢ $173 +$86 11-09 13:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $166 56¢ $168 +$2 11-05 23:02
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +241 $181 69¢ $167 -$14 11-10 18:35
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +200 $132 82¢ $163 +$31 11-02 05:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 66¢ $159 +$23 10-28 02:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +170 $72 80¢ $137 +$65 11-01 23:29
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +140 $98 96¢ $134 +$36 11-08 11:49
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +200 $106 66¢ $133 +$27 11-02 08:27
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +179 $110 74¢ $132 +$22 11-04 13:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +300 $136 44¢ $132 -$4 11-09 10:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +192 $104 67¢ $129 +$26 11-04 18:50
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +148 $87 87¢ $128 +$41 11-03 14:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 84¢ $127 +$57 10-29 23:01
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +160 $117 74¢ $119 +$2 11-08 09:20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +120 $96 98¢ $117 +$21 11-06 21:06
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes +150 $45 78¢ $116 +$71 11-09 10:47
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +135 $91 86¢ $116 +$24 11-09 13:18
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +125 $92 88¢ $109 +$18 11-03 12:53
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? No +110 $78 95¢ $104 +$25 11-07 21:36
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? No +100 $71 99¢ $99 +$28 10-28 14:54