Scary-Holder 0xdc53b9…92cb5e
whale bot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$238
Unrealized P&L
+$122
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved (7d)
178
Trades (7d)
1,492
10,635 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15.3K
$143.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-02 03:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 86% -$1,145
Other
26% 53% -$566
Politics
11% 28% -$175
Tech
2% 79% +$1
Sports
1% 17% -$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +243 $136 55¢ $132 -$3 10-28 02:24
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +150 $116 75¢ $112 -$4 10-30 10:18
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +150 $56 74¢ $112 +$56 11-01 06:47
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +243 $105 46¢ $110 +$5 10-28 13:53
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +150 $111 68¢ $103 -$8 10-31 18:17
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +200 $89 46¢ $93 +$4 10-30 08:26
No one announced as next James Bond? No +100 $80 89¢ $89 +$8 10-23 18:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +192 $84 43¢ $82 -$2 11-01 18:48
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +142 $75 57¢ $82 +$6 10-31 18:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +150 $79 54¢ $80 +$1 10-28 07:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $69 54¢ $80 +$11 10-29 23:01
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +130 $80 62¢ $80 $0 11-01 22:04
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +109 $60 72¢ $78 +$19 10-29 21:50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +135 $76 52¢ $70 -$6 10-27 14:34
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +100 $41 65¢ $65 +$24 10-24 21:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +135 $52 48¢ $65 +$12 10-28 04:02
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +98 $54 62¢ $60 +$6 10-29 14:29
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $38 96¢ $48 +$9 10-13 15:23
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +150 $36 32¢ $47 +$11 10-30 07:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +100 $52 46¢ $46 -$6 10-29 21:05
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +50 $39 89¢ $45 +$6 10-18 14:52
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +50 $37 87¢ $44 +$6 10-21 21:23
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +50 $39 84¢ $42 +$3 10-28 02:31
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$2 10-19 13:23
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $41 82¢ $41 -$1 10-29 17:52
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +50 $36 80¢ $40 +$4 10-23 17:29
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +40 $22 98¢ $39 +$17 10-28 22:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $41 78¢ $39 -$2 10-28 12:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +150 $98 26¢ $38 -$60 10-31 17:32
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +50 $34 76¢ $38 +$4 10-27 07:57