Realized P&L
+$218
Unrealized P&L
-$171
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
3,321
lifetime
Volume
$510.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$2.51K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 09:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
59% 100% +$234
Politics
35% 80% $-15
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,028 $1,711 78¢ $1.6K $-119 07-16 11:31
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +702 $618 84¢ $593 $-25 07-02 09:11
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? No +186 $171 92¢ $172 +$1 07-05 00:24
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +500 $95 12¢ $62 $-32 07-01 22:23
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +34 $29 86¢ $29 +$0 07-17 05:46
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? No +30 $27 90¢ $27 +$0 07-06 12:27
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No -25 $-25 97¢ $-25 +$0 05-30 03:12
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 93¢ $-5 +$0 07-01 10:19
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No -3 $-3 69¢ $-2 +$1 07-18 21:52
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +0 $-2 95¢ $0 +$2 06-07 23:53