Realized P&L
+$218
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,870
lifetime
Volume
$419.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$7.02K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$234
Politics
36% 80% $-15
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? No +4,363 $4,316 100¢ $4.4K +$36 06-30 11:04
Will Meta acquire TikTok? No -963 $-951 100¢ $-961 $-10 06-22 22:22
Will Amazon acquire TikTok? No +765 $759 100¢ $764 +$5 06-25 13:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -349 $-400 100¢ $-349 +$51 06-30 19:48
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? No +260 $255 100¢ $259 +$4 06-24 23:07
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? No +107 $106 100¢ $107 +$1 06-30 10:56
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? Yes +84 $83 98¢ $83 $-0 06-30 03:44
Will Walmart acquire TikTok? No +79 $79 100¢ $79 +$1 06-25 21:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +46 $40 90¢ $41 +$1 06-21 00:16
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No -25 $-25 97¢ $-25 $-0 05-30 03:12
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +8 $5 56¢ $4 $-0 06-25 04:42
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +0 $-2 94¢ $0 +$2 06-07 23:53