Buoyant-Nurture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$485

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-32

Other

34% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

9% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	+200	$199	100¢	$200	+$0	05-14 10:50
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	+99	$98	99¢	$98	+$0	05-10 07:08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	+97	$64	71¢	$69	+$5	05-12 00:08
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	No	+56	$52	93¢	$52	$-0	05-10 21:26
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	+50	$48	97¢	$49	+$0	05-13 21:20
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	+12	$10	78¢	$9	$-0	05-14 10:40
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	+9	$8	100¢	$9	+$1	05-11 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:50:10	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9e6e7e…
05-14 10:40:21	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5b3157…
05-13 21:20:32	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4a580d…
05-12 00:12:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xf1341b…
05-12 00:08:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	66¢	$64	0xf44aed…
05-11 04:13:59	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x08514f…
05-10 21:26:17	Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x690102…
05-10 07:08:56	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x225539…
05-10 07:07:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xc10660…
05-09 00:20:11	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6c9a43…
05-08 12:09:46	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x223d88…
05-07 21:18:17	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbeee3b…
05-06 11:50:12	Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x2214fe…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$496	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 00:12
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 10:50
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$98	99	0	+99	open	—	05-10 07:08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$64	97	0	+97	open	—	05-12 00:08
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	2	$52	56	0	+56	open	—	05-10 21:26
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	05-13 21:20
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	1	$32	40	0	+40	Yes	$-32	05-10 07:07
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:09
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-07 21:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 10:40
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-11 04:13
Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:20