Buoyant-Nurture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$218

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,706

lifetime

Volume

$582.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$234

Politics

38% 80% $-15

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	21	$23.3K	13,007	12,531	+476	open	—	07-05 23:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	36	$11.3K	6,674	5,105	+1,569	open	—	03-02 06:16
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	11	$9.9K	5,244	5,244	+0	open	—	01-03 07:52
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	29	$9.5K	7,830	1,773	+6,057	open	—	07-01 07:26
clf bfc cam 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	14	$7.2K	4,866	2,452	+2,413	open	—	08-01 23:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	19	$6.6K	3,593	3,624	-30	open	—	06-01 01:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	8	$6.5K	3,360	3,196	+165	open	—	01-13 06:57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	43	$5.4K	2,775	3,320	-545	open	—	02-28 07:13
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	15	$5.4K	5,407	0	+5,407	open	—	07-12 03:03
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	16	$5.2K	4,209	1,350	+2,859	open	—	04-08 07:27
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	13	$5.0K	2,543	2,543	+0	open	—	01-23 07:12
will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the january meeting	3	$5.0K	3,959	1,000	+2,959	open	—	01-15 04:59
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	3	$4.7K	2,876	1,876	+1,000	open	—	07-07 11:36
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	21	$4.5K	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	03-01 00:11
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 10 2026	24	$4.5K	3,972	543	+3,429	open	—	01-09 14:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	10	$4.4K	3,294	1,294	+2,000	open	—	07-29 23:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	21	$4.4K	2,719	2,719	+0	open	—	01-31 11:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$4.4K	2,311	2,111	+200	open	—	04-08 05:34
will israel or the us target tehran 812	14	$4.3K	2,846	1,460	+1,386	open	—	02-28 07:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	6	$4.2K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	08-02 10:51
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	12	$4.0K	3,856	420	+3,436	open	—	04-06 05:06
si up or down on february 2 2026	12	$4.0K	4,351	648	+3,703	open	—	02-03 02:37
Will Meta acquire TikTok?	18	$3.8K	1,429	2,391	-963	open	—	06-22 22:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	39	$3.8K	3,323	725	+2,598	open	—	03-04 00:12
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	10	$3.6K	2,431	1,201	+1,231	open	—	02-08 20:19
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	3	$3.6K	3,599	0	+3,599	open	—	07-21 23:58
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	11	$3.5K	1,821	1,821	+0	open	—	02-08 12:55
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$3.4K	1,956	1,956	+0	open	—	03-20 00:42
crsou job dur 2026 01 01 completed match	1	$3.4K	3,404	0	+3,404	open	—	01-02 04:18
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	3	$3.3K	3,320	0	+3,320	open	—	07-12 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:17:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	296	88¢	$260	0xd34fce…
08-10 08:16:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x16b438…
08-10 08:12:36	will trump say moscow in august 20260728181450068	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc62685…
08-10 06:26:31	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	919	100¢	$918	0x962557…
08-10 06:25:19	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x878e3c…
08-10 06:24:15	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4e2e4e…
08-10 06:20:25	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e1d4…
08-10 06:18:16	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9bea71…
08-10 06:14:01	will it rain in sydney on august 9 20260807090000017	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2de595…
08-10 04:07:16	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260731171732963	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x52c1fc…
08-10 04:06:36	will trump say six seven this week 20260731171342118	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4319d8…
08-10 04:06:15	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e7d4c…
08-10 03:59:48	will elon post ipo on x this week 20260731161914126	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x44d559…
08-10 03:59:28	will elon post chatgpt on x this week 20260731162042278	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x50f116…
08-10 03:58:31	will elon post bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency on x this week 20260731162042280	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x6e7ad9…
08-10 03:58:27	will elon post bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency on x this week 20260731162042280	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48c692…
08-10 00:57:22	will elon post bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency on x this week 20260731162042280	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x0dd9ba…
08-10 00:56:58	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260731162042274	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0bd49d…
08-09 23:54:04	will elon post deport or deported on x this week 20260731162042272	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x78129e…
08-09 23:53:36	will elon post ipo on x this week 20260731161914126	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0xfe1989…
08-09 23:53:21	will elon post sam or altman on x this week 20260731162042270	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x4a8902…
08-09 23:53:09	will elon post president on x this week 20260731162042268	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe61d90…
08-09 23:52:46	will trump post pope on truth social this week 20260731171732960	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x9d8aa7…
08-09 23:52:28	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260731171732963	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e236d…
08-09 23:51:43	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2425c…
08-09 23:51:33	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260731171342121	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xe0be3d…
08-09 13:09:55	will super typhoon dolphin make landfall at category 4 strength or higher 20260730204039278	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xef6af5…
08-09 13:08:07	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd0768…
08-09 13:05:48	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2687fb…
08-09 09:39:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffd61e…
08-09 09:31:03	will trump say stupid question this week 20260731171342120	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7a8437…
08-09 09:29:39	will trump post world cup on truth social this week 20260731171732971	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x15bd00…
08-09 09:19:10	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260723184439893	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x2c5d05…
08-09 09:18:54	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7c415…
08-09 09:18:52	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0xe0dd4b…
08-09 07:33:42	will trump say trump tariff or trump tax in august 20260728182325274	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xd4466b…
08-09 07:33:30	will trump say trump accord or trump peace in august 20260728182325279	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x34cbd5…
08-09 07:22:49	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x1d2b03…
08-09 07:22:39	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x087da6…
08-09 07:20:04	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0x745225…
08-09 07:19:55	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0xd2deaa…
08-09 07:18:22	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	No	BUY	1,307	99¢	$1,300	0x2563ac…
08-09 07:16:22	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x3a5444…
08-09 05:10:57	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x3082c6…
08-09 05:09:01	doge updown 5m 1786251900	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd72810…
08-09 05:06:57	doge updown 5m 1786251900	Down	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0x599881…
08-09 05:04:15	doge updown 5m 1786251600	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x6dbd62…
08-09 05:02:19	doge updown 5m 1786251600	Down	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xaca51c…
08-09 05:00:48	doge updown 5m 1786251600	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1af7c8…
08-09 04:33:24	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0x890045…
08-09 04:28:55	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 35 or higher 20260723184439893	Yes	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0xfc5d34…
08-09 04:28:48	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0xc6058c…
08-09 04:28:39	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xcd12e7…
08-09 04:22:00	will trump post world cup on truth social this week 20260731171732971	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xd39cc0…
08-09 04:21:52	will trump post bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency on truth social this week 20260731171732964	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x290b0d…
08-09 04:21:12	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260731171342121	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xd63d6a…
08-09 04:20:39	will trump say six seven this week 20260731171342118	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0xcd080f…
08-08 00:48:37	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	325	95¢	$308	0x15dc98…
08-08 00:47:07	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 200b hkd 20260727205430944	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0dcac3…
08-07 08:24:04	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	93¢	$309	0xdab6bb…
08-07 05:30:48	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	Yes	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x0c112e…
08-07 05:17:51	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 200b hkd 20260727205430944	Yes	BUY	550	84¢	$464	0x8e8d33…
08-07 05:17:09	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 200b hkd 20260727205430944	Yes	BUY	215	78¢	$168	0x9a417d…
08-07 01:27:19	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	98¢	$196	0x7b18cb…
08-06 04:27:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xe76575…
08-06 00:53:21	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x0daff5…
08-06 00:52:51	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd3f2d9…
08-06 00:50:20	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb58b0e…
08-05 12:35:24	btc updown 5m 1785933300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe42d99…
08-05 12:32:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	840	100¢	$839	0xce26ed…
08-05 12:04:53	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	91¢	$302	0x5d2593…
08-05 03:53:33	will elpidia saavedra advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014643	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0x3b5742…
08-05 03:53:15	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0d48cc…
08-05 03:52:57	will john hughs advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014638	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7570e…
08-05 03:30:21	will elpidia saavedra advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014643	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9e6c0c…
08-05 03:30:02	will elpidia saavedra advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014643	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9033d4…
08-05 03:29:47	will favian valencia advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014640	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0x92fc19…
08-05 03:29:29	will amanda mckinney advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014634	Yes	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x43ed6f…
08-05 03:28:26	will john duresky advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014633	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0xedf539…
08-05 01:45:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xf68a65…
08-04 22:10:15	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	666	89¢	$594	0xe639ca…
08-04 12:52:20	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology in august 20260728181450076	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9baa29…
08-04 12:17:12	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 200b hkd 20260727205430944	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x98b7ad…
08-04 12:12:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x4b2f79…
08-04 06:37:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x7976de…
08-04 04:09:06	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 200b hkd 20260727205430944	Yes	BUY	153	80¢	$122	0x49d61e…
08-04 04:08:14	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	708	87¢	$615	0xa29101…
08-04 04:08:05	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	590	85¢	$502	0xc2c72f…
08-04 02:22:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x37c0dd…
08-04 01:33:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbf1963…
08-04 01:33:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1,452	100¢	$1,449	0x33be88…
08-04 01:21:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x240693…
08-04 01:21:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7da7ba…
08-04 00:49:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb2de4…
08-04 00:40:53	will trump say through the roof this week 20260731171342119	No	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xedabbf…
08-04 00:32:03	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0x51c8ae…
08-03 23:51:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x3c30df…
08-03 23:29:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6fd317…
08-03 10:55:02	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdb8a56…
08-03 09:43:18	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x339e81…