Large-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

9,195

lifetime

Volume

$119.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$48

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

57% 81% +$7

Sports

42% 91% +$7

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No		+50	$49	96¢	$48	$-1	06-30 10:34
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes		+0	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	06-30 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	5	$750	500	500	+0	open	—	05-25 23:44
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)	2	$663	206	464	-258	open	—	05-24 19:26
atp bolt wu 2026 03 30 set handicap away 1pt5	13	$584	435	372	+63	open	—	03-30 23:50
will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$582	600	0	+600	open	—	06-29 23:28
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	4	$479	500	479	+21	open	—	05-29 07:35
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	3	$478	246	246	+0	open	—	06-14 00:17
nba dal tor 2026 03 08 points cooper flagg 18pt5	9	$478	248	248	+0	open	—	03-09 00:31
nba dal cha 2026 03 03 points pj washington 13pt5	15	$457	242	242	+0	open	—	03-04 02:44
atp bergs etcheve 2026 03 20 first set winner Bergs vs Etcheverry	5	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	03-21 18:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	05-23 07:04
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	6	$378	500	200	+300	open	—	05-24 19:40
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals samu costa gte1	5	$282	309	0	+309	open	—	06-17 15:59
atp monteir dedurap 2026 03 12 first set total 9pt5	5	$282	142	142	+0	open	—	03-13 00:32
nba dal bos 2026 03 06 points cooper flagg 16pt5	10	$268	139	138	+0	open	—	03-07 02:33
nba bos mil 2026 03 02 rebounds derrick white 4pt5	7	$268	138	138	+0	open	—	03-03 02:48
nba gsw den 2026 03 29 rebounds kristaps porzingis 5pt5	5	$264	134	134	+0	open	—	03-30 05:27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	4	$247	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 20:15
nba phi cle 2026 03 09 points donovan mitchell 26pt5	7	$240	125	125	+0	open	—	03-10 01:28
nba lac nop 2026 03 18 points kawhi leonard 28pt5	6	$237	130	130	+0	open	—	03-19 02:21
j2100 gai teg 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	3	$223	114	114	+0	open	—	04-19 07:02
nba gsw den 2026 03 29 points jamal murray 23pt5	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-30 05:27
nba por sas 2026 04 19 assists jrue holiday 5pt5	3	$201	102	101	+0	open	—	04-20 03:04
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
nba nop tor 2026 03 27 rebounds rj barrett 5pt5	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-28 06:28
Spread: Washington Nationals (-8.5)	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-30 03:21
nba ind cha 2026 04 03 rebounds miles bridges 4pt5	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-04 03:25
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals armando gonzalez gte1	4	$193	215	0	+215	open	—	06-11 09:07
nba nyk cha 2026 03 26 assists karl anthony towns 2pt5	3	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	03-27 04:26
atp todoran thompso 2026 01 27 first set total 9pt5	7	$189	115	115	+0	open	—	01-28 03:17
nba dal tor 2026 03 08 rebounds scottie barnes 7pt5	4	$184	94	94	+0	open	—	03-09 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:08:19	Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x73afe9…
07-01 02:06:05	Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7d6318…
07-01 01:58:22	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte1	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x9a8000…
07-01 01:42:29	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1971a8…
07-01 01:41:22	will raphinha score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x6fa6b5…
07-01 01:39:14	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals alex baena gte1	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfaf394…
07-01 01:38:50	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals nico williams gte2	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47504e…
07-01 01:37:10	Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xae20fe…
07-01 01:36:34	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd5d3de…
07-01 01:33:35	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 assists tim weah gte1	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc37984…
07-01 01:31:14	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals weston mckennie gte1	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x453fd8…
07-01 01:29:28	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots ibrahim mbaye gte4	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x28d2b0…
07-01 01:27:07	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots noni madueke gte3	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x89cb7d…
07-01 01:26:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots eberechi eze gte3	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x5482c1…
07-01 01:26:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots morgan rogers gte3	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x4022ed…
07-01 01:25:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots morgan rogers gte3	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe540ed…
07-01 01:25:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals bukayo saka gte1	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x01a7fb…
07-01 01:15:37	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3cec88…
06-30 23:09:56	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf23307…
06-30 22:22:55	Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xad8f4e…
06-30 12:32:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals jean philippe mateta gte1	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5e5ae3…
06-30 12:02:05	Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd3653b…
06-30 11:59:08	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5f27ba…
06-30 11:36:47	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte1	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb5015c…
06-30 11:22:16	Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa0977b…
06-30 10:34:22	Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc16ea1…
06-30 10:28:11	Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xbe7c21…
06-30 10:11:58	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5700ed…
06-30 10:05:10	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30 hr carson benge 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x847c4e…
06-30 09:58:02	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30 hr francisco lindor 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd791d8…
06-30 09:51:58	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb2c39c…
06-30 09:38:37	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x87e76b…
06-30 09:21:47	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xe8ad97…
06-30 09:16:22	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3aecbb…
06-30 09:02:47	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots folarin balogun gte1	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x71ba85…
06-30 09:02:23	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots tim weah gte4	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x2bbe79…
06-30 08:59:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals ousmane dembele gte3	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x82e6fe…
06-30 08:59:01	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf79427…
06-30 08:55:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots cherif ndiaye gte4	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1059e9…
06-30 08:48:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots matias fernandez pardo gte4	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x231cb1…
06-30 08:47:34	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots dodi lukebakio gte4	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xeff360…
06-30 08:46:49	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots tim weah gte4	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x599096…
06-30 08:46:28	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots gio reyna gte3	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x5a286a…
06-30 08:46:02	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots sebastian berhalter gte3	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf5c103…
06-30 08:45:41	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots alejandro zendejas gte3	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd76cf0…
06-30 08:44:43	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots haji wright gte4	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x08708a…
06-30 08:36:01	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots anthony gordon gte4	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x0cbe4b…
06-30 08:35:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots anthony gordon gte4	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4d620b…
06-30 08:34:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals marcus rashford gte1	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x93a732…
06-30 08:24:49	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte3	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3e5331…
06-30 08:19:29	will oscar bobb score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xc1a4ab…
06-30 08:08:53	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 assists armando gonzalez gte1	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88412d…
06-30 07:55:53	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4c7d55…
06-30 07:54:29	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa7e37a…
06-30 07:41:25	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x36ef25…
06-30 07:38:43	Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x02fce2…
06-30 06:29:17	Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xbd9e6a…
06-30 01:00:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte2	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x2332c6…
06-30 00:59:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte1	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0x8149ae…
06-30 00:57:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x188fac…
06-30 00:55:17	will gavi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x266dae…
06-30 00:54:08	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte3	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x06707e…
06-30 00:53:34	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdc94ef…
06-30 00:51:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots dodi lukebakio gte3	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x307e51…
06-30 00:51:40	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots cherif ndiaye gte4	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xd2422a…
06-30 00:50:08	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots matias fernandez pardo gte3	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x42ba0b…
06-30 00:49:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots matias fernandez pardo gte4	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xae48e4…
06-30 00:48:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots ibrahim mbaye gte4	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x84007c…
06-30 00:47:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots dodi lukebakio gte4	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xe908f0…
06-30 00:46:46	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots cherif ndiaye gte4	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8787ca…
06-30 00:46:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots charles de ketelaere gte4	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x94a311…
06-30 00:43:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 shots viktor gyokeres gte1	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb5fac…
06-30 00:43:01	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots sebastian berhalter gte4	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0xca7eb2…
06-30 00:42:38	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots ricardo pepi gte4	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xff9eba…
06-30 00:42:11	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots alejandro zendejas gte4	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xc14863…
06-30 00:41:41	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 shots haji wright gte4	No	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x28ffa8…
06-29 23:39:20	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots armando gonzalez gte2	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x14b243…
06-29 23:35:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots guillermo martinez gte3	No	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0xd8fbd7…
06-29 23:34:32	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots cesar huerta gte3	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbc5e5f…
06-29 23:28:31	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	312	99¢	$308	0x3a3083…
06-29 23:23:50	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	252	96¢	$241	0xc0da1f…
06-29 23:20:59	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	36	91¢	$32	0x82ac26…
06-29 23:16:46	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals wout weghorst gte1	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x656d62…
06-29 23:12:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots noni madueke gte4	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x5aa023…
06-29 23:12:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots morgan rogers gte4	No	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0xc29f2b…
06-29 23:12:01	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 shots eberechi eze gte4	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xecee78…
06-29 23:09:50	will nick woltemade score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x814ae9…
06-29 23:06:41	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots alexis vega gte4	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x07bae4…
06-29 23:06:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots armando gonzalez gte3	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x7354db…
06-29 23:05:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots santiago gimenez gte4	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x326df4…
06-29 23:05:40	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots kevin rodriguez gte4	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xb7edb3…
06-29 23:04:16	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots jordy caicedo gte4	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc576cc…
06-29 23:03:52	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots guillermo martinez gte4	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xd77870…
06-29 23:03:31	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots alexis vega gte4	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xf0c2b7…
06-29 23:03:01	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots armando gonzalez gte4	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x1e3c1c…
06-29 23:02:41	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots armando gonzalez gte4	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf865cd…
06-29 23:00:23	will carney chukwuemeka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xb04263…
06-29 22:56:11	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals ousmane dembele gte1	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x964d2f…
06-29 22:52:20	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals donyell malen gte1	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8b3460…
06-29 22:51:07	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals wout weghorst gte1	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x1cb3cc…