Trustworthy-Faculty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$24.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-11 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% +$0

Politics

40% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	53	$4.1K	2,425	2,505	-80	open	—	07-05 15:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	61	$2.1K	2,070	1,497	+573	open	—	06-19 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$1.6K	896	946	-50	open	—	05-27 15:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	26	$1.5K	964	1,014	-50	open	—	07-11 12:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	20	$1.5K	1,187	443	+744	open	—	06-16 15:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	59	$1.3K	1,289	1,093	+196	open	—	06-18 09:56
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	25	$1.2K	802	754	+48	open	—	06-14 11:57
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$1.1K	606	565	+41	open	—	06-02 12:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$912	850	500	+350	open	—	07-22 10:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	25	$837	650	1,076	-426	open	—	06-21 20:35
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	14	$628	707	0	+707	open	—	07-20 13:31
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	20	$615	361	317	+45	open	—	06-14 16:43
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$576	600	0	+600	open	—	06-05 09:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	11	$563	1,075	285	+790	open	—	06-16 15:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	9	$562	550	550	+0	open	—	07-16 17:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	16	$512	230	705	-475	open	—	06-30 07:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	21	$472	772	423	+348	open	—	06-20 22:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	8	$470	458	69	+389	open	—	06-17 15:43
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	16	$402	550	0	+550	open	—	06-30 01:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	7	$390	500	0	+500	open	—	08-10 15:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	9	$380	450	0	+450	open	—	08-07 22:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	11	$358	472	345	+127	open	—	06-13 17:56
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	46	$354	1,095	528	+566	open	—	06-17 22:31
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	8	$305	240	175	+65	open	—	07-20 08:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	08-06 14:28
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	3	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	07-10 10:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 14 2026 20260612000748609	12	$176	203	0	+203	open	—	06-13 19:27
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	5	$150	175	0	+175	open	—	08-11 10:02
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$130	200	0	+200	open	—	07-10 20:52
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	6	$105	153	64	+89	open	—	04-13 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:02:46	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7544d1…
08-10 15:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa29129…
08-10 15:04:10	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x3a0f7b…
08-07 22:12:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x24469b…
08-07 22:10:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x088768…
08-07 14:55:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x9b797b…
08-06 14:28:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xafb558…
08-06 14:27:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd90412…
08-06 14:22:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xd0072a…
08-06 14:21:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x97f781…
08-04 12:04:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xad3e34…
08-04 12:03:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe3bd26…
08-04 11:54:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x47293c…
07-31 21:05:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x1c8264…
07-25 20:30:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x1ca4ba…
07-25 17:27:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x89adb9…
07-25 12:30:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x4eb5d0…
07-22 10:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdbb979…
07-21 20:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xa37ed5…
07-21 15:39:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xb99ca7…
07-20 19:08:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc781dc…
07-20 13:31:42	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x12de83…
07-20 10:58:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xcf3174…
07-20 09:34:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x25c614…
07-20 08:25:40	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xea749f…
07-19 18:29:33	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x910ff1…
07-19 16:36:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xf8991d…
07-19 16:26:51	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	81	92¢	$75	0x4902ec…
07-19 14:15:03	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x1943b4…
07-19 12:52:04	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	83¢	$19	0x5fccfe…
07-19 12:50:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb66443…
07-19 12:49:07	will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x7821b9…
07-18 12:38:31	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x5ed928…
07-18 08:30:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xa129f4…
07-18 07:50:12	will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xc67ebc…
07-17 16:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd932af…
07-16 17:09:38	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	64¢	$160	0xbeed26…
07-16 17:05:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x00ba67…
07-16 17:02:05	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x41a3e5…
07-16 16:58:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	35¢	$105	0x71d466…
07-16 09:16:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0a6fa0…
07-14 17:11:47	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x0947be…
07-14 14:09:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	75	40¢	$30	0xa95c4b…
07-13 08:21:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x153e16…
07-12 11:00:20	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x735f35…
07-12 11:00:02	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb36c09…
07-11 20:29:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x047a78…
07-11 16:46:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x11ba51…
07-11 16:37:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x43d4be…
07-11 16:29:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe297f9…
07-11 12:42:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xcba0c9…
07-11 12:05:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8b61ee…
07-11 12:04:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x52e151…
07-11 12:03:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x67f672…
07-11 08:55:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x4be813…
07-10 21:18:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xdc22f6…
07-10 20:52:02	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x535f27…
07-10 18:03:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4f38bd…
07-10 15:19:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4da568…
07-10 12:50:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xddddb9…
07-10 12:44:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4a1afd…
07-10 12:14:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9d5aaf…
07-10 10:50:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xc5940c…
07-09 17:01:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x259a1a…
07-09 17:00:49	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8c505d…
07-09 16:37:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x67086b…
07-09 11:16:10	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x9d02a6…
07-09 09:44:50	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x086353…
07-09 09:25:08	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x85b6e5…
07-09 09:22:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x28eda1…
07-08 20:12:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xc8cee2…
07-08 18:01:25	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x774183…
07-08 09:28:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xf2698e…
07-05 15:29:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0xaa6a32…
07-05 11:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x9e3693…
07-05 11:34:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x05de0e…
07-04 18:54:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x6f413f…
07-02 16:05:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x3170dc…
06-30 16:45:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x277bda…
06-30 16:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xe74dac…
06-30 07:07:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xf93c41…
06-30 07:04:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x87ce04…
06-30 07:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x727bd1…
06-30 01:43:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x296315…
06-29 23:21:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xe1de38…
06-29 22:05:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0b2532…
06-29 17:18:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xae4899…
06-29 17:12:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3ed8f2…
06-29 17:05:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3035c3…
06-29 15:41:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0xd09dc9…
06-29 15:35:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x85c629…
06-29 13:12:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xcc09c6…
06-29 07:19:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x71e70a…
06-28 21:32:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xc23303…
06-28 13:51:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x6b4ac1…
06-28 09:29:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x5877ca…
06-28 09:29:44	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x27cd3e…
06-27 12:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3a870d…
06-27 05:34:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xb7cc3e…
06-26 11:04:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb22ac8…