Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.48K

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

914

Trades

11,024

lifetime

Volume

$221.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$25

10 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-26 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

54% 16% -$1,583

Politics

34% 13% -$678

Sports

7% 16% -$179

Crypto

4% 27% -$22

Tech

1% 29% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559	Yes	+50	$24	16¢	$8	-$16	08-17 15:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	+50	$27	12¢	$6	-$21	10-06 02:14
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	+50	$8	8¢	$4	-$4	08-10 19:11
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$5	5¢	$2	-$3	10-21 07:09
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$5	4¢	$2	-$3	09-13 20:13
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No	+50	$4	4¢	$2	-$2	07-23 23:49
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+47	$12	1¢	$0	-$12	07-30 04:32
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+50	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	08-09 22:21
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-17 09:44
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	+0	$0	8¢	$0	+$0	08-17 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	47	$782	579	579	+0	No	-$3	08-08 16:53
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	13	$562	300	300	+0	open	—	08-26 22:14
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	17	$552	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	08-24 19:35
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	28	$549	576	576	+0	open	—	08-14 13:02
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	26	$523	475	475	+0	No	-$5	08-15 21:44
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	15	$508	318	318	+0	open	—	09-05 12:53
will the for safe food through strengthening sustainable domestic production increasing plant based foods and ensuring clean drinking water food initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote copy 20260713144919278	17	$506	363	363	+0	No	-$6	08-12 16:23
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	20	$488	486	486	+0	Yes	-$13	09-19 21:45
will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	19	$485	349	349	+0	Yes	-$3	08-14 02:37
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	12	$483	300	300	+0	Yes	-$5	08-19 22:14
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	10	$476	250	250	+0	open	—	10-15 20:10
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game1 kill over 33pt5	4	$475	500	500	+0	Over	+$5	07-08 05:51
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	12	$473	300	300	+0	open	—	08-27 01:57
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	20	$470	350	350	+0	open	—	08-24 09:22
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	14	$470	342	342	+0	open	—	10-08 20:41
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	12	$469	300	300	+0	open	—	10-13 20:56
lol t1 fur 2026 07 06 game1 kill over 30pt5	2	$450	500	500	+0	Under	+$0	07-06 03:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	28	$444	467	467	+0	open	—	08-25 00:58
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?	19	$438	278	278	+0	open	—	10-16 04:11
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	20	$434	383	383	+0	No	-$4	08-31 10:54
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07	6	$421	500	500	+0	GamerLegion	+$1	07-07 06:16
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	18	$419	365	315	+50	Yes	-$13	08-12 00:28
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	13	$411	229	229	+0	open	—	08-22 04:45
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	27	$407	372	372	+0	Yes	-$2	08-02 18:43
val tse pl 2026 07 07	2	$401	500	500	+0	Pixel Lumina	-$159	07-07 15:59
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	10	$399	215	215	+0	Yes	-$2	09-14 09:30
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	10	$398	221	221	+0	open	—	09-16 15:58
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	19	$397	350	350	+0	No	+$1	08-03 15:18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	28	$393	582	582	+0	open	—	09-15 01:46
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	24	$393	466	466	+0	open	—	08-30 23:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:24:17	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x9ee0d9…
10-27 06:23:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x7f4381…
10-27 06:23:14	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x8ee6d5…
10-27 06:22:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xbcaa68…
10-26 18:17:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x5dd960…
10-26 18:17:32	Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0xb3c362…
10-26 18:17:12	Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xe7ad9a…
10-26 18:16:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xe3e1c1…
10-26 18:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5eefa7…
10-26 18:16:00	Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xf7dd46…
10-26 18:11:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x30dae8…
10-26 18:11:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xdbef66…
10-26 17:03:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7d8112…
10-25 19:27:29	Will "Possible Love" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0x0544cc…
10-25 19:27:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5d98e6…
10-25 19:26:24	Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0xc8a01c…
10-25 19:26:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x5c3c45…
10-23 04:08:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xd5e7b3…
10-23 04:07:35	Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0x4a243c…
10-23 04:07:29	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0xa15750…
10-23 04:07:21	Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x4d650b…
10-23 04:07:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x42aad5…
10-23 04:07:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0xd4df92…
10-23 04:06:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x1d827c…
10-23 04:06:50	Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xac7bba…
10-23 04:06:42	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x932592…
10-23 04:06:23	Will Tyler Shough have 3,899.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xab597b…
10-23 04:05:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x589d14…
10-23 00:45:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x10f150…
10-23 00:45:41	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x00abce…
10-23 00:45:33	Will T1 Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc9846d…
10-23 00:45:00	Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x725eda…
10-23 00:44:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x943fa4…
10-23 00:44:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x646781…
10-23 00:44:32	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x4eb0ca…
10-23 00:44:20	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x5c0968…
10-23 00:44:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x7a1e8e…
10-23 00:28:20	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x06d96a…
10-23 00:28:11	Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x246a0a…
10-23 00:19:15	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xeea423…
10-23 00:08:32	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xf23418…
10-23 00:07:35	Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x767957…
10-23 00:05:03	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xcc4948…
10-23 00:01:21	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x82b143…
10-22 23:50:44	Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xcbb579…
10-22 23:35:36	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x6eb66f…
10-22 23:24:42	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x954763…
10-22 23:18:42	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1e80df…
10-22 23:16:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x981000…
10-22 23:16:08	Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?	No	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0x30888a…
10-22 23:16:00	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x273b7c…
10-22 23:15:50	Will Top Esports Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x4de638…
10-22 22:48:41	Will T1 Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x55ebca…
10-22 22:45:08	Will Top Esports Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x60debd…
10-22 22:37:26	Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbabb51…
10-22 22:35:48	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x272532…
10-22 22:34:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x09eacc…
10-22 22:34:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0x3058eb…
10-22 22:33:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xac6520…
10-22 22:33:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xab5d2e…
10-22 22:30:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xb132a7…
10-22 22:15:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$15	0x3f71a9…
10-22 22:15:48	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xef9e7e…
10-22 22:15:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0xad3030…
10-22 22:09:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xdace8c…
10-22 22:02:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 70%-75%?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xfc1754…
10-22 21:43:51	Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xa5e89e…
10-22 21:39:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x2b7ef7…
10-22 21:39:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xb3c747…
10-22 21:38:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x440466…
10-22 21:29:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x3d498b…
10-22 21:28:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x685829…
10-22 21:27:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 70%-75%?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xdcd55c…
10-22 20:48:05	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xcebb58…
10-22 20:44:48	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xa02739…
10-22 20:20:24	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xe3ce7c…
10-22 20:18:33	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xaf2995…
10-22 19:57:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x138f70…
10-22 19:57:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xf9495c…
10-22 19:55:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x8cd8eb…
10-22 19:37:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x3d5f9a…
10-22 19:37:03	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9980a2…
10-22 19:36:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x59b758…
10-22 19:35:00	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4b987d…
10-22 19:28:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x968a6b…
10-22 19:28:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x38e546…
10-22 19:25:26	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0xa22473…
10-22 19:25:06	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xce9ca5…
10-22 19:24:53	Will Movistar KOI Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x3b7b01…
10-22 19:23:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xac1c0b…
10-22 19:18:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x76a35a…
10-22 19:12:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc12f32…
10-22 18:54:47	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xc908f1…
10-22 18:54:30	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xd3b23c…
10-22 18:17:15	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x453e67…
10-22 18:09:35	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xd57b95…
10-22 18:07:39	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xca142b…
10-22 18:07:39	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x478792…
10-22 18:07:38	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xe84058…
10-22 18:07:38	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xab6aad…