Blue-Bend 0x9495d6…c3468f
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$63.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.62K
Hit rate
26.4%
Resolved
7,043
Trades
84,270
lifetime
Volume
$2.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$73.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-01 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
54% 30% -$38,389
Politics
29% 31% -$16,140
Tech
7% 20% -$5,043
Sports
7% 33% -$2,728
Crypto
3% 17% -$769
Pop-Culture
0% 12% -$237
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1634 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8,228 $6,418 80¢ $6.5K +$123 10-31 09:22
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,123 $6,231 83¢ $5.9K -$316 10-31 17:58
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,417 $5,300 90¢ $5.7K +$444 10-29 22:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8,243 $5,902 69¢ $5.7K -$223 10-31 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,618 $2,057 88¢ $5.0K +$2,915 09-25 16:27
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +4,164 $1,357 98¢ $4.1K +$2,732 10-25 10:45
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3,386 $2,710 100¢ $3.4K +$663 10-23 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,771 $2,605 72¢ $2.7K +$129 10-14 12:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,870 $2,390 66¢ $2.5K +$150 10-29 17:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +3,524 $2,318 66¢ $2.3K -$1 10-31 19:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,989 $1,638 97¢ $1.9K +$290 07-27 15:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,834 $2,126 67¢ $1.9K -$228 10-30 20:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,295 $1,879 82¢ $1.9K +$14 10-30 00:18
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +2,195 $1,405 78¢ $1.7K +$296 10-29 19:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +1,700 $929 99¢ $1.7K +$762 10-28 20:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,716 $1,820 58¢ $1.6K -$231 10-28 19:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,559 $1,526 61¢ $1.6K +$42 10-25 17:42
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +1,968 $1,433 78¢ $1.5K +$92 10-31 15:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,498 $1,107 99¢ $1.5K +$375 10-29 21:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,829 $1,283 80¢ $1.5K +$171 10-29 17:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4,013 $1,337 34¢ $1.4K +$37 10-31 19:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,276 $1,326 32¢ $1.3K +$21 10-31 16:21
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +4,326 $1,317 31¢ $1.3K +$28 10-31 21:06
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +1,300 $1,125 99¢ $1.3K +$166 10-07 01:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,410 $1,199 92¢ $1.3K +$92 10-02 23:24
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +2,381 $1,388 54¢ $1.3K -$114 10-29 06:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,694 $1,494 34¢ $1.3K -$225 10-29 17:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,589 $1,349 78¢ $1.2K -$108 10-31 16:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,123 $897 17¢ $1.2K +$310 10-31 17:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,211 $988 100¢ $1.2K +$218 10-30 10:55