Blue-Bend 0x9495d6…c3468f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
8,626
lifetime
Volume
$391.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$3.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
36% 15% $-17
Politics
35% 25% $-45
Sports
12% 0% $-0
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,111 $710 60¢ $672 $-37 06-30 02:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +618 $490 100¢ $617 +$127 06-17 07:26
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +1,111 $393 40¢ $439 +$46 06-30 02:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -322 $-299 100¢ $-322 $-22 06-15 20:26
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +313 $297 99¢ $309 +$12 06-23 17:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +400 $167 38¢ $154 $-13 06-30 14:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -201 $-151 76¢ $-153 $-2 06-23 23:46
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -144 $-132 98¢ $-142 $-9 06-17 01:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -152 $-114 84¢ $-127 $-13 06-29 19:37
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -199 $-77 64¢ $-126 $-49 06-23 14:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +142 $114 75¢ $107 $-7 06-30 14:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -82 $-4 100¢ $-82 $-77 06-26 04:19
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +462 $60 12¢ $53 $-7 06-30 17:35
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +52 $50 96¢ $50 +$0 06-30 10:49
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +155 $54 31¢ $48 $-6 06-30 12:35
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +66 $40 56¢ $37 $-3 06-30 12:54
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $36 50¢ $36 +$0 06-30 15:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +142 $34 25¢ $36 +$1 06-29 18:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +47 $27 70¢ $33 +$6 06-15 01:33
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$2 06-29 19:33
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? No +40 $26 64¢ $25 $-0 06-30 14:39
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $36 35¢ $24 $-13 06-23 08:14
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +35 $18 68¢ $24 +$6 06-30 07:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26 $22 86¢ $22 +$0 06-29 12:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $22 43¢ $21 $-1 06-26 18:01
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +26 $19 78¢ $20 +$1 06-13 21:49
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +18 $17 92¢ $16 $-1 06-29 23:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -146 $-25 10¢ $-14 +$11 06-25 18:59
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes -95 $-12 15¢ $-14 $-2 06-01 14:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +18 $23 72¢ $13 $-10 06-30 02:31