Blue-Bend 0x9495d6…c3468f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
-$544
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
13,640
lifetime
Volume
$644.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$14.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
42% 15% $-17
Politics
31% 25% $-45
Sports
11% 0% $-0
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,337 $3,440 55¢ $2.9K $-531 07-11 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,337 $1,864 46¢ $2.4K +$564 07-11 18:23
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,375 $907 55¢ $763 $-144 07-20 16:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +663 $430 88¢ $584 +$154 07-09 06:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,041 $564 52¢ $536 $-28 07-09 09:57
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,041 $500 48¢ $505 +$5 07-09 09:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +581 $528 87¢ $504 $-24 07-20 18:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +795 $505 62¢ $497 $-8 07-20 13:10
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +806 $461 58¢ $471 +$11 07-14 13:53
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,098 $594 42¢ $456 $-138 07-20 23:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +609 $497 74¢ $448 $-49 07-08 21:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +609 $462 68¢ $411 $-51 07-19 23:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +674 $437 60¢ $408 $-29 07-13 22:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +750 $382 52¢ $394 +$12 07-12 21:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +807 $390 48¢ $383 $-7 07-12 04:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +795 $359 38¢ $298 $-60 07-20 22:45
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +604 $193 44¢ $269 +$76 07-14 14:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +674 $410 40¢ $266 $-144 07-15 21:27
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +439 $276 60¢ $261 $-15 07-12 17:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +269 $258 90¢ $241 $-17 07-17 05:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +264 $224 78¢ $206 $-18 07-11 17:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +625 $231 32¢ $203 $-28 07-19 23:03
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +327 $206 62¢ $201 $-5 07-06 12:19
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +439 $165 40¢ $178 +$13 07-13 07:32
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +220 $187 77¢ $170 $-17 07-13 17:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +609 $110 26¢ $161 +$51 07-08 21:57
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -144 $-132 98¢ $-141 $-8 06-17 01:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -201 $-151 66¢ $-134 +$17 06-23 23:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -152 $-114 86¢ $-131 $-17 06-29 19:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +189 $235 68¢ $128 $-106 07-20 20:36