Realized P&L
+$88
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
295
Trades
27,725
lifetime
Volume
$119.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$92
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
71% 43% $-169
Sports
15% 64% +$81
Politics
10% 69% +$116
Crypto
3% 76% +$64
Tech
1% 0% $-6
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +40 $31 72¢ $29 $-2 07-13 06:50
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +20 $12 55¢ $11 $-1 07-13 11:14
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +12 $9 70¢ $9 +$0 06-22 04:41
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +20 $7 43¢ $9 +$2 07-03 11:58
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +23 $5 30¢ $7 +$2 07-03 16:23
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +25 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 07-08 14:50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +16 $5 24¢ $4 $-1 07-12 10:05
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes +16 $3 22¢ $4 +$0 07-05 09:13
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 70¢ $3 +$2 06-22 02:00
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +16 $3 16¢ $3 $-0 07-06 20:21
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes +20 $5 12¢ $2 $-2 06-25 07:39
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +2 $1 73¢ $2 +$0 07-12 09:15
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 15¢ $-2 +$0 07-15 09:07
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-02 19:54
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? Yes +13 $4 $0 $-4 03-10 15:26