Realized P&L
+$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
11,609
Trades
41,577
lifetime
Volume
$185.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$291
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
70% 48% +$1,014
Politics
14% 48% +$1,098
Sports
10% 54% +$410
Crypto
4% 45% +$187
Tech
2% 42% -$152
Pop-Culture
1% 40% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 713 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +41 $34 94¢ $39 +$4 04-29 01:55
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +18 $12 99¢ $18 +$5 10-10 00:09
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -20 -$17 88¢ $-18 -$1 09-22 12:27
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +18 $9 76¢ $14 +$4 09-25 11:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -13 -$12 92¢ $-12 +$0 09-27 16:57
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +14 $12 78¢ $11 -$1 10-23 20:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No — +18 $11 56¢ $10 -$1 10-27 00:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No -22 -$9 45¢ $-10 -$1 10-26 16:49
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +19 $5 52¢ $10 +$5 09-18 17:40
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +14 $10 72¢ $10 $0 09-15 18:44
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 09-19 22:57
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 -$1 09-20 12:19
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 80¢ $8 +$8 09-22 09:06
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +10 $7 83¢ $8 +$1 10-24 19:35
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$9 81¢ $-8 +$1 09-20 10:58
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +25 $5 32¢ $8 +$3 10-11 04:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No -13 -$9 60¢ $-8 +$1 09-24 21:07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -9 -$6 79¢ $-7 -$1 09-22 08:51
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 +$0 09-24 06:37
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +10 $3 67¢ $7 +$4 08-26 09:22
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 09-22 23:53
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $16 20¢ $7 -$9 10-23 15:10
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +45 $9 15¢ $7 -$2 08-18 19:43
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +21 $4 31¢ $6 +$3 09-20 00:54
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 99¢ $6 +$3 05-13 12:41
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 -$1 09-19 20:47
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 -$6 30¢ $-5 +$0 10-09 11:16
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$9 55¢ $-5 +$4 10-26 19:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes — +21 $7 25¢ $5 -$2 10-09 19:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +15 $6 34¢ $5 $0 08-26 13:34