Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?
open
Total volume
$3,480
Trades
321
Unique wallets
79
Liquidity
$12,025
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-26 21:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-21.4¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $375
vs crowd: 26% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 31 | $193 | $1.1K | $882 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $382 | $576 | $194 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $67 | $215 | $149 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $17 | $358 | $341 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $33 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $66 | $66 |
| Median | 3 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Below median | 8 | $47 | $82 | $35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $12 | $34 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $96 | $364 | $268 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $268 | $903 | $635 |
| unranked | 2 | $195 | — | +$195 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +491 | $60 | $193 | 7 | 09-24 01:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +472 | $109 | $109 | 18 | 10-22 17:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +275 | $203 | $203 | 7 | 10-23 04:09 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +177 | $141 | $141 | 16 | 10-05 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | +89 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 10-26 20:49 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +84 | $66 | $66 | 4 | 09-19 14:41 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +81 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 09-23 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +80 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-17 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +80 | $64 | $121 | 4 | 10-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | +78 | $14 | $124 | 5 | 10-26 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +64 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 10-26 20:41 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +46 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 09-14 21:02 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | +42 | $36 | $65 | 2 | 09-12 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-05 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $31 | 4 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-09 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-09 11:04 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 09-19 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-26 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 10-05 14:58 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 09-14 21:01 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +36 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-26 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +36 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 09-16 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +35 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-21 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +35 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-21 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +34 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-26 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +34 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-26 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +30 | $23 | $25 | 3 | 10-06 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-07 14:54 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-26 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 09-14 21:01 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-23 02:36 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-23 02:36 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 09-03 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-17 07:10 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 21:36 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-26 20:41 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-24 11:35 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-26 20:48 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-26 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +19 | $15 | $76 | 4 | 10-26 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xef45…c16a | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-13 14:06 |
| Ripe-Put 0x7b18…efae | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 09-03 09:05 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-14 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 21:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:36:32 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x53581b… |
| 10-26 21:36:32 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x0cb661… |
| 10-26 21:36:32 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x53581b… |
| 10-26 21:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x0cb661… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 24¢ | $31 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 21:01:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | SELL | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x399a7b… |
| 10-26 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 25¢ | $9 | 0x29aadb… |
| 10-26 20:56:41 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 25¢ | $9 | 0x29aadb… |
| 10-26 20:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x1ec2e8… |
| 10-26 20:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x1ec2e8… |
| 10-26 20:48:17 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xb842ba… |
| 10-26 20:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xb842ba… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | SELL | 40 | 71¢ | $28 | 0x8825c4… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x8825c4… |
| 10-26 20:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x8825c4… |
| 10-26 20:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xf3301b… |
| 10-26 20:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xf3301b… |
| 10-26 20:41:08 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | BUY | 49 | 75¢ | $37 | 0x044608… |
| 10-26 20:41:08 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 49 | 75¢ | $37 | 0x044608… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | BUY | 302 | 23¢ | $69 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 78¢ | $19 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 49 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-26 20:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5786d8… |
| 10-23 04:09:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x4c74e5… |
| 10-23 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x2f7c…208a | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x4c74e5… |
| 10-22 17:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x2f7c…208a | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xcd0096… |
| 10-22 17:42:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xcd0096… |
| 10-22 14:08:24 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x03f12e… |
| 10-22 14:08:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x03f12e… |
| 10-22 14:03:14 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x9ff1da… |
| 10-22 14:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x9ff1da… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x9db44f… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x9db44f… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 26 | 77¢ | $20 | 0xb13944… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 14 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x4e5cc2… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0xc5069f… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xc5069f… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 26 | 77¢ | $20 | 0xb13944… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x4e5cc2… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x9db44f… |
| 10-22 12:55:45 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 24¢ | $13 | 0xc5069f… |
| 10-22 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x6ae721… |
| 10-22 12:55:44 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x6ae721… |
| 10-22 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x057a30… |
| 10-22 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x6ae721… |
| 10-22 12:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 14 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x057a30… |
| 10-21 03:50:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xb1440d… |
| 10-21 03:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xb1440d… |
| 10-21 03:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x3b4160… |
| 10-21 03:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x3b4160… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0xdecae7… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 60 | 78¢ | $47 | 0x229291… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0xdecae7… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 22¢ | $13 | 0x229291… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 22¢ | $33 | 0x229291… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x6533a5… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x229291… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x6533a5… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x229291… |
| 10-17 07:10:50 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x6533a5… |
| 10-09 19:47:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xc5d2f4… |
| 10-09 19:47:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xc5d2f4… |
| 10-09 11:04:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x2421f7… |
| 10-09 11:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x2421f7… |
| 10-09 11:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xf9b303… |
| 10-09 11:03:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 134 | 71¢ | $95 | 0xf9b303… |
| 10-09 11:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 29¢ | $16 | 0xf9b303… |
| 10-09 11:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 29¢ | $17 | 0xf9b303… |
| 10-08 13:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x957cb2… |
| 10-08 13:47:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x957cb2… |
| 10-07 14:54:20 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x61c0c9… |
| 10-07 14:54:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x61c0c9… |
| 10-06 21:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x5ae818… |
| 10-06 21:04:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x5ae818… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x9c7829… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xb62c9c… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x20902b… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb62c9c… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x20902b… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb62c9c… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x9c7829… |
| 10-06 21:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x20902b… |
| 10-06 13:02:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x837b2a… |
| 10-06 13:02:28 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x837b2a… |
| 10-05 18:00:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xdb3574… |
| 10-05 18:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xd85b…ccf4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xdb3574… |