Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$563

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

682

Trades

3,168

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-26 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

74% 36% -$478

Politics

17% 30% -$72

Sports

4% 25% -$26

Tech

2% 83% +$10

Crypto

2% 62% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+20	$3	54¢	$11	+$8	10-01 21:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$17	46¢	$9	-$7	10-01 21:56
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-1,000	-$4	0¢	$-5	-$1	07-07 14:22
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	83¢	$4	+$2	09-22 12:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+3	$1	76¢	$2	+$1	10-19 12:40
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	+2	$1	94¢	$1	+$1	10-12 10:27
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	+2	$1	67¢	$1	+$0	10-16 20:32
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+1	$0	26¢	$0	$0	10-19 23:10
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	+1	$0	14¢	$0	$0	09-29 18:14
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-05 20:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	9	$306	230	230	+0	Yes	-$2	09-01 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 1?	13	$223	204	204	+0	No	-$2	08-31 04:07
f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	10	$129	145	80	+65	No	-$16	07-07 19:39
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	6	$125	95	95	+0	Yes	+$1	07-11 07:39
will the announcers say handball during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900201	7	$111	80	80	+0	No	-$1	06-22 20:42
Will any player have 20+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$110	80	80	+0	open	—	09-10 11:34
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	4	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	10-05 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 5?	5	$88	60	60	+0	No	-$4	09-04 02:47
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 18:30
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 03:19
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?	5	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	10-14 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 7?	5	$81	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-06 08:12
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	3	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	10-16 15:00
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	3	$79	49	49	+0	No	+$3	09-02 10:34
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 17:22
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 21:36
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	10-23 16:17
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 13:01
Will Yordan Alvarez win Triple Crown?	2	$77	50	50	+0	No	-$1	09-10 11:34
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	4	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	10-02 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 6?	3	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-04 21:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	3	$72	50	47	+3	open	—	10-19 12:40
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	2	$71	49	49	+0	Yes	-$8	09-02 07:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 6?	5	$71	74	74	+0	No	-$1	09-05 08:33
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	4	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	10-21 21:15
Will Slavia Prague reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	2	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	09-10 09:29
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?	4	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	09-08 10:43
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 05:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	3	$66	51	51	+0	No	-$2	08-25 09:06
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	4	$66	71	71	+0	No	-$6	09-07 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:55:11	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xbbe84d…
10-26 23:12:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9d54e7…
10-26 23:12:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x951dfc…
10-26 23:09:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x11fb6f…
10-26 22:07:23	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc6a90f…
10-26 21:12:18	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x246fe7…
10-26 19:38:51	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x648ec6…
10-26 19:19:53	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x0c6c6d…
10-26 19:17:05	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x37e8ad…
10-26 17:37:35	Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6805f5…
10-26 16:29:47	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x305713…
10-26 15:56:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd49ae5…
10-26 14:51:39	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x32079b…
10-26 14:31:39	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0654e8…
10-26 14:20:00	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xa5dc03…
10-26 14:20:00	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x456623…
10-26 13:59:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x54c957…
10-26 13:57:36	Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x314cb8…
10-26 13:43:53	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x27b6b2…
10-26 12:37:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc32ce9…
10-26 12:02:29	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8c1f7f…
10-26 11:54:06	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x5e5e04…
10-26 11:48:14	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc61b4a…
10-26 11:12:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2d59d9…
10-26 10:48:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x875221…
10-26 10:36:08	Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x3c4979…
10-26 10:11:08	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x5c0b77…
10-26 09:33:48	Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x7d5a5f…
10-26 07:14:27	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x35f6f0…
10-26 07:06:38	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1d2e43…
10-26 06:45:29	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1cdf21…
10-26 06:16:48	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x420eab…
10-26 06:15:27	Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x78fbe7…
10-26 05:04:45	Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x396a95…
10-26 04:34:35	Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe604aa…
10-26 04:33:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x858d7a…
10-26 03:06:47	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x3f2fa6…
10-26 03:00:23	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8225a2…
10-26 02:34:33	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xf876f6…
10-26 01:27:18	Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x89394a…
10-26 01:10:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x32153b…
10-26 00:51:20	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x759ed4…
10-26 00:43:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xf95b53…
10-26 00:29:36	Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x844bf6…
10-25 23:47:09	Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x80a5d3…
10-25 23:31:24	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x881902…
10-25 23:10:59	Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x002675…
10-25 20:57:14	Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1b6026…
10-25 20:53:50	Will Josh Allen have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa8f454…
10-25 20:30:14	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x8a419c…
10-25 20:24:14	Will Vox win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe1e7e4…
10-25 20:14:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x1ae4ba…
10-25 17:41:35	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8cc7d8…
10-25 15:25:24	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb03f9b…
10-25 12:29:36	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xed2bc9…
10-25 12:25:57	Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x66dd8c…
10-25 10:13:26	Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0361da…
10-25 07:58:03	Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x014582…
10-25 07:47:42	Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa0ca5a…
10-25 07:20:48	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc6f8be…
10-25 06:21:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf5bf43…
10-25 06:21:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x84afdd…
10-25 06:09:21	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x84ca2f…
10-25 04:37:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb1eae9…
10-25 04:04:33	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xfa9260…
10-25 03:54:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbdb28a…
10-25 03:46:47	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x109207…
10-25 03:34:51	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xab3bca…
10-25 02:57:51	Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x1ca6e4…
10-25 02:41:44	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd8118d…
10-25 00:36:23	Will Jordan Mason have 649.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xbdd007…
10-25 00:08:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x98542f…
10-25 00:08:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4af4d5…
10-24 22:53:47	Will Jordan Mason have 649.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x2169fa…
10-24 22:51:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x7d2bf5…
10-24 22:48:14	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd539dd…
10-24 21:59:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xff0d69…
10-24 20:48:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xeb6767…
10-24 20:31:33	Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xec57b4…
10-24 20:18:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1d04be…
10-24 19:49:45	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x273545…
10-24 19:10:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xcdaefc…
10-24 18:46:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8afd4a…
10-24 18:36:50	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x26e233…
10-24 18:28:05	Will Drake London have 1,349.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5d8831…
10-24 17:54:35	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0xf87958…
10-24 17:54:35	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x8522c2…
10-24 17:53:06	Will Drake London have 1,349.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1f22ff…
10-24 17:50:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x416ac0…
10-24 16:57:48	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5b16e3…
10-24 16:46:50	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe4b31c…
10-24 16:16:56	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x508226…
10-24 16:14:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3edf4e…
10-24 16:09:17	Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$10	0xe3cd27…
10-24 15:46:57	Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1ff8c5…
10-24 15:29:24	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x85a675…
10-24 15:18:18	Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfd68b0…
10-24 15:09:30	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x52140a…
10-24 14:38:48	Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xa9d9f0…
10-24 14:24:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x5e79bd…