Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$870

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

383

Trades

5,146

lifetime

Volume

$46.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$434

24 positions

First seen

2026-09-26

last 10-27 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

72% 37% -$486

Politics

15% 33% -$276

Sports

5% 36% -$63

Tech

3% 36% -$31

Crypto

3% 0% -$14

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions (24) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	+100	$35	52¢	$52	+$16	10-23 08:18
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	+105	$67	48¢	$51	-$16	10-23 08:16
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$39	90¢	$45	+$6	10-23 20:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+50	$36	68¢	$34	-$2	10-25 10:02
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$27	77¢	$31	+$4	10-23 02:18
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$22	92¢	$28	+$6	09-28 23:07
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+37	$29	72¢	$27	-$2	10-18 02:27
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?	No	+30	$18	77¢	$23	+$5	10-14 01:31
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	No	+20	$14	100¢	$20	+$6	10-20 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$18	97¢	$19	+$1	10-22 07:51
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	+20	$15	82¢	$16	+$2	10-22 01:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+50	$15	32¢	$16	+$1	10-25 10:02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	+20	$11	57¢	$11	+$1	10-02 22:36
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$11	48¢	$10	-$1	10-24 10:15
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$15	23¢	$9	-$6	10-23 02:18
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	No	+20	$10	43¢	$9	-$2	10-03 04:28
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+28	$8	28¢	$8	+$0	10-18 02:32
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	$7	52¢	$7	+$0	10-24 20:12
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa by october 31	Yes	+30	$11	23¢	$7	-$4	10-14 13:38
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$9	10¢	$5	-$4	10-23 20:52
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+20	$6	18¢	$4	-$2	10-22 01:23
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$8	8¢	$2	-$5	09-28 23:07
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	+20	$1	3¢	$1	$0	10-22 07:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	+20	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	10-20 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	14	$224	456	+456	open	—	10-23 17:51
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	10	$197	374	+374	open	—	10-14 17:29
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	9	$124	240	+240	open	—	10-03 20:01
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	7	$122	240	+240	open	—	10-16 12:56
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	10	$120	243	+243	No	$0	10-02 12:11
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	12	$115	225	+225	open	—	10-10 11:40
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	11	$103	205	+205	open	—	10-23 08:18
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	10	$101	200	+200	open	—	10-09 16:28
Will Malik Willis have 2,949.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	12	$101	194	+194	open	—	10-17 01:58
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?	5	$99	199	+199	open	—	10-17 13:21
Linera listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	7	$97	197	+197	open	—	10-03 05:56
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	7	$92	178	+178	open	—	10-04 16:11
Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?	6	$91	177	+177	open	—	10-14 15:29
Will Colston Loveland have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	13	$87	164	+164	open	—	10-16 18:47
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	11	$87	179	+179	open	—	10-20 18:54
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	4	$83	160	+160	Yes	-$3	10-05 21:50
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	12	$82	159	+159	open	—	10-06 06:30
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	9	$81	163	+163	open	—	10-06 21:29
Will Caleb Williams have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$81	160	+160	open	—	10-24 17:36
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	3	$81	142	+142	open	—	10-13 13:20
will bank of america say workflow during earnings call october 14	4	$80	161	+161	No	-$30	10-13 04:28
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?	4	$79	161	+161	open	—	10-22 20:10
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	9	$78	158	+158	No	-$6	10-02 13:17
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	8	$78	156	+156	Yes	+$2	10-08 12:38
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	8	$77	150	+150	open	—	10-26 14:11
will andrei svechnikov record 30 goals in the 2026 27 regular season	7	$77	140	+140	open	—	10-15 22:07
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	7	$76	140	+140	open	—	10-07 12:45
Will C.J. Stroud have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$75	145	+145	open	—	10-23 10:54
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?	6	$75	144	+144	open	—	10-04 12:53
Will Tama Shimabukuro reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	8	$74	150	+150	open	—	10-16 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:51:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd9fdd1…
10-27 01:50:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x58c80d…
10-27 01:37:17	Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x666c23…
10-27 01:12:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa6eb91…
10-27 01:05:32	Will Lindsey Vonn rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xce667f…
10-27 01:04:53	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x04ff06…
10-27 00:58:23	Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2ef008…
10-27 00:58:21	Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6674b7…
10-27 00:51:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x46ef36…
10-27 00:44:48	Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8ff5f3…
10-27 00:38:27	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc8194f…
10-27 00:38:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x932d65…
10-27 00:37:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x96caa8…
10-27 00:34:35	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd6d838…
10-27 00:33:20	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfb10e9…
10-27 00:23:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x76a543…
10-27 00:21:27	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2ccabf…
10-27 00:14:50	Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa64d37…
10-27 00:07:45	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xb904f2…
10-27 00:07:11	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7768c9…
10-27 00:06:47	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3e296e…
10-27 00:05:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe60ad2…
10-26 23:55:05	Will PP win 138-143 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x70c874…
10-26 23:55:03	Will PP win 138-143 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb3f367…
10-26 23:54:12	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x88c259…
10-26 23:50:24	Will Tee Higgins have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xef42dc…
10-26 23:48:03	will the cat in the hat score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4db5c5…
10-26 23:42:12	Will Sam Darnold have 3,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9c6b65…
10-26 23:29:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x420bbb…
10-26 23:22:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x805eef…
10-26 23:12:03	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xfc156f…
10-26 23:02:41	Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x93621c…
10-26 23:02:36	Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x595250…
10-26 23:00:42	Will PSOE win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf11c75…
10-26 22:40:14	Will Dak Prescott have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xedd71b…
10-26 22:38:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf3f23a…
10-26 22:30:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x76685b…
10-26 22:29:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x936634…
10-26 22:08:14	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xac79a4…
10-26 22:07:41	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 10.5%+?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x7247e2…
10-26 22:06:12	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x22394e…
10-26 21:52:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xc71f2a…
10-26 21:41:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2a3843…
10-26 21:37:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x059cc1…
10-26 21:15:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb23e78…
10-26 21:09:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x57bfc0…
10-26 21:07:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x826f81…
10-26 21:04:47	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5e1d00…
10-26 21:04:47	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1833cf…
10-26 21:03:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7990d6…
10-26 20:59:57	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3911eb…
10-26 20:48:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb842ba…
10-26 20:48:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8825c4…
10-26 20:35:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xaea3bd…
10-26 20:34:30	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x684d61…
10-26 20:28:08	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x7b11c0…
10-26 20:22:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa68557…
10-26 20:18:57	Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xb6bc5e…
10-26 20:15:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6da076…
10-26 20:01:17	Will the Colorado Avalanche record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe1fb9e…
10-26 20:00:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3c5a81…
10-26 19:54:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x4f3a29…
10-26 19:53:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xcec61b…
10-26 19:52:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1bbcc9…
10-26 19:51:18	Will Team Spirit win PARI Universe?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x22e6ed…
10-26 19:15:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3caa42…
10-26 19:11:26	Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x00f36f…
10-26 19:06:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x6586e3…
10-26 19:06:02	Will Lindsey Vonn rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf06de2…
10-26 19:04:56	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x1c6b6b…
10-26 19:00:51	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xffb194…
10-26 18:55:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbc7e83…
10-26 18:47:18	Will PSOE win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5ff34d…
10-26 18:46:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x40c20e…
10-26 18:46:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x322f38…
10-26 18:42:21	Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1b1f06…
10-26 18:39:30	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.4B?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x95d12b…
10-26 15:54:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa34b9c…
10-26 15:48:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1100b2…
10-26 15:43:26	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3bc838…
10-26 15:43:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3aca80…
10-26 15:29:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x290df4…
10-26 15:28:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x76438c…
10-26 15:26:56	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x80de56…
10-26 15:22:30	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0f3411…
10-26 15:19:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc9a168…
10-26 15:08:15	Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf8ac96…
10-26 15:07:29	Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x398011…
10-26 14:50:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x40449c…
10-26 14:48:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6ca1b9…
10-26 14:45:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xe07bfc…
10-26 14:37:15	Will Evgenii Malkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb9fdc2…
10-26 14:31:39	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0654e8…
10-26 14:31:36	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd69bc1…
10-26 14:16:03	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbb2b1c…
10-26 14:11:41	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc32699…
10-26 14:08:30	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a4c9d…
10-26 14:08:18	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9a23cd…
10-26 14:05:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5778e6…
10-26 13:53:33	Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7cfc4d…