Realized P&L
+$33
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
565
Trades
1,180
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
59% 78% -$24
Sports
18% 93% +$36
Politics
18% 86% +$32
Tech
2% 80% +$7
Crypto
1% 89% -$18
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +117 $117 97¢ $113 -$4 09-13 19:43
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +113 $112 99¢ $112 $0 09-14 03:23
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +98 $98 99¢ $97 -$1 09-09 23:15
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +96 $92 97¢ $92 +$0 09-13 00:50
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +79 $78 99¢ $78 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +77 $76 100¢ $76 $0 09-09 12:12
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +81 $75 92¢ $75 $0 09-14 02:57
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +68 $67 99¢ $67 $0 09-17 19:04
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +77 $74 86¢ $67 -$7 09-14 01:10
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $60 100¢ $63 +$3 09-13 21:15
Will 1. FC Köln be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 09-08 12:32
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 99¢ $58 $0 09-09 22:59
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +58 $58 100¢ $58 +$0 09-07 23:18
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $47 99¢ $47 $0 09-14 03:23
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 96¢ $46 -$1 09-18 01:02
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 09-14 02:57
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 09-09 13:11
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 09-13 21:16
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 09-03 14:17
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 95¢ $31 $0 09-18 01:03
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $30 95¢ $31 +$1 09-13 17:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +31 $31 94¢ $29 -$2 09-01 18:03
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $30 88¢ $29 -$1 09-13 21:14
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 98¢ $24 +$1 09-14 03:24
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 94¢ $23 -$1 09-13 17:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +23 $15 94¢ $22 +$7 09-14 00:37
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 09-04 19:17