Realized P&L
+$36
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
590
Trades
1,180
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
59% 79% -$31
Sports
18% 93% +$36
Politics
18% 86% +$32
Tech
2% 77% +$17
Crypto
1% 89% -$18
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 $0 09-06 18:25
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +117 $117 98¢ $115 -$2 09-13 19:43
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +113 $112 100¢ $112 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +98 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +96 $92 97¢ $93 +$1 09-13 00:50
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +79 $78 99¢ $78 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +81 $75 96¢ $77 +$2 09-14 02:57
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +77 $76 100¢ $76 $0 09-09 12:12
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +68 $67 98¢ $67 $0 09-17 19:04
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +77 $74 86¢ $66 -$7 09-14 01:10
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $60 100¢ $63 +$3 09-13 21:15
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 $0 09-09 22:59
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +58 $58 100¢ $58 +$0 09-07 23:18
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 97¢ $47 -$1 09-18 01:02
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $47 98¢ $47 $0 09-14 03:23
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 09-13 17:35
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 09-14 02:57
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 09-09 13:11
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 09-13 21:16
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 95¢ $31 $0 09-18 01:03
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $30 86¢ $28 -$2 09-13 21:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +31 $31 80¢ $25 -$6 09-01 18:03
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 99¢ $24 +$1 09-14 03:24
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will Brock Purdy finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns? No +23 $22 99¢ $23 +$1 09-20 06:54
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 88¢ $21 -$2 09-13 17:34
Will Jaxson Dart win the 2026 NFL MVP? No — +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 08-28 16:25
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? No — +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$1 08-29 15:39
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 08-26 20:50