Realized P&L
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
3,771
Trades
10,166
lifetime
Volume
$90.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$469
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-12 02:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
62% 67% -$771
Crypto
24% 49% -$578
Politics
12% 79% +$40
Tech
1% 74% +$26
Sports
1% 68% +$34
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +101 $53 70¢ $70 +$18 08-02 03:18
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +76 $20 83¢ $63 +$42 08-28 15:43
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +50 $45 77¢ $39 -$6 08-22 07:26
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +101 $52 31¢ $31 -$21 08-02 03:18
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +51 $35 53¢ $27 -$9 08-14 18:14
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +51 $14 50¢ $26 +$11 08-14 18:14
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $10 80¢ $16 +$6 09-02 20:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +26 $16 52¢ $13 -$3 08-29 13:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +13 $12 99¢ $13 +$1 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 09-01 18:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +26 $9 47¢ $12 +$3 08-29 13:57
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +76 $54 16¢ $12 -$42 08-28 15:44
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 09-18 14:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $11 98¢ $12 +$1 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $13 96¢ $12 $0 09-01 18:03
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +51 $5 22¢ $11 +$6 08-22 07:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $11 83¢ $10 -$1 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 -$1 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +13 $7 70¢ $9 +$2 09-01 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +7 $7 92¢ $7 $0 09-20 15:35
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +7 $4 75¢ $5 +$2 09-18 22:36
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 08-22 08:13
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 08-22 08:13
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $10 22¢ $4 -$6 09-02 20:55
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 08-22 08:13
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 08-22 08:13
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 08-22 08:13
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +5 $5 78¢ $4 -$1 08-22 08:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 64¢ $3 $0 09-23 01:30