Sardonic-Caper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

6,017

lifetime

Volume

$99.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 08-10 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

68% 33% +$7

Politics

24% 0% —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 321 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	54	$2.7K	3,307	1,883	+1,425	open	—	08-09 11:54
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	51	$2.2K	2,499	1,741	+758	open	—	08-10 10:50
israel closes its airspace by august 15	115	$2.1K	2,280	2,220	+59	open	—	08-08 03:01
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	21	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	08-07 16:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	32	$1.8K	2,224	1,004	+1,220	open	—	08-10 04:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	28	$1.8K	3,116	262	+2,854	open	—	08-09 11:24
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	68	$1.7K	1,983	1,128	+855	open	—	08-10 09:02
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	47	$1.7K	2,536	659	+1,878	open	—	08-08 19:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	49	$1.7K	1,595	1,395	+200	open	—	08-04 15:16
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	52	$1.6K	1,587	1,587	+0	open	—	08-07 23:57
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	11	$1.4K	987	987	+0	open	—	08-09 18:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	33	$1.3K	2,020	442	+1,578	open	—	08-07 12:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	23	$1.3K	1,806	628	+1,178	open	—	08-09 11:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	20	$1.2K	1,197	797	+400	open	—	08-07 19:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	21	$1.2K	1,968	768	+1,200	open	—	08-09 22:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	41	$1.2K	2,076	471	+1,605	open	—	08-08 18:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	31	$1.1K	3,145	1,545	+1,600	open	—	08-10 08:11
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	13	$928	1,611	366	+1,245	open	—	08-10 10:18
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	20	$883	649	649	+0	open	—	07-27 22:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	12	$824	1,000	899	+101	open	—	08-08 02:33
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	14	$810	495	490	+5	open	—	08-02 01:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	44	$734	781	831	-50	open	—	07-23 14:45
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	9	$718	1,423	0	+1,422	open	—	08-10 02:09
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	25	$716	973	412	+562	open	—	08-10 08:51
will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	14	$643	630	330	+300	open	—	08-01 10:29
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	45	$625	643	658	-15	open	—	07-29 12:25
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	18	$622	748	688	+60	open	—	08-05 16:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$619	374	374	+0	open	—	02-28 21:38
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	37	$619	741	791	-50	open	—	07-22 22:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	22	$611	764	378	+386	open	—	08-09 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:46:07	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xbcd62d…
08-10 11:31:31	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4db7dc…
08-10 11:31:30	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xef16c6…
08-10 11:22:37	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x97e33c…
08-10 11:22:37	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x280bc2…
08-10 10:50:37	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	72	39¢	$28	0x2aee62…
08-10 10:49:46	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x889cad…
08-10 10:37:49	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x22c1de…
08-10 10:25:21	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x453851…
08-10 10:24:12	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x189118…
08-10 10:20:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x6371ca…
08-10 10:20:31	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x25e76f…
08-10 10:18:52	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xed383e…
08-10 10:16:54	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x344298…
08-10 09:37:58	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xf20359…
08-10 09:37:58	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x2eb53d…
08-10 09:02:58	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x622881…
08-10 09:02:57	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x12bc5f…
08-10 08:55:15	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x93f0b2…
08-10 08:55:13	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcca8bb…
08-10 08:51:43	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xdd7be6…
08-10 08:50:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x51eb84…
08-10 08:50:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	77	75¢	$58	0x5bf6b7…
08-10 08:41:30	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x8b3d05…
08-10 08:41:28	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x127f7e…
08-10 08:28:42	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xa5ea48…
08-10 08:28:24	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x32c852…
08-10 08:11:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$11	0xaf8865…
08-10 08:11:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xbf9d9d…
08-10 07:57:37	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x9b82f5…
08-10 07:57:37	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x78b4ea…
08-10 07:38:34	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x7d321a…
08-10 07:29:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	24	40¢	$9	0xfebc23…
08-10 07:28:13	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x994158…
08-10 07:27:07	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xfc2dc3…
08-10 06:27:48	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x9cfdaa…
08-10 06:27:48	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x25a401…
08-10 06:24:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x65d173…
08-10 06:24:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x093eb7…
08-10 06:03:31	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x41b7e4…
08-10 06:03:07	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x727f45…
08-10 06:01:49	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbc99ad…
08-10 06:01:49	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x632b87…
08-10 04:41:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	SELL	67	89¢	$59	0xbaf4ef…
08-10 03:41:03	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xef56a1…
08-10 03:40:30	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x07fda2…
08-10 03:15:42	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x8976b9…
08-10 03:15:42	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x16ae96…
08-10 03:14:51	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x7cf931…
08-10 03:14:21	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4c41b0…
08-10 02:48:33	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x339144…
08-10 02:47:45	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0xa828a9…
08-10 02:47:15	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	No	SELL	108	68¢	$73	0xf30515…
08-10 02:47:13	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	No	BUY	108	69¢	$74	0x446911…
08-10 02:47:13	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	BUY	107	32¢	$34	0x1e5d69…
08-10 02:26:55	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xf1c760…
08-10 02:26:28	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x206953…
08-10 02:09:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x91ebc7…
08-10 02:09:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x41a17c…
08-10 01:49:15	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x2bf250…
08-10 01:34:10	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xfdf93f…
08-10 01:34:09	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xdb2d01…
08-10 01:34:09	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7abcea…
08-10 01:31:55	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xcb25d6…
08-10 01:31:54	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x1e1177…
08-10 01:19:03	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xee018c…
08-10 01:19:01	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xc16c68…
08-10 01:05:25	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4fcc81…
08-10 01:05:24	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3acc20…
08-10 00:02:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb60fcb…
08-10 00:02:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x770635…
08-09 23:48:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x61da25…
08-09 23:48:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7e0c3a…
08-09 23:23:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe6f281…
08-09 23:23:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7a5f38…
08-09 22:38:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xde2677…
08-09 22:38:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x31ea3f…
08-09 22:10:48	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8f1d0…
08-09 22:04:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfe191a…
08-09 22:04:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8c0429…
08-09 21:46:34	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcb5d49…
08-09 21:46:33	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xbcacae…
08-09 21:10:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xa1a386…
08-09 21:09:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x80d435…
08-09 21:09:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x3689d0…
08-09 20:42:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xa1dbfb…
08-09 20:40:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xd768ed…
08-09 20:39:39	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x1f80ce…
08-09 20:36:10	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x3216d0…
08-09 20:36:10	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x2b38a5…
08-09 20:23:19	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	520	26¢	$134	0x816f5b…
08-09 20:22:16	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	600	27¢	$162	0x51ac45…
08-09 20:16:24	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x8c528c…
08-09 20:15:15	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	69	57¢	$39	0x134425…
08-09 20:15:13	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0xd3a4ed…
08-09 20:15:13	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x90054f…
08-09 20:12:21	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x096e4b…
08-09 19:58:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	33	86¢	$29	0x4a9516…
08-09 19:58:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x31abc0…
08-09 19:57:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xa67051…