Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,424
lifetime
Volume
$37.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$140
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-21 05:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
69% 33% +$7
Politics
23% 0%
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 321 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes -75 $-34 50¢ $-37 $-3 07-18 17:51
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $43 60¢ $30 $-13 07-01 20:12
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +17 $14 85¢ $14 +$1 05-28 13:55
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-10 89¢ $-13 $-3 05-27 20:09
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -19 $-6 53¢ $-10 $-4 06-27 08:43
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 34¢ $7 $-4 06-04 09:55
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $11 24¢ $5 $-6 06-16 14:59
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +40 $17 12¢ $5 $-12 07-06 12:44
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $8 18¢ $4 $-4 06-25 07:50
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $7 16¢ $3 $-4 07-20 10:14
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 15¢ $-3 +$2 06-27 08:44
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +17 $10 15¢ $3 $-7 06-02 10:50
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 24¢ $-2 +$2 06-11 22:44
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 11¢ $-2 +$2 06-26 14:52
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -20 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-24 22:46
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +50 $8 $1 $-7 06-27 21:00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-17 13:48
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +0 $4 20¢ $0 $-4 07-20 10:11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-17 07:53
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +0 $2 12¢ $0 $-1 07-20 08:33
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 +$0 06-27 05:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $-0 55¢ $0 +$0 07-06 11:03
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +0 $0 38¢ $0 $-0 06-11 01:51
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-17 09:57
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $-0 07-16 06:39