Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,577
lifetime
Volume
$18.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$208
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-10 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
71% 33% +$7
Politics
20% 0%
Crypto
6%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-26 62¢ $-31 $-6 05-29 07:13
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes -50 $-24 57¢ $-29 $-5 06-03 16:22
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +50 $20 35¢ $18 $-3 06-08 10:52
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +17 $14 83¢ $14 +$0 05-28 13:55
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $14 64¢ $13 $-1 06-10 06:35
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-10 84¢ $-13 $-2 05-27 20:09
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $13 56¢ $11 $-2 06-07 05:08
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +20 $19 52¢ $10 $-8 05-29 05:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +44 $11 21¢ $9 $-2 06-09 16:57
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes -40 $-18 19¢ $-8 +$10 05-28 00:28
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +17 $6 38¢ $7 +$0 06-08 14:27
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +20 $8 32¢ $6 $-1 06-08 18:45
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 32¢ $6 $-4 06-04 09:55
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +19 $7 25¢ $5 $-3 05-30 21:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 79¢ $-5 $-3 06-09 16:21
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? Yes -18 $-10 23¢ $-4 +$6 05-30 17:59
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $8 16¢ $3 $-5 06-09 08:05
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 24¢ $3 $-2 06-05 10:04
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +17 $10 17¢ $3 $-7 06-02 10:50
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +15 $6 18¢ $3 $-3 06-01 12:51
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? Yes +50 $14 $2 $-12 05-27 23:22
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +15 $4 13¢ $2 $-2 05-28 20:08
USDS depeg by December 31? Yes +12 $2 $1 $-1 06-05 22:24
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-02 10:49
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $0 71¢ $0 +$0 06-09 16:16
Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 19:47
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 07:00
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +0 $-0 78¢ $0 +$0 06-08 08:05
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +1 $-2 22¢ $0 +$2 06-09 16:10
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 11:36