Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6ce0…54e3f5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,243
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$135
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-01 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
69% 33% +$7
Politics
22% 0% —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +44 $20 45¢ $20 +$0 06-30 15:08
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +20 $19 80¢ $16 $-3 05-29 05:06
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +17 $14 79¢ $13 $-0 05-28 13:55
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-10 88¢ $-13 $-3 05-27 20:09
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +20 $14 56¢ $11 $-3 06-25 21:14
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes +39 $12 29¢ $11 $-1 06-29 09:26
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $11 30¢ $6 $-5 06-16 14:59
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +15 $7 40¢ $6 $-1 06-23 12:03
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 22¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 08:44
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $6 21¢ $4 $-2 06-25 12:01
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $8 20¢ $4 $-4 06-25 07:50
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -19 $-6 20¢ $-4 +$2 06-27 08:43
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +17 $10 21¢ $4 $-6 06-02 10:50
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 16¢ $3 $-7 06-04 09:55
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 28¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 22:44
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -20 $-2 14¢ $-3 $-0 06-24 22:46
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 13¢ $-3 +$1 06-26 14:52
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 18¢ $2 $-3 06-05 10:04
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +15 $6 14¢ $2 $-3 06-01 12:51
USDS depeg by December 31? Yes +12 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 06-05 22:24
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +50 $8 1¢ $1 $-7 06-27 21:00
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $0 69¢ $0 +$0 07-01 01:15
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? Yes +50 $14 0¢ $0 $-14 05-27 23:22
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +0 $1 44¢ $0 $-0 06-27 08:54
Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +20 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 05-29 19:47
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes -40 $-18 0¢ $-0 +$17 05-28 00:28
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes -50 $-24 0¢ $-0 +$24 06-03 16:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-07 19:11
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-26 0¢ $-0 +$25 05-29 07:13
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-03 07:00