Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6ce0…54e3f5
whale bot 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$280
Unrealized P&L
+$5.68K
Hit rate
2.2%
Resolved (7d)
89
Trades (7d)
59
47,981 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$644
$860.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$58.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 20:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
64% 11% -$7,737
Politics
24% 12% -$1,085
Tech
7% 14% -$783
Sports
4% 3% -$1,015
Crypto
1% 25% -$310
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +5,690 $4,634 100¢ $5.7K +$1,036 10-03 19:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3,260 $2,829 97¢ $3.2K +$338 09-02 17:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +3,145 $2,995 98¢ $3.1K +$92 10-03 15:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,453 $2,737 78¢ $2.7K -$43 10-03 22:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +2,561 $2,376 90¢ $2.3K -$58 10-02 20:36
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +2,530 $1,746 88¢ $2.2K +$468 09-30 19:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2,419 $2,051 91¢ $2.2K +$150 10-03 15:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,402 $1,557 86¢ $2.1K +$521 09-29 16:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3,070 $955 66¢ $2.0K +$1,072 09-30 20:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +2,213 $1,517 92¢ $2.0K +$508 09-26 20:04
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +2,193 $1,589 89¢ $2.0K +$363 09-06 19:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,327 $1,792 84¢ $2.0K +$158 09-28 03:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,301 $1,871 84¢ $1.9K +$50 10-02 21:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,270 $1,834 82¢ $1.9K +$33 10-03 18:43
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,930 $1,796 96¢ $1.8K +$52 10-02 18:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,011 $1,688 91¢ $1.8K +$142 10-03 14:00
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +2,476 $1,856 65¢ $1.6K -$247 10-03 19:21
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +2,222 $1,642 72¢ $1.6K -$53 10-01 06:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,627 $1,213 96¢ $1.6K +$357 09-12 16:37
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,649 $1,472 95¢ $1.6K +$91 10-03 09:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,638 $1,522 94¢ $1.5K +$26 10-02 06:54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,518 $1,489 100¢ $1.5K +$27 09-11 23:06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,692 $1,199 88¢ $1.5K +$281 08-28 00:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +2,023 $694 68¢ $1.4K +$672 09-26 19:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,294 $1,499 58¢ $1.3K -$173 10-01 16:06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,479 $1,109 51¢ $1.3K +$155 10-03 21:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,479 $1,393 49¢ $1.2K -$178 10-03 21:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,193 $224 99¢ $1.2K +$960 09-16 22:39
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No +1,145 $1,075 93¢ $1.1K -$11 09-18 20:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,070 $2,149 34¢ $1.0K -$1,105 09-30 20:08