Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6ce0…54e3f5
whale bot cold 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$8.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.87K
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved (90d)
3,001
Trades (90d)
36,499
47,042 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$708.5K
$836.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$58.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-31 00:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
64% 11% -$7,790
Politics
24% 12% -$1,086
Tech
7% 14% -$783
Sports
4% 3% -$1,015
Crypto
1% 25% -$310
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +5,690 $4,634 100¢ $5.7K +$1,041 10-03 19:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3,260 $2,829 97¢ $3.2K +$331 09-02 17:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +3,145 $2,995 98¢ $3.1K +$78 10-03 15:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,453 $2,737 84¢ $2.9K +$155 10-03 22:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +2,561 $2,376 92¢ $2.3K -$33 10-02 20:36
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +2,530 $1,746 88¢ $2.2K +$493 09-30 19:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2,419 $2,051 92¢ $2.2K +$162 10-03 15:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,402 $1,557 90¢ $2.1K +$593 09-29 16:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3,070 $955 66¢ $2.0K +$1,087 09-30 20:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +2,213 $1,517 92¢ $2.0K +$508 09-26 20:04
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +2,193 $1,589 91¢ $2.0K +$407 09-06 19:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,301 $1,871 83¢ $1.9K +$44 10-02 21:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,327 $1,792 82¢ $1.9K +$106 09-28 03:13
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,930 $1,796 97¢ $1.9K +$70 10-02 18:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,011 $1,688 92¢ $1.8K +$152 10-03 14:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,270 $1,834 79¢ $1.8K -$32 10-03 18:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,627 $1,213 98¢ $1.6K +$381 09-12 16:37
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +2,476 $1,856 64¢ $1.6K -$272 10-03 19:21
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,649 $1,472 94¢ $1.6K +$83 10-03 09:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +2,222 $1,642 70¢ $1.6K -$87 10-01 06:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,638 $1,522 94¢ $1.5K +$26 10-02 06:54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,518 $1,489 100¢ $1.5K +$22 09-11 23:06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,692 $1,199 88¢ $1.5K +$298 08-28 00:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,294 $1,499 59¢ $1.4K -$142 10-01 16:06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,479 $1,109 54¢ $1.3K +$217 10-03 21:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +2,023 $694 63¢ $1.3K +$581 09-26 19:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,193 $224 100¢ $1.2K +$966 09-16 22:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,479 $1,393 46¢ $1.2K -$240 10-03 21:58
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No +1,145 $1,075 93¢ $1.1K -$10 09-18 20:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,070 $2,149 34¢ $1.0K -$1,120 09-30 20:08