Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?
open
Total volume
$7,112
$803 in 24h
Trades
465
Unique wallets
93
Liquidity
$1,193
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-26 16:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.7¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $303
vs crowd: 30% YES on $4.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $585 | $1.9K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $812 | $1.2K | $385 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $76 | $187 | $111 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $74 | $69 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $41 | $262 | $220 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $67 | $241 | $173 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $43 | $39 |
| Median | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| Below median | 10 | $30 | $161 | $131 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $30 | $24 | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $182 | $608 | $426 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $713 | $2.0K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 4 | $412 | $10 | +$402 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1,234 | $341 | $341 | 24 | 10-26 16:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +946 | $641 | $641 | 24 | 10-25 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | +240 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 10-26 14:02 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +181 | $145 | $145 | 4 | 10-26 13:07 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +119 | $87 | $87 | 6 | 10-26 16:27 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +92 | $68 | $89 | 6 | 10-22 03:58 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +92 | $41 | $76 | 10 | 10-26 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | +91 | -$110 | $529 | 13 | 10-21 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +85 | $29 | $32 | 7 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +85 | $70 | $164 | 11 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +80 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 10-10 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +80 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 10-10 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +66 | $47 | $72 | 5 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +66 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 10-21 03:24 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +62 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 10-21 03:24 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +60 | $20 | $31 | 6 | 10-21 05:24 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +60 | $49 | $100 | 4 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | +59 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-26 14:02 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $15 | $18 | 2 | 09-30 13:54 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +55 | $108 | $700 | 17 | 10-04 16:42 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +45 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-10 22:16 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | No | +45 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 10-11 22:30 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | +42 | $36 | $64 | 2 | 09-30 13:54 |
| Worried-Dinghy 0x8482…3f7a | Yes | +42 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-12 10:30 |
| Worried-Dinghy 0x8482…3f7a | No | +41 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 10-12 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +40 | $16 | $26 | 6 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-26 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 09-20 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-11 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-11 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-26 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +40 | $30 | $55 | 4 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +40 | $37 | $147 | 7 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +35 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 09-23 06:16 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +33 | $26 | $90 | 9 | 10-21 03:24 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +33 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +28 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 09-30 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +28 | $25 | $74 | 6 | 10-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +26 | $7 | $8 | 4 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +26 | $19 | $47 | 6 | 10-21 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +26 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-26 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-18 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $21 | 2 | 10-13 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | +20 | $22 | $152 | 9 | 10-26 16:27 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $9 | 2 | 10-26 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-12 10:30 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-26 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-02 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-02 13:12 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +20 | $16 | $41 | 3 | 10-26 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-26 16:27 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-20 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-12 10:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $12 | 2 | 10-26 16:27 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +5 | $7 | $113 | 27 | 10-26 13:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xbace66… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x7504e0… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbace66… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 28¢ | $27 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x7504e0… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:35 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd5e11a… |
| 10-26 16:27:33 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x684f5f… |
| 10-26 16:27:33 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 26 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x684f5f… |
| 10-26 14:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | SELL | 13 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x4a8a51… |
| 10-26 14:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x4a8a51… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 28¢ | $17 | 0xcc7c03… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 28¢ | $17 | 0xcc7c03… |
| 10-26 14:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 28¢ | $17 | 0x7589c6… |
| 10-26 14:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…7857 | No | BUY | 59 | 72¢ | $43 | 0x7589c6… |
| 10-26 13:42:44 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x85e10f… |
| 10-26 13:42:44 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x85e10f… |
| 10-26 13:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 28¢ | $34 | 0xe7b096… |
| 10-26 13:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 28¢ | $34 | 0xe7b096… |
| 10-26 13:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd77ba8… |
| 10-26 13:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xd77ba8… |
| 10-26 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 43 | 78¢ | $33 | 0x1b87cf… |
| 10-26 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x1b87cf… |
| 10-26 13:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x3c129d… |
| 10-26 13:08:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x3c129d… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 43 | 80¢ | $34 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x5210…6b07 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | BUY | 307 | 20¢ | $62 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 79¢ | $63 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 13:07:54 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xd96959… |
| 10-26 05:04:42 | (anonymous) 0xb06c…b574 | No | SELL | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xc1d946… |
| 10-26 05:04:42 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 19¢ | $12 | 0xc1d946… |
| 10-26 05:04:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0xc1d946… |
| 10-26 03:56:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 74¢ | $44 | 0x2f9729… |
| 10-26 03:56:50 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0x2f9729… |
| 10-26 03:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x36163b… |
| 10-26 03:51:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x36163b… |
| 10-25 15:36:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2d5e3d… |
| 10-25 15:36:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2d5e3d… |
| 10-25 11:47:47 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x43e2ea… |
| 10-25 11:47:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 76¢ | $46 | 0x43e2ea… |
| 10-25 11:47:47 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x43e2ea… |
| 10-22 03:58:05 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xcd57d1… |
| 10-22 03:58:05 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xcd57d1… |
| 10-21 21:38:05 | (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3ad070… |
| 10-21 21:38:05 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 31 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x3ad070… |
| 10-21 21:38:05 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x3ad070… |
| 10-21 21:38:05 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | Yes | BUY | 91 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x3ad070… |
| 10-21 21:38:05 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x3ad070… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x5210…6b07 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x655984… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x2173ba… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 69 | 71¢ | $49 | 0x2173ba… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x655984… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x2173ba… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xfec3…7f04 | No | SELL | 16 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x2173ba… |
| 10-21 10:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x2173ba… |
| 10-21 05:24:41 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xbd3163… |
| 10-21 05:24:41 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xbd3163… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x94407e… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xe46215… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xe46215… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x24ffa1… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x45229c… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb77ae8… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x24ffa1… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x94407e… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x94407e… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb77ae8… |
| 10-21 03:24:35 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x45229c… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xd21cfc… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x91b707… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xd21cfc… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x0da1d0… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x59fa94… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x91b707… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xa37692… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x59fa94… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xa37692… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0xd21cfc… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x0da1d0… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xa37692… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 40 | 70¢ | $28 | 0x0da1d0… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xd21cfc… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xb94be9… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xb94be9… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 90 | 30¢ | $27 | 0xd21cfc… |
| 10-21 03:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x59fa94… |
| 10-15 01:59:17 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 72 | 68¢ | $49 | 0xd64e44… |
| 10-15 01:59:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 32¢ | $23 | 0xd64e44… |
| 10-14 15:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xa314…5ba7 | No | SELL | 40 | 59¢ | $24 | 0xb96bf0… |
| 10-14 15:18:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 59¢ | $24 | 0xb96bf0… |