(anonymous) 0x947208…0ff660 Create alert
whale cold
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.87K
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
1,360
Trades
13,484
lifetime
Volume
$349.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$58.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 11-13 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
58% 48% -$7,116
Politics
39% 40% -$4,314
Sports
2% 32% -$611
Tech
1% 20% +$601
Crypto
0% 100% +$44
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 2211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +189,404 $31,447 12¢ $23.7K -$7,772 11-12 15:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -189,404 -$19,470 10¢ $-19603 -$133 11-12 18:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +473,390 $1,597 0¢ $2.1K +$533 11-12 17:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +254,556 $1,132 1¢ $1.5K +$395 11-13 18:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,211 $703 97¢ $1.2K +$467 11-04 03:18
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,140 $330 99¢ $1.1K +$803 11-02 21:27
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +660 $499 97¢ $640 +$141 10-26 07:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +640 $532 97¢ $620 +$88 10-18 07:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +606 $150 100¢ $604 +$454 11-02 17:34
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +630 $334 90¢ $570 +$236 10-17 20:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +858 $449 63¢ $542 +$94 10-18 07:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +460 $198 96¢ $440 +$242 10-28 11:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +440 $403 98¢ $430 +$27 10-16 05:42
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? No +439 $362 97¢ $426 +$64 11-03 02:07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $314 99¢ $424 +$110 10-17 10:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +423 $230 98¢ $416 +$187 11-03 20:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +400 $292 100¢ $398 +$107 11-02 23:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +420 $370 94¢ $397 +$27 10-18 09:52
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +379 $139 100¢ $379 +$240 11-03 01:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +488 $169 77¢ $376 +$206 10-31 06:43
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +340 $138 98¢ $334 +$196 11-03 22:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +895 $379 37¢ $329 -$49 11-01 13:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +391 $319 82¢ $322 +$3 10-18 08:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +265 $78 97¢ $258 +$179 11-01 14:32
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +440 $233 56¢ $249 +$15 10-17 00:21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +240 $78 97¢ $233 +$155 10-29 09:11
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +220 $194 100¢ $220 +$26 10-16 03:44
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +220 $185 98¢ $215 +$30 10-16 05:33
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +216 $165 98¢ $212 +$47 10-28 04:38
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +220 $202 96¢ $211 +$9 10-16 04:59