Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,034

lifetime

Volume

$7.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$116

29 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-29 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% -$4

Other

45% 49% -$65

Tech

4% 75% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (29) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	-16	-$14	98¢	$-16	-$2	09-18 12:24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	-16	-$15	92¢	$-15	$0	09-18 12:24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	No	-13	-$13	99¢	$-13	$0	09-18 12:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	-16	-$10	56¢	$-9	+$1	09-18 12:24
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$7	81¢	$8	+$1	10-14 16:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	-16	-$8	46¢	$-7	+$0	09-18 12:24
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	-6	-$6	96¢	$-6	$0	09-18 12:24
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	-5	-$5	96¢	$-5	$0	09-18 12:24
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	-5	-$4	94¢	$-4	$0	09-18 12:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-4	-$4	96¢	$-4	+$0	09-18 12:27
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-26	-$3	13¢	$-3	-$1	09-18 12:25
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	-3	-$3	97¢	$-3	$0	09-18 12:28
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-3	-$3	98¢	$-3	$0	09-18 12:28
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-26	-$4	12¢	$-3	+$1	09-18 12:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	-12	-$3	22¢	$-3	+$1	09-18 12:25
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	-24	-$6	11¢	$-3	+$3	09-18 12:24
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	-3	-$2	94¢	$-2	$0	09-18 12:28
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-29	-$4	6¢	$-2	+$2	09-18 12:24
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	19¢	$2	-$2	10-14 16:00
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	-42	-$2	3¢	$-1	+$0	09-18 12:24
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	No	-20	-$1	3¢	$-1	$0	09-18 12:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	-1	-$1	72¢	$-1	$0	09-18 12:28
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	-35	$0	2¢	$-1	$0	09-18 12:23
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	-42	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	09-18 12:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-18	$0	2¢	$-0	$0	09-18 12:25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	-3	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	09-18 12:28
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	+2	$0	9¢	$0	+$0	10-20 17:51
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-16	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	09-18 12:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	-2	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-18 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	10	$204	360	200	+160	No	+$4	09-24 06:05
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	5	$111	70	70	+0	open	—	10-28 16:32
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	16	$111	174	50	+124	No	+$1	09-24 21:16
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	8	$96	61	61	+0	open	—	10-04 16:12
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	10	$85	120	40	+80	No	-$2	09-25 08:16
will spy dip to 770 in september 2026 from september 21	7	$83	140	0	+140	Yes	-$3	09-22 08:39
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	7	$77	80	40	+40	No	-$7	10-26 15:47
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	7	$72	101	19	+81	No	-$12	09-24 17:46
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	5	$68	70	30	+40	open	—	10-28 22:29
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	7	$66	80	40	+40	open	—	09-26 07:25
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	4	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	10-16 10:57
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	6	$61	100	20	+80	Yes	-$6	09-24 10:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 45%-50%?	9	$60	65	45	+20	open	—	10-26 18:28
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$58	100	50	+50	open	—	10-28 14:49
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	7	$58	60	60	+0	open	—	09-29 16:08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$56	71	49	+22	open	—	10-24 05:03
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	5	$55	74	40	+34	open	—	09-24 18:49
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	4	$55	43	43	+0	open	—	10-01 17:17
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?	3	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$0	10-09 19:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026?	3	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	09-24 09:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?	5	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	10-27 04:17
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	6	$52	60	40	+20	open	—	10-28 00:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?	3	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 12:44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	7	$51	65	35	+30	open	—	10-28 03:56
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	4	$49	60	40	+20	open	—	10-06 14:49
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 6%-9%?	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	10-24 05:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	6	$48	52	34	+18	open	—	10-11 14:15
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	8	$48	59	35	+24	open	—	10-16 09:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	10-14 15:18
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	3	$47	41	40	+1	open	—	09-27 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:46:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x2e3248…
10-29 03:30:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x2f3187…
10-29 03:21:58	Will the Republicans win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xe7499a…
10-29 02:44:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x46ed37…
10-29 01:36:59	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x5c92e2…
10-29 01:33:58	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xaa6a66…
10-29 00:38:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xdf22c8…
10-28 23:17:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x8d889e…
10-28 22:40:53	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x969357…
10-28 22:29:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x118edc…
10-28 22:00:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x050cab…
10-28 20:59:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xd9b831…
10-28 20:47:05	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x8a2123…
10-28 20:23:52	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdcef6c…
10-28 19:26:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xa00776…
10-28 17:44:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x600d23…
10-28 17:06:43	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xc9eb73…
10-28 16:44:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x7f5915…
10-28 16:32:02	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb5ec2d…
10-28 16:32:02	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xae2161…
10-28 16:20:28	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xda15c7…
10-28 16:13:37	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xfdcb3e…
10-28 15:48:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x628d78…
10-28 15:42:40	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x09e3ee…
10-28 15:37:53	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbce8fe…
10-28 15:26:16	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x57ff64…
10-28 15:26:13	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x7828ca…
10-28 15:25:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x86b946…
10-28 14:51:59	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xb449bd…
10-28 14:49:13	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x9f397b…
10-28 13:14:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1797c7…
10-28 12:11:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x76429c…
10-28 11:07:31	Will Chronicle play for Team Vitality in 2027?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x9930ae…
10-28 09:50:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xd19f25…
10-28 09:39:05	Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9bd1a8…
10-28 09:24:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x9e3b3a…
10-28 09:12:10	Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x030053…
10-28 09:06:56	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x7435e8…
10-28 09:06:56	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x2ce609…
10-28 08:55:29	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x352471…
10-28 08:01:19	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xaea0a0…
10-28 07:07:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x44c2af…
10-28 06:21:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x4473c1…
10-28 06:17:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x73125c…
10-28 06:11:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xeb2eab…
10-28 06:10:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xdeb5df…
10-28 06:10:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x3d2e6c…
10-28 05:32:29	Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x35fa74…
10-28 05:15:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x446e55…
10-28 05:15:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xdae7b1…
10-28 05:02:41	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5dafd9…
10-28 04:54:41	Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x0eb0b1…
10-28 04:51:02	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf89f58…
10-28 04:46:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x9d2bd0…
10-28 04:39:44	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf0d5af…
10-28 04:04:55	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x4ebf39…
10-28 04:04:55	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2a2c5a…
10-28 03:56:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x306102…
10-28 03:56:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8f9abb…
10-28 03:56:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xd301a1…
10-28 03:56:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x0c93e4…
10-28 03:44:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x614b7f…
10-28 02:59:26	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0xf53412…
10-28 02:56:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xe4131d…
10-28 02:25:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xcd8961…
10-28 01:21:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd453ca…
10-28 01:21:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x6fe325…
10-28 01:20:53	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x6c13c0…
10-28 01:08:56	Will Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x8032be…
10-28 01:02:29	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x7ea4bd…
10-28 01:02:29	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x4e18e9…
10-28 00:59:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x8d89bc…
10-28 00:35:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x25f322…
10-28 00:05:56	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xbd18de…
10-27 23:51:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x6e3aa3…
10-27 23:50:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xdf42ea…
10-27 23:45:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xc41210…
10-27 23:45:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x59aba4…
10-27 23:07:51	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x25849a…
10-27 23:05:54	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xa14364…
10-27 23:05:54	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x862006…
10-27 22:35:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xef0555…
10-27 22:15:42	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd79a6e…
10-27 22:15:41	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x7d2257…
10-27 22:11:51	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc51380…
10-27 22:08:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x43d35a…
10-27 21:47:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x412015…
10-27 21:05:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x65802d…
10-27 20:51:54	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x63ba10…
10-27 20:12:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb233bc…
10-27 19:33:33	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x89f628…
10-27 19:33:33	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x55d0c3…
10-27 19:32:41	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd7af64…
10-27 19:18:00	Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb9dd5a…
10-27 19:18:00	Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x6b95e8…
10-27 18:51:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x4819b6…
10-27 18:51:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0d7609…
10-27 17:56:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd48069…
10-27 17:56:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x7d26a3…
10-27 17:33:18	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x2c9425…