Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$930

Unrealized P&L

+$122

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

582

Trades

7,745

lifetime

Volume

$164.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$13.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-07

last 10-28 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

59% 62% +$982

Other

41% 57% -$55

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 534 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+2,332	$1,819	86¢	$2.0K	+$174	10-26 02:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+1,936	$1,619	80¢	$1.5K	-$75	09-02 12:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,322	$1,147	88¢	$1.2K	+$10	10-11 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,312	$851	68¢	$885	+$34	10-27 02:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,102	$674	68¢	$744	+$70	10-27 02:19
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+861	$677	82¢	$706	+$29	10-24 08:17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+3,422	$705	18¢	$599	-$107	10-24 14:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,186	$842	48¢	$563	-$279	10-27 22:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+480	$464	98¢	$471	+$6	10-27 20:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+734	$372	56¢	$409	+$37	10-23 02:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+565	$225	69¢	$388	+$163	10-27 17:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+418	$382	92¢	$382	+$0	10-26 02:20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	+346	$337	99¢	$344	+$6	08-31 05:10
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+349	$332	96¢	$333	+$2	09-23 03:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+987	$304	30¢	$301	-$3	10-27 03:31
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+365	$296	80¢	$290	-$5	10-25 22:15
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	+295	$278	93¢	$275	-$2	09-04 18:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+314	$195	86¢	$271	+$76	10-27 16:28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+299	$233	82¢	$244	+$11	10-23 07:44
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+238	$227	95¢	$227	$0	10-17 23:34
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+215	$188	98¢	$211	+$23	10-26 20:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+288	$172	62¢	$180	+$8	10-27 09:12
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+203	$186	86¢	$176	-$10	10-15 14:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+906	$241	19¢	$172	-$69	10-26 00:44
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+229	$172	74¢	$171	-$2	10-26 19:51
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+165	$153	91¢	$150	-$3	10-22 19:45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+966	$77	16¢	$150	+$72	10-03 21:34
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+184	$126	80¢	$146	+$21	10-27 18:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+422	$190	34¢	$146	-$45	10-26 00:53
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	+622	$157	22¢	$137	-$20	10-27 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	97	$7.7K	7,336	6,299	+1,037	Yes	-$1,193	09-16 13:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	55	$6.5K	4,363	4,221	+142	open	—	10-26 04:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	155	$5.9K	4,992	4,550	+442	No	+$798	10-26 00:03
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	5	$4.9K	2,651	2,651	+0	No	+$432	09-07 08:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	269	$4.8K	4,053	2,863	+1,190	open	—	10-27 22:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	13	$3.2K	1,710	1,710	+0	open	—	10-16 20:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	187	$3.2K	5,130	5,054	+76	open	—	10-27 21:02
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	90	$3.2K	2,500	2,393	+107	open	—	10-27 22:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	21	$3.2K	3,135	803	+2,332	open	—	10-26 02:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	8	$3.0K	1,545	1,544	+1	No	+$14	09-18 03:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	42	$3.0K	2,040	1,806	+234	No	+$100	09-29 19:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	112	$2.8K	2,071	2,042	+29	open	—	10-27 19:16
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	6	$2.5K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	+$4	09-07 11:15
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	4	$2.4K	1,232	1,232	+0	No	+$6	09-07 11:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	47	$2.3K	1,890	1,780	+110	Yes	+$99	09-30 18:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	78	$2.3K	3,635	3,155	+481	open	—	10-27 20:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	128	$2.2K	2,357	2,050	+306	No	-$10	10-12 01:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	129	$2.2K	2,452	1,987	+466	open	—	10-20 21:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	39	$2.0K	1,648	1,558	+90	open	—	10-27 12:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	77	$1.8K	2,094	782	+1,312	open	—	10-27 02:20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	117	$1.8K	3,268	2,111	+1,157	Yes	+$1,169	10-26 03:09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	11	$1.6K	1,936	0	+1,936	open	—	09-02 12:52
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	52	$1.4K	2,639	1,062	+1,577	Yes	+$931	10-04 20:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	57	$1.3K	1,151	1,024	+127	open	—	10-27 16:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	5	$1.2K	656	656	+0	No	+$11	09-07 13:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$1.2K	1,306	284	+1,021	Yes	+$254	09-16 17:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,327	5	+1,322	open	—	10-11 18:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	51	$1.1K	1,465	322	+1,143	open	—	10-27 02:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	7	$1.1K	585	585	+0	Yes	+$2	09-07 10:06
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	8	$1.0K	1,035	996	+39	open	—	09-24 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:08:44	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,200	15¢	$176	0xb47f96…
10-28 01:36:36	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xb83110…
10-28 01:36:27	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	142	18¢	$26	0x385ded…
10-27 22:42:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x2d3944…
10-27 22:42:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x9d911f…
10-27 22:40:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x97aabf…
10-27 22:38:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0xd729c2…
10-27 22:34:18	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x294b4a…
10-27 22:14:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xaf5f03…
10-27 22:14:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x956351…
10-27 22:13:57	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa41709…
10-27 22:12:59	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc88ac7…
10-27 22:08:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x1c505c…
10-27 22:07:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0x84a33f…
10-27 22:07:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	57	37¢	$21	0x31a4c1…
10-27 22:07:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x020b40…
10-27 22:03:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	76	15¢	$11	0x8fdf0b…
10-27 21:54:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xb7b4a7…
10-27 21:54:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	103	15¢	$15	0x84041e…
10-27 21:54:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x578562…
10-27 21:51:15	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	87	7¢	$6	0x8a40fd…
10-27 21:50:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x89d995…
10-27 21:50:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xab20c7…
10-27 21:50:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5d135a…
10-27 21:49:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x476096…
10-27 21:49:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x137f26…
10-27 21:49:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xf28f7d…
10-27 21:49:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xb4298f…
10-27 21:49:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa76df5…
10-27 21:49:29	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xead694…
10-27 21:49:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe5ee70…
10-27 21:44:11	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x333f81…
10-27 21:36:15	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x6a7aac…
10-27 21:33:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x18f19f…
10-27 21:27:38	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x710434…
10-27 21:25:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8e8579…
10-27 21:21:23	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf13b62…
10-27 21:12:03	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x3491fc…
10-27 21:02:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,123	6¢	$67	0x3cb90e…
10-27 21:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	739	6¢	$44	0xce5e1a…
10-27 20:55:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	189	97¢	$182	0x749972…
10-27 20:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xe5fa5e…
10-27 20:54:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,123	7¢	$79	0xeb5522…
10-27 20:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xfb2c5c…
10-27 20:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	739	7¢	$52	0xe6de35…
10-27 20:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x8435d3…
10-27 20:54:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	199	93¢	$185	0x62701b…
10-27 20:52:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x92625f…
10-27 20:52:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x769edb…
10-27 20:52:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xced73d…
10-27 20:52:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x4c3c94…
10-27 20:51:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x7a9df1…
10-27 20:51:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x14aaa9…
10-27 20:45:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xa8720b…
10-27 20:45:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	183	17¢	$31	0x0b1e71…
10-27 20:44:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	77	17¢	$13	0x565cd6…
10-27 20:44:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xb79573…
10-27 20:42:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$5	0x57796d…
10-27 20:41:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	68	15¢	$10	0xc3ed3e…
10-27 20:40:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x9c01ec…
10-27 20:40:36	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe49620…
10-27 20:40:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0x4ef197…
10-27 20:40:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	140	15¢	$21	0x3a99f2…
10-27 20:39:18	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x5c0817…
10-27 20:35:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xaee29e…
10-27 20:32:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x83306b…
10-27 20:32:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x81dadc…
10-27 20:31:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xa425b6…
10-27 20:28:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x354323…
10-27 20:24:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x82af13…
10-27 20:24:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x776669…
10-27 20:24:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x0ab7e3…
10-27 20:24:44	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x6b88bf…
10-27 20:24:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xe83b92…
10-27 20:24:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x9411a5…
10-27 20:24:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x8cbe87…
10-27 20:24:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x636d91…
10-27 20:23:59	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb38805…
10-27 20:22:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x0066ed…
10-27 20:21:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xc0a051…
10-27 20:19:44	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0xf2adf9…
10-27 20:19:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xd72583…
10-27 20:19:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xbb2564…
10-27 20:16:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xc8c18a…
10-27 20:16:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc1ba1d…
10-27 20:16:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0xaa593e…
10-27 20:16:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x3303d6…
10-27 20:16:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x1d87ff…
10-27 20:13:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x365427…
10-27 20:11:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0xa7842c…
10-27 20:11:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x9e618f…
10-27 20:11:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x35c0f8…
10-27 20:11:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	24	69¢	$16	0x46a8a6…
10-27 20:10:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0xe77d30…
10-27 20:10:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0xc62efc…
10-27 20:10:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	104	69¢	$72	0x311624…
10-27 20:10:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x1463b4…
10-27 20:00:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x421ff2…
10-27 20:00:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x40bdfb…
10-27 19:59:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xfe958d…