(anonymous) 0xb06cfb…79b574
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$888
Unrealized P&L
+$534
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
577
Trades
7,300
lifetime
Volume
$156.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$14.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 10-27 08:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
58% 62% +$1,001
Other
42% 57% -$116
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 454 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,332 $1,819 84¢ $2.0K +$151 10-26 02:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,936 $1,619 76¢ $1.5K -$137 09-02 12:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,322 $1,147 88¢ $1.2K +$10 10-11 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,312 $851 66¢ $872 +$21 10-27 02:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,102 $674 66¢ $733 +$59 10-27 02:19
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +861 $677 82¢ $706 +$29 10-24 08:17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,422 $705 18¢ $633 -$72 10-24 14:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +649 $627 96¢ $626 -$1 10-27 06:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +625 $395 72¢ $453 +$57 10-27 02:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +734 $372 54¢ $399 +$26 10-23 02:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +418 $382 92¢ $382 +$0 10-26 02:20
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +494 $353 70¢ $348 -$4 10-27 07:51
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +346 $337 99¢ $343 +$6 08-31 05:10
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +349 $332 96¢ $333 +$2 09-23 03:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +987 $304 32¢ $311 +$7 10-27 03:31
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +365 $296 80¢ $294 -$2 10-25 22:15
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +482 $218 60¢ $292 +$73 10-23 10:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +295 $278 94¢ $277 $0 09-04 18:47
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +386 $279 70¢ $272 -$7 10-27 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +343 $135 74¢ $255 +$120 10-27 09:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +299 $233 82¢ $244 +$11 10-23 07:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +251 $161 92¢ $232 +$72 10-27 07:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +238 $227 96¢ $229 +$2 10-17 23:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +906 $241 24¢ $213 -$28 10-26 00:44
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +215 $188 96¢ $205 +$17 10-26 20:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +966 $77 21¢ $203 +$126 10-03 21:34
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +203 $186 86¢ $176 -$10 10-15 14:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,200 $166 15¢ $176 +$10 10-26 16:32
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +713 $178 24¢ $175 -$4 10-07 17:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +288 $172 60¢ $174 +$2 10-27 09:12