Realized P&L
-$7.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$669
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
8,440
Trades
132,437
lifetime
Volume
$1.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-28 23:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
68% 55% -$2,605
Sports
30% 54% -$4,267
Politics
1% 26% -$290
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Crypto
0% 40% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 1876 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +596 $556 99¢ $590 +$34 10-12 10:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +411 $337 98¢ $403 +$66 10-18 20:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +401 $292 92¢ $367 +$74 10-11 22:40
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +401 $327 87¢ $349 +$22 10-12 03:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +401 $241 86¢ $343 +$102 10-11 22:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +315 $237 94¢ $298 +$61 10-18 16:15
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +202 $182 99¢ $200 +$19 10-11 17:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +201 $189 100¢ $200 +$11 10-10 08:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +201 $156 100¢ $200 +$43 10-11 23:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +200 $92 100¢ $200 +$108 10-10 06:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +202 $185 97¢ $196 +$11 10-11 17:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $174 97¢ $194 +$20 10-11 19:00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +201 $158 84¢ $168 +$10 10-12 09:25
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +157 $146 99¢ $155 +$9 10-12 13:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +200 $134 76¢ $151 +$17 10-10 07:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +202 $127 70¢ $140 +$13 10-11 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +200 $170 68¢ $135 -$35 10-12 02:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +201 $133 57¢ $116 -$17 10-11 18:00
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +116 $108 98¢ $114 +$6 10-11 18:57
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +121 $60 92¢ $111 +$51 10-11 18:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +201 $86 52¢ $103 +$17 10-10 09:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +122 $108 82¢ $99 -$9 10-11 17:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +102 $91 97¢ $99 +$8 10-11 17:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +101 $70 97¢ $98 +$28 10-12 01:17
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$4 10-12 06:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +201 $119 48¢ $97 -$21 10-12 01:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +101 $87 95¢ $96 +$10 10-11 20:06
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +100 $91 95¢ $95 +$4 10-11 18:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +108 $88 84¢ $90 +$3 10-11 17:43
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$1 10-11 23:18