Realized P&L
-$7.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$596
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
8,429
Trades
132,427
lifetime
Volume
$1.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-26 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
68% 55% -$2,602
Sports
30% 54% -$4,267
Politics
1% 26% -$292
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Crypto
0% 40% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 1876 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +596 $556 98¢ $584 +$28 10-12 10:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +411 $337 97¢ $399 +$62 10-18 20:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +401 $292 92¢ $371 +$78 10-11 22:40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +401 $241 88¢ $355 +$114 10-11 22:40
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +401 $327 84¢ $339 +$12 10-12 03:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +315 $237 94¢ $294 +$58 10-18 16:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +201 $189 100¢ $200 +$12 10-10 08:14
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +202 $182 98¢ $198 +$16 10-11 17:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +201 $156 98¢ $198 +$41 10-11 23:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $174 98¢ $197 +$23 10-11 19:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +200 $92 98¢ $196 +$104 10-10 06:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +202 $185 91¢ $184 -$1 10-11 17:50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +201 $158 82¢ $164 +$6 10-12 09:25
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +157 $146 99¢ $155 +$9 10-12 13:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +201 $133 74¢ $148 +$15 10-11 18:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +200 $134 70¢ $141 +$7 10-10 07:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +202 $127 66¢ $134 +$7 10-11 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +200 $170 60¢ $119 -$51 10-12 02:03
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +116 $108 99¢ $116 +$8 10-11 18:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +201 $119 52¢ $103 -$15 10-12 01:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +152 $119 66¢ $99 -$19 10-10 09:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +201 $86 48¢ $97 +$11 10-10 09:14
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +102 $91 95¢ $97 +$6 10-11 17:58
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 10-12 06:24
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +100 $91 95¢ $95 +$4 10-11 18:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +101 $87 94¢ $95 +$8 10-11 20:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +121 $60 78¢ $94 +$34 10-11 18:18
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$1 10-11 23:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +101 $70 88¢ $88 +$19 10-12 01:17
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +108 $88 82¢ $88 +$0 10-11 17:43