Realized P&L
+$7.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.6K
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
75,400
Trades
695,535
lifetime
Volume
$5.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$54.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 10-29 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
92% 24% +$7,435
Politics
3% 23% +$50
Crypto
3% 7% -$645
Sports
2% 50% +$169
Tech
0% 12% +$27
Pop-Culture
0% 8% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 28341 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner LYON — +6,576 $3,351 99¢ $6.5K +$3,159 10-28 23:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,057 $3,590 75¢ $5.3K +$1,675 10-29 02:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,633 $2,459 96¢ $3.5K +$1,029 10-29 02:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,292 $2,681 97¢ $3.2K +$512 10-22 12:29
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,015 $2,742 99¢ $3.0K +$235 10-29 03:18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2,095 $1,812 99¢ $2.1K +$261 10-22 16:22
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +1,924 $1,536 99¢ $1.9K +$374 10-28 19:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,060 $3,441 25¢ $1.8K -$1,648 10-29 03:36
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +1,753 $1,492 100¢ $1.7K +$256 10-21 06:56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +1,844 $767 92¢ $1.7K +$926 10-24 13:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,617 $1,170 100¢ $1.6K +$447 10-28 22:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,595 $1,449 96¢ $1.5K +$90 10-22 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +1,450 $1,423 100¢ $1.4K +$22 10-22 12:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,443 $1,183 97¢ $1.4K +$222 10-24 22:50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,405 $1,382 99¢ $1.4K +$15 10-22 17:21
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,288 $940 100¢ $1.3K +$346 10-28 00:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1,443 $1,033 86¢ $1.2K +$200 10-24 23:21
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +1,241 $826 99¢ $1.2K +$404 10-28 20:56
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,229 $677 98¢ $1.2K +$534 10-28 22:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,398 $1,067 86¢ $1.2K +$134 10-25 03:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +1,273 $1,120 94¢ $1.2K +$71 10-23 02:32
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,188 $1,156 98¢ $1.2K +$5 10-29 01:22
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,119 $691 100¢ $1.1K +$423 10-29 01:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +1,369 $818 74¢ $1.0K +$202 10-21 10:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,478 $934 66¢ $968 +$34 10-22 16:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +975 $804 98¢ $955 +$151 10-24 22:50
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,020 $469 92¢ $939 +$470 10-28 11:02
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +956 $345 98¢ $934 +$588 10-28 15:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +895 $465 100¢ $895 +$430 10-28 20:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +899 $871 99¢ $892 +$21 10-21 11:20