Straight-Wrinkle 0x87650b…06ed81
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved
47,068
Trades
359,304
lifetime
Volume
$804.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$73.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
57% 13% +$39,470
Politics
27% 17% +$25,633
Crypto
12% 6% +$4,391
Tech
2% 21% +$2,782
Sports
2% 10% +$5,719
Pop-Culture
1% 7% +$134
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -39,345 -$38,606 99¢ $-38853 -$247 09-18 15:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +25,000 $23,519 97¢ $24.2K +$719 05-05 00:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,884 -$3,166 38¢ $-2640 +$526 10-27 01:32
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +862 $182 97¢ $839 +$657 10-25 10:18
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +773 $585 80¢ $614 +$29 11-01 07:46
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +587 $83 94¢ $550 +$468 10-22 17:31
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +752 $555 64¢ $485 -$70 10-30 08:28
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +500 $432 95¢ $473 +$41 10-20 14:41
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +476 $107 99¢ $472 +$365 09-30 12:05
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$650 2¢ $-425 +$225 05-14 21:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$450 2¢ $-412 +$37 05-09 23:25
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$275 1¢ $-362 -$88 05-09 23:26
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +383 $126 94¢ $360 +$234 10-22 09:06
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +320 $109 97¢ $311 +$201 09-03 04:35
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +271 $206 99¢ $269 +$63 10-28 13:23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -275 -$265 95¢ $-261 +$4 09-23 23:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -946 -$148 21¢ $-194 -$47 09-26 03:49
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$225 1¢ $-188 +$37 05-09 23:26
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +300 $51 60¢ $182 +$130 09-19 07:10
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +300 $54 60¢ $182 +$128 09-19 07:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +199 $170 88¢ $176 +$6 10-30 21:51
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +217 $60 75¢ $163 +$103 09-01 19:00
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $160 20¢ $160 +$0 10-11 15:03
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +221 $180 72¢ $158 -$22 09-15 10:23
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +210 $140 74¢ $155 +$15 10-26 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +200 $166 74¢ $147 -$19 10-29 00:36
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? Yes +712 $202 20¢ $146 -$56 10-30 18:08
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +488 $59 29¢ $139 +$80 10-14 13:00
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +140 $43 98¢ $138 +$95 10-27 07:34
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $96 16¢ $132 +$36 10-03 11:21