Straight-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

174

Trades

277,408

lifetime

Volume

$407.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

53% 6% $-14

Politics

23% 8% +$127

Crypto

18% 10% +$978

Sports

3% 12% +$208

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$23.8K	23,900	0	+23,900	open	—	04-30 20:01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$21.3K	5,555	21,629	-16,074	open	—	08-06 23:18
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	90	$1.3K	4,252	3,524	+728	open	—	03-25 03:41
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in january 381	175	$1.1K	2,779	2,532	+247	open	—	02-09 14:37
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	147	$1.1K	6,413	3,456	+2,957	open	—	03-26 05:47
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	35	$1.1K	2,985	718	+2,267	open	—	03-27 10:03
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	45	$1.0K	7,350	300	+7,050	open	—	02-06 21:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	97	$1.0K	5,167	3,184	+1,982	open	—	03-14 13:57
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	50	$924	2,273	1,440	+833	open	—	01-29 19:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	21	$883	3,687	673	+3,014	open	—	03-07 03:46
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	16	$807	2,050	728	+1,322	open	—	03-08 04:57
will uae strike iran by march 31	10	$790	2,491	205	+2,286	open	—	03-08 15:11
will qatar strike iran by march 31	21	$737	979	616	+363	open	—	03-12 15:42
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	23	$690	1,711	536	+1,175	open	—	03-26 19:51
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	15	$664	2,085	611	+1,474	open	—	03-25 21:59
will megaeth perform an airdrop by march 15	10	$655	935	497	+438	open	—	02-26 17:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	78	$652	4,650	3,134	+1,515	open	—	03-11 14:00
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	44	$638	4,709	528	+4,181	open	—	02-25 14:01
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	85	$624	2,884	1,989	+895	open	—	01-20 20:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	66	$598	4,327	2,148	+2,179	open	—	03-08 21:54
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	45	$588	3,058	1,895	+1,163	open	—	03-23 17:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	14	$582	3,361	461	+2,900	open	—	03-06 04:51
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	21	$571	3,381	0	+3,381	open	—	02-06 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	26	$563	1,799	1,042	+757	open	—	03-06 19:18
will no qualifying us iran meeting occur by february 13 2026	23	$547	3,277	0	+3,277	open	—	02-06 22:49
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	11	$544	611	357	+254	open	—	03-22 08:02
will iran strike israel on march 6	62	$541	5,265	2,113	+3,152	open	—	03-11 00:29
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	30	$541	1,850	460	+1,390	open	—	02-07 23:47
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	21	$512	3,754	568	+3,186	open	—	02-14 07:04
pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	15	$511	707	462	+245	open	—	02-24 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:31:01	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x15fbf8…
08-11 06:23:45	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xd08d0e…
08-11 06:18:34	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x05ce46…
08-11 06:06:27	will coin dip to 137 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf721c5…
08-11 05:56:42	will ng reach 2 90 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xe1f1af…
08-11 05:54:00	will ng reach 2 90 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x5c4c81…
08-11 05:41:18	bitcoin above 70k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5569ca…
08-11 05:39:42	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 11	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x103071…
08-11 05:39:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 11	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5d0fcb…
08-11 05:39:00	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x562da1…
08-11 05:38:40	ucl sba mja 2026 08 11 ags leo hofstadter	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2ce239…
08-11 05:38:36	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xbb9342…
08-11 05:38:22	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 11	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb4cec6…
08-11 05:37:27	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x428039…
08-11 05:26:27	will xagusd reach 69 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9c2b48…
08-11 05:23:03	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	176	12¢	$21	0x942f6a…
08-11 05:20:39	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 11	No	BUY	203	0¢	$0	0x2c58fe…
08-11 05:18:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1530bd…
08-11 05:15:54	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x477dbe…
08-11 05:00:04	wta korneev lepchen 2026 08 11	Varvara Lepchenko	BUY	144	17¢	$24	0xeae1a7…
08-11 04:35:42	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 11	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x6b08d4…
08-11 04:35:30	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xc35965…
08-11 04:32:19	will cisco say europe during earnings call 20260807205828985	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xf5426c…
08-11 04:32:18	will cisco say china during earnings call 20260807205828984	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x46d48e…
08-11 03:47:04	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xc9ea85…
08-11 03:39:25	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0f4f3d…
08-11 02:46:55	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6a0b21…
08-11 02:28:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x60f539…
08-11 02:25:31	will earthquake or quake be in the headlines this week 20260807161735357	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa00ae2…
08-11 02:25:04	will hot or heat be in the headlines this week 20260807161735354	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x435174…
08-11 01:55:58	val tl eod 2026 08 11 game1	Evils of Delusion	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x72a4ce…
08-11 01:51:34	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xecd883…
08-11 01:50:33	will aapl dip to 296 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x25bb97…
08-11 01:49:13	sol updown 4h 1786406400	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb161f1…
08-11 01:48:54	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	No	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xa7e36d…
08-11 01:48:46	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	No	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x030f99…
08-11 01:46:09	val tl eod 2026 08 11	Evils of Delusion	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x89c7e7…
08-11 01:45:46	val tl eod 2026 08 11	Evils of Delusion	BUY	216	12¢	$26	0x5f97b4…
08-11 01:25:34	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7340ea…
08-11 00:50:37	will ethereum reach 2500 august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xfae548…
08-11 00:49:48	wti closes above 81 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xefbfa2…
08-11 00:49:48	wti closes above 81 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3ec647…
08-11 00:11:33	itf covato berrut 2026 08 11	Matteo Covato	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x4c9e49…
08-11 00:08:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xe7c863…
08-11 00:05:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x032781…
08-11 00:03:40	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x545e98…
08-11 00:03:34	dota2 lvlup1 navi 2026 08 11 game handicap home 1pt5	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x1aa208…
08-11 00:02:58	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9f271d…
08-10 23:38:18	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x793db7…
08-10 23:21:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb6b07a…
08-10 23:14:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x0378cf…
08-10 22:20:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x21e3fd…
08-10 22:20:43	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe83d6a…
08-10 22:20:43	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xbc1fe2…
08-10 22:16:27	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x93e302…
08-10 22:09:04	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xae736b…
08-10 22:05:04	xrp above 1pt1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5ad876…
08-10 22:05:00	xrp above 1pt1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5588a3…
08-10 21:51:49	will nvda dip to 200 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2d6cbd…
08-10 21:31:45	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	No	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x37fc89…
08-10 21:24:52	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x54049c…
08-10 21:23:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x57f12c…
08-10 21:22:15	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x7a311e…
08-10 21:19:19	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x58027d…
08-10 21:14:01	itf souza carv 2026 08 11	Julia Cerqueira Carvalho	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xccc1ae…
08-10 21:03:48	will cava say catering during earnings call 20260807205722557	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x394715…
08-10 21:01:40	lol tos nort 2026 08 13	NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS	BUY	239	24¢	$57	0xc024cb…
08-10 21:00:43	will cava say shrimp during earnings call 20260807205722559	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x889f2e…
08-10 21:00:42	will cava say expansion during earnings call 20260807205722558	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa75a00…
08-10 20:55:07	bnb updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1f97d2…
08-10 20:30:57	open up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd086f8…
08-10 20:30:54	open up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b79ff…
08-10 20:23:42	itf kuznet zholbol 2026 08 11	Aisulu Zholbolat	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x4ab791…
08-10 20:07:36	atp almeida broska 2026 08 10 set handicap away 1pt5	Broska	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe5761e…
08-10 20:07:36	atp almeida broska 2026 08 10 set handicap away 1pt5	Broska	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbba355…
08-10 20:07:16	atp almeida broska 2026 08 10 set handicap away 1pt5	Broska	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xeaed46…
08-10 20:07:03	atp almeida broska 2026 08 10 set handicap away 1pt5	Broska	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd4f72d…
08-10 20:02:13	will cava say sweet potato during earnings call 20260807205722561	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xa355d1…
08-10 19:58:48	will ewy reach 170 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa44e71…
08-10 18:56:39	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd69d08…
08-10 18:56:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7c58cf…
08-10 18:47:55	will cisco say china during earnings call 20260807205828984	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x03f695…
08-10 18:41:49	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3e9910…
08-10 18:11:16	will cava say expansion during earnings call 20260807205722558	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb392b4…
08-10 18:07:39	will amzn dip to 268 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x140fe5…
08-10 17:42:10	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x87c8ad…
08-10 17:42:01	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x72327c…
08-10 17:23:22	will hims say wearable during earnings call 20260807205625285	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x8fa982…
08-10 17:20:46	mlb hou sf 2026 08 10 k hayden wesneski 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcae6e0…
08-10 17:02:30	will spy dip to 765 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4186fc…
08-10 16:51:39	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$10	0xb98aed…
08-10 16:50:33	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long 20260807064756493	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x59dee0…
08-10 16:47:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	327	13¢	$43	0x029317…
08-10 16:45:18	will meta reach 640 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x123f01…
08-10 16:44:03	will meta dip to 570 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xed956b…
08-10 16:43:03	will tsla dip to 322 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x678f68…
08-10 16:41:13	will meta dip to 580 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f8bcc…
08-10 16:39:57	ucl stu1 fen 2026 08 11 ags anthony musaba	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x5cd6b7…
08-10 16:30:00	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x270279…
08-10 16:22:46	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcd88a1…