Straight-Wrinkle 0x87650b…06ed81
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.95K
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
46,850
Trades
358,505
lifetime
Volume
$800.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$74.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
57% 13% +$39,394
Politics
26% 17% +$25,961
Crypto
12% 6% +$4,391
Tech
2% 20% +$2,743
Sports
2% 10% +$5,720
Pop-Culture
1% 7% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -39,345 -$38,606 99¢ $-38834 -$228 09-18 15:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +25,000 $23,519 97¢ $24.3K +$744 05-05 00:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,884 -$3,166 38¢ $-2643 +$522 10-27 01:32
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +862 $182 97¢ $836 +$654 10-25 10:18
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +723 $545 79¢ $571 +$25 10-31 02:12
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +587 $83 91¢ $535 +$453 10-22 17:31
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +752 $555 69¢ $519 -$36 10-30 08:28
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +476 $107 98¢ $468 +$362 09-30 12:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +500 $432 93¢ $465 +$33 10-20 14:41
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$650 2¢ $-425 +$225 05-14 21:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$450 2¢ $-412 +$37 05-09 23:25
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$275 1¢ $-362 -$88 05-09 23:26
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +383 $126 90¢ $347 +$221 10-22 09:06
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +320 $109 98¢ $313 +$204 09-03 04:35
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +271 $206 100¢ $270 +$64 10-28 13:23
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +264 $89 99¢ $262 +$173 10-27 09:45
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -275 -$265 94¢ $-259 +$6 09-23 23:32
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $160 26¢ $212 +$52 10-11 15:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -946 -$148 20¢ $-188 -$41 09-26 03:49
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +300 $54 61¢ $183 +$129 09-19 07:10
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +184 $84 98¢ $181 +$97 10-23 18:05
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +300 $51 59¢ $177 +$126 09-19 07:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +199 $170 87¢ $173 +$3 10-30 21:51
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +1,376 $110 12¢ $164 +$54 10-29 22:35
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$225 1¢ $-163 +$62 05-09 23:26
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +221 $180 73¢ $161 -$19 09-15 10:23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +217 $60 74¢ $161 +$101 09-01 19:00
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? Yes +712 $202 21¢ $150 -$52 10-30 18:08
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +210 $140 71¢ $150 +$9 10-26 20:33
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $96 18¢ $148 +$52 10-03 11:21