Straight-Wrinkle 0x87650b…06ed81
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$76.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.62K
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
46,694
Trades
357,997
lifetime
Volume
$796.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$73.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Other
57% 13% +$36,998
Politics
26% 17% +$26,068
Crypto
12% 6% +$4,452
Tech
2% 20% +$2,744
Sports
2% 10% +$5,720
Pop-Culture
1% 7% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -39,345 -$38,606 99¢ $-38853 -$247 09-18 15:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +25,000 $23,519 97¢ $24.2K +$731 05-05 00:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,884 -$3,166 40¢ $-2747 +$419 10-27 01:32
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +862 $182 98¢ $841 +$659 10-25 10:18
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +702 $514 76¢ $534 +$20 10-29 17:29
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +587 $83 87¢ $511 +$428 10-22 17:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$450 2¢ $-500 -$50 05-09 23:25
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +476 $107 98¢ $468 +$361 09-30 12:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +500 $432 93¢ $464 +$33 10-20 14:41
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$650 2¢ $-425 +$225 05-14 21:31
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$275 2¢ $-375 -$100 05-09 23:26
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +383 $126 86¢ $330 +$205 10-22 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +355 $297 90¢ $320 +$22 10-27 16:30
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +320 $109 98¢ $314 +$205 09-03 04:35
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +271 $206 100¢ $271 +$64 10-28 13:23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -275 -$265 95¢ $-261 +$5 09-23 23:32
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +264 $89 96¢ $255 +$165 10-27 09:45
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +300 $54 60¢ $180 +$126 09-19 07:10
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $160 22¢ $180 +$20 10-11 15:03
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +184 $84 95¢ $174 +$91 10-23 18:05
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +300 $51 57¢ $172 +$122 09-19 07:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -946 -$148 18¢ $-168 -$20 09-26 03:49
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +992 $258 16¢ $164 -$94 10-30 00:10
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -25,000 -$225 1¢ $-163 +$62 05-09 23:26
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +221 $180 73¢ $161 -$19 09-15 10:23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +217 $60 72¢ $156 +$96 09-01 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +150 $136 98¢ $147 +$11 10-28 21:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +150 $134 97¢ $146 +$12 10-22 12:34
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +145 $74 98¢ $142 +$68 10-28 00:19
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +210 $140 67¢ $140 -$1 10-26 20:33