Straight-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

174

Trades

276,985

lifetime

Volume

$396.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

52% 6% $-14

Politics

24% 8% +$127

Crypto

19% 10% +$978

Sports

4% 12% +$208

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-12,801	$-12,543	98¢	$-12564	$-21	06-21 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$23.8K	23,900	0	+23,900	open	—	04-30 20:01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$12.5K	0	12,801	-12,801	open	—	06-21 15:02
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	90	$1.3K	4,252	3,524	+728	open	—	03-25 03:41
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in january 381	175	$1.1K	2,779	2,532	+247	open	—	02-09 14:37
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	147	$1.1K	6,413	3,456	+2,957	open	—	03-26 05:47
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	35	$1.1K	2,985	718	+2,267	open	—	03-27 10:03
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	45	$1.0K	7,350	300	+7,050	open	—	02-06 21:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	97	$1.0K	5,167	3,184	+1,982	open	—	03-14 13:57
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	50	$924	2,273	1,440	+833	open	—	01-29 19:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	21	$883	3,687	673	+3,014	open	—	03-07 03:46
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	16	$807	2,050	728	+1,322	open	—	03-08 04:57
will uae strike iran by march 31	10	$790	2,491	205	+2,286	open	—	03-08 15:11
will qatar strike iran by march 31	21	$737	979	616	+363	open	—	03-12 15:42
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	23	$690	1,711	536	+1,175	open	—	03-26 19:51
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	15	$664	2,085	611	+1,474	open	—	03-25 21:59
will megaeth perform an airdrop by march 15	10	$655	935	497	+438	open	—	02-26 17:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	78	$652	4,650	3,134	+1,515	open	—	03-11 14:00
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	44	$638	4,709	528	+4,181	open	—	02-25 14:01
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	85	$624	2,884	1,989	+895	open	—	01-20 20:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	66	$598	4,327	2,148	+2,179	open	—	03-08 21:54
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	45	$588	3,058	1,895	+1,163	open	—	03-23 17:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	14	$582	3,361	461	+2,900	open	—	03-06 04:51
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	21	$571	3,381	0	+3,381	open	—	02-06 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	26	$563	1,799	1,042	+757	open	—	03-06 19:18
will no qualifying us iran meeting occur by february 13 2026	23	$547	3,277	0	+3,277	open	—	02-06 22:49
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	11	$544	611	357	+254	open	—	03-22 08:02
will iran strike israel on march 6	62	$541	5,265	2,113	+3,152	open	—	03-11 00:29
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	30	$541	1,850	460	+1,390	open	—	02-07 23:47
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	21	$512	3,754	568	+3,186	open	—	02-14 07:04
pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	15	$511	707	462	+245	open	—	02-24 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 15:02:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10,579	98¢	$10,368	0x85b7e9…
06-19 15:44:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2,222	98¢	$2,175	0xe17f31…
04-30 20:01:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0x657120…
04-30 19:58:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x450638…
04-30 19:45:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12,900	100¢	$12,887	0x9920a9…
03-28 12:51:09	mlb bos cin 2026 03 29	Boston Red Sox	BUY	145	21¢	$31	0xf639ff…
03-28 12:51:09	mlb bos cin 2026 03 29	Boston Red Sox	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0x548836…
03-27 21:26:03	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0xbe26ef…
03-27 21:25:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	191	16¢	$31	0x3160c6…
03-27 21:24:27	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x5b1ca1…
03-27 21:23:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xab9f20…
03-27 21:18:13	foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	Yes	BUY	510	1¢	$4	0xacd6cd…
03-27 21:17:51	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x49e71d…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfbc11d…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf69074…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb1be38…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x56e6c4…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x499202…
03-27 21:07:07	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x366aa8…
03-27 21:07:05	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe68263…
03-27 21:07:05	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x10cd68…
03-27 21:07:05	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0a1afe…
03-27 21:06:57	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd1f587…
03-27 21:06:57	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x465166…
03-27 21:06:55	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd8c507…
03-27 21:06:55	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9c54d8…
03-27 21:06:55	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x27ea9f…
03-27 21:06:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xeb94db…
03-27 21:06:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc81f10…
03-27 21:06:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xacbeaf…
03-27 21:06:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x430d7a…
03-27 21:06:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 28	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4d7c78…
03-27 21:05:39	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x8117f3…
03-27 21:05:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x362720…
03-27 21:05:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 28	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x982f1f…
03-27 21:04:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x1aafb8…
03-27 21:03:59	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x1d0cdf…
03-27 21:03:37	will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc17642…
03-27 21:02:47	highest temperature in denver on march 27 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x3a83d0…
03-27 21:02:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x91ff31…
03-27 21:01:21	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x91cddd…
03-27 21:00:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	600	12¢	$73	0xb4430e…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0xfcf565…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe8e4c2…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xd3709c…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc0a477…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x17f55e…
03-27 21:00:45	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0d2dea…
03-27 21:00:35	f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position leclerc 2026 03 28	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x73129c…
03-27 21:00:35	f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position leclerc 2026 03 28	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x02b5f6…
03-27 20:59:27	highest temperature in milan on march 28 2026 11corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4307e8…
03-27 20:59:27	highest temperature in milan on march 28 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x255524…
03-27 20:59:25	highest temperature in milan on march 28 2026 11corbelow	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x40041a…
03-27 20:59:05	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in march	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x061979…
03-27 20:58:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$0	0x63a3f1…
03-27 20:58:11	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0xa3ae6d…
03-27 20:57:51	highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x92544b…
03-27 20:57:37	highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xe1db44…
03-27 20:57:31	white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x836843…
03-27 20:56:31	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 800k and 900k	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xec3e00…
03-27 20:56:03	will i just might bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xdd4429…
03-27 20:56:03	will golden huntrx be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x9c90cf…
03-27 20:56:03	will stateside pinkpantheress with zara larsson be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x518f28…
03-27 20:55:39	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xe9870c…
03-27 20:55:25	tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x1842bd…
03-27 20:53:29	nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 100 119	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbe9c6d…
03-27 20:53:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x37f3f4…
03-27 20:53:13	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xad9f2d…
03-27 20:53:13	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7d8604…
03-27 20:53:13	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 25corbelow	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7a16dd…
03-27 20:53:13	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 25corbelow	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x48fa82…
03-27 20:52:57	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	226	3¢	$7	0xb67e57…
03-27 20:51:31	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd944ad…
03-27 20:51:31	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xc90988…
03-27 20:51:31	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x4334f3…
03-27 20:51:31	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x345ec4…
03-27 20:51:01	highest temperature in houston on march 29 2026 90 91f	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x35d3d8…
03-27 20:50:27	highest temperature in houston on march 28 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b7b09…
03-27 20:50:21	highest temperature in houston on march 28 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1010c5…
03-27 20:49:51	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbd78c2…
03-27 20:49:51	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$0	0x43cb2e…
03-27 20:49:23	bra2 lon cui 2026 04 01 lon	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x503fe9…
03-27 20:49:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7bbcb9…
03-27 20:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0xfde0d1…
03-27 20:45:19	highest temperature in miami on march 28 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb2133f…
03-27 20:45:13	will golden huntrx be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x9dcd13…
03-27 20:45:11	will stateside pinkpantheress with zara larsson be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xdc9ef7…
03-27 20:45:11	will i just might bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x1c138d…
03-27 20:45:01	xrp above 1pt4 on march 28	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc44a3d…
03-27 20:44:59	will the fate of ophelia taylor swift be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0x9648f7…
03-27 20:44:59	will i just might bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x48fbba…
03-27 20:44:59	will golden huntrx be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x40312c…
03-27 20:44:59	will stateside pinkpantheress with zara larsson be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x3f955c…
03-27 20:44:15	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	No	BUY	600	2¢	$12	0xb6f4e5…
03-27 20:43:51	highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$3	0x31b0d6…
03-27 20:43:45	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	339	8¢	$27	0xd2b86e…
03-27 20:43:05	highest temperature in los angeles on march 28 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1aeac4…
03-27 20:41:49	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 27	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xb2aad3…
03-27 20:41:41	will vanderbilt win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	556	0¢	$1	0x4e50d8…
03-27 20:41:41	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	535	4¢	$24	0x1dc6f2…