Realized P&L
-$2.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.44K
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved
833
Trades
11,979
lifetime
Volume
$186.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$11.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
69% 30% -$1,659
Politics
20% 35% -$340
Tech
5% 31% -$94
Sports
3% 0% —
Crypto
2% 45% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 56% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 902 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +718 $514 100¢ $718 +$203 10-26 00:39
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +729 $568 94¢ $682 +$115 10-21 08:49
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +631 $521 100¢ $630 +$109 10-26 10:33
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? Mbappé +600 $385 100¢ $597 +$212 10-25 01:28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +646 $531 92¢ $597 +$66 10-26 10:38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +575 $487 100¢ $574 +$88 10-26 10:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +608 $510 94¢ $568 +$59 10-25 22:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +507 $318 92¢ $466 +$148 10-20 10:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +731 $281 63¢ $462 +$181 10-26 00:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +658 $498 66¢ $433 -$65 10-23 13:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +497 $322 78¢ $390 +$68 10-26 07:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +389 $295 94¢ $366 +$71 10-22 07:31
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +435 $311 76¢ $333 +$22 10-19 01:49
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +407 $313 80¢ $324 +$11 10-25 00:08
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +328 $223 98¢ $321 +$98 10-26 09:17
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +376 $298 86¢ $321 +$23 10-26 05:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +350 $306 88¢ $308 +$3 10-19 00:49
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +477 $281 64¢ $305 +$24 10-17 00:30
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +356 $271 83¢ $295 +$23 10-26 04:48
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +324 $273 91¢ $295 +$22 10-25 18:52
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +368 $283 80¢ $293 +$10 10-24 14:23
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +295 $255 99¢ $292 +$37 10-22 18:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +284 $234 98¢ $279 +$45 10-13 12:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +731 $463 37¢ $269 -$194 10-26 00:19
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +282 $220 94¢ $264 +$43 10-25 20:10
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +355 $291 74¢ $261 -$30 10-22 00:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +328 $274 78¢ $254 -$20 10-21 13:17
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +255 $236 98¢ $249 +$13 10-24 17:43
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +249 $220 100¢ $249 +$29 10-20 16:49
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +247 $217 98¢ $243 +$26 10-19 14:51