Realized P&L
-$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.11K
Hit rate
24.6%
Resolved
1,048
Trades
14,353
lifetime
Volume
$217.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$11.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 10-29 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% -$1,979
Politics
22% 36% -$462
Tech
6% 31% -$94
Sports
3% 18% -$43
Crypto
2% 38% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 56% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 976 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +783 $328 93¢ $730 +$403 10-28 11:49
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +729 $568 99¢ $721 +$154 10-21 08:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +608 $510 98¢ $593 +$83 10-25 22:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +646 $531 86¢ $554 +$23 10-26 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +507 $318 98¢ $497 +$179 10-20 10:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +710 $536 67¢ $474 -$62 10-28 10:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +497 $322 94¢ $465 +$142 10-26 07:40
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +398 $280 100¢ $398 +$118 10-28 00:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +541 $377 68¢ $371 -$6 10-29 08:21
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +389 $295 94¢ $366 +$71 10-22 07:31
will wti reach 110 in october 2026 No +350 $306 99¢ $347 +$41 10-19 00:49
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +422 $342 82¢ $344 +$2 10-27 08:58
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +407 $314 83¢ $338 +$23 10-28 00:01
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +336 $65 100¢ $334 +$269 10-29 00:23
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +435 $311 76¢ $329 +$18 10-19 01:49
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +345 $297 91¢ $314 +$17 10-29 05:16
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +376 $298 83¢ $312 +$13 10-26 05:28
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +319 $77 97¢ $309 +$233 10-26 10:46
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +477 $281 64¢ $307 +$26 10-17 00:30
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +324 $273 92¢ $298 +$25 10-25 18:52
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +368 $283 80¢ $293 +$10 10-24 14:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +284 $234 100¢ $284 +$50 10-13 12:51
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +277 $237 99¢ $274 +$37 10-28 07:38
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +282 $220 96¢ $271 +$51 10-25 20:10
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +306 $136 86¢ $261 +$126 10-29 09:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +305 $256 82¢ $252 -$4 10-28 10:46
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +255 $236 98¢ $250 +$14 10-24 17:43
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +247 $217 98¢ $243 +$27 10-19 14:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +300 $224 80¢ $242 +$18 10-24 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +267 $221 88¢ $235 +$13 10-28 08:34