Realized P&L
+$39.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$360
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
243
Trades
75,518
lifetime
Volume
$32.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$425
Open exposure
$205.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
72% 47% +$13,731
Politics
15%
Sports
10% 83% +$25,618
Crypto
2% 100% +$9
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 992 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +55,555 $51,722 95¢ $52.6K +$861 06-18 15:34
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +47,875 $44,635 92¢ $44.3K $-351 06-28 20:16
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -54,119 $-27,060 50¢ $-26789 +$271 06-28 09:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +22,222 $20,778 96¢ $21.3K +$544 06-02 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +14,455 $14,152 100¢ $14.4K +$289 06-07 01:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -8,563 $-8,135 96¢ $-8177 $-43 06-26 15:09
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +7,827 $6,958 92¢ $7.2K +$204 06-10 22:30
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +5,926 $5,814 100¢ $5.9K +$107 05-29 01:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7,161 $3,516 59¢ $4.2K +$709 06-01 09:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,794 $4,397 35¢ $3.1K $-1,319 06-16 03:31
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +3,103 $2,896 96¢ $3.0K +$97 06-27 01:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +55,555 $3,444 $3.0K $-472 06-19 00:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,209 $2,728 90¢ $2.9K +$177 05-30 22:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +65,322 $3,298 $2.6K $-652 06-18 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,072 $2,326 84¢ $2.6K +$239 05-29 03:14
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes -2,656 $-409 25¢ $-676 $-267 06-25 19:32
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +555 $511 94¢ $522 +$11 06-05 13:19
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday +526 $485 88¢ $463 $-23 05-29 09:23
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +9,880 $537 $351 $-187 06-25 23:31
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +336 $303 94¢ $315 +$12 06-15 18:23
Will T1 make a roster change before July? No +285 $274 99¢ $283 +$10 06-25 19:19
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? No -222 $-221 100¢ $-221 +$0 06-03 17:40
Will FURIA make a roster change before July? No +201 $173 99¢ $199 +$27 06-01 13:06
DAI depeg by December 31? No +198 $89 94¢ $186 +$98 06-05 23:32
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +719 $155 23¢ $165 +$10 05-28 09:30
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +163 $157 100¢ $163 +$6 06-12 08:33
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +801 $57 $68 +$11 06-22 19:12
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,245 $75 $56 $-19 06-01 19:34
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? No +55 $50 99¢ $55 +$5 06-08 17:06
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +50 $44 100¢ $50 +$6 05-29 15:36