Realized P&L
+$39.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.67K
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
243
Trades
81,989
lifetime
Volume
$35.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$426
Open exposure
$151.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
74% 47% +$13,731
Politics
14%
Sports
10% 83% +$25,618
Crypto
2% 100% +$9
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 992 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +55,555 $51,722 96¢ $53.2K +$1,528 06-18 15:34
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -54,119 $-27,060 50¢ $-26789 +$271 06-28 09:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +22,222 $20,778 97¢ $21.5K +$722 06-02 23:18
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -8,563 $-8,135 96¢ $-8177 $-43 06-26 15:09
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +7,827 $6,958 95¢ $7.4K +$482 06-10 22:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +166,666 $9,000 $6.9K $-2,083 07-01 07:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,794 $4,397 68¢ $6.0K +$1,627 06-16 03:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7,161 $3,516 68¢ $4.8K +$1,318 06-01 09:45
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +4,726 $4,454 97¢ $4.6K +$152 07-16 00:21
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +3,168 $2,817 91¢ $2.9K +$75 07-19 14:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,209 $2,728 90¢ $2.9K +$144 05-30 22:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,072 $2,326 88¢ $2.7K +$362 05-29 03:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +25,612 $1,780 $832 $-948 07-16 18:23
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes +1,210 $605 50¢ $611 +$6 07-03 22:22
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +555 $511 96¢ $534 +$23 06-05 13:19
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday +526 $485 97¢ $510 +$25 05-29 09:23
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +336 $303 94¢ $318 +$15 06-15 18:23
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +9,880 $537 $252 $-285 06-25 23:31
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes -2,353 $-378 $-205 +$174 07-20 14:08
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +719 $155 28¢ $201 +$46 05-28 09:30
DAI depeg by December 31? No +198 $89 92¢ $181 +$93 06-05 23:32
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +1,245 $75 $56 $-19 06-01 19:34
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +801 $57 $40 $-17 06-22 19:12
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +40 $5 52¢ $21 +$16 05-28 18:09
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 05-28 03:29
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +192 $30 $16 $-13 06-06 20:32
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? Yes +88 $9 16¢ $14 +$5 05-31 10:43
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +50 $13 24¢ $12 $-1 05-30 21:19
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +50 $4 $4 +$0 05-31 05:52
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +19 $3 16¢ $3 $-0 05-31 12:33