(anonymous) 0xbb155f…12626c
bot new 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$204
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
4.6%
Resolved
147
Trades
4,533
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-27 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
57% 14% -$122
Politics
31% 3% -$75
Sports
5% 0% -$3
Crypto
3% 0% $0
Tech
3% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 1802 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 93¢ $93 +$1 10-27 01:18
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +100 $91 91¢ $91 +$1 10-27 08:33
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +92 $85 92¢ $85 $0 10-27 01:59
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +100 $93 84¢ $84 -$8 10-26 01:37
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +100 $66 82¢ $82 +$16 10-27 01:46
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +100 $60 60¢ $60 $0 10-27 03:54
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $46 92¢ $46 -$1 10-26 05:25
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $41 40¢ $40 $0 10-27 03:54
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +58 $39 68¢ $39 $0 10-27 08:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 10-26 01:36
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +50 $42 74¢ $37 -$5 10-23 18:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +50 $34 68¢ $34 $0 10-26 22:35
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +40 $34 84¢ $34 +$0 10-27 07:42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +50 $30 62¢ $31 +$0 10-26 08:51
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +30 $28 95¢ $29 +$1 10-26 11:50
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +50 $26 56¢ $28 +$1 10-26 07:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +50 $28 55¢ $28 -$1 10-26 08:30
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +30 $27 91¢ $27 +$1 10-26 09:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +50 $22 45¢ $22 +$0 10-26 08:30
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +50 $24 44¢ $22 -$2 10-26 07:17
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +21 $18 91¢ $19 +$1 10-26 00:55
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-26 00:56
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $0 10-26 18:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +50 $21 38¢ $19 -$2 10-26 08:51
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +58 $19 32¢ $19 +$0 10-27 08:30
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +100 $34 18¢ $18 -$16 10-27 01:46
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +21 $18 86¢ $18 +$0 10-26 00:55
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 $0 10-26 00:31
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $0 10-27 01:25
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +19 $17 86¢ $16 $0 10-26 13:18