Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
3.2%
Resolved (7d)
1,102
Trades (7d)
19,623
32,675 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$233.9K
$403.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 11-07 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
61% 8% -$1,733
Politics
28% 5% -$368
Sports
4% 4% -$32
Crypto
4% 4% -$32
Tech
3% 0% -$21
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 3724 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Yes +1,002 $640 100¢ $998 +$358 11-05 19:17
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +695 $448 80¢ $560 +$112 11-06 04:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? No +455 $272 99¢ $453 +$181 11-05 18:02
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +472 $402 94¢ $446 +$45 11-05 19:55
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9? No +420 $399 92¢ $388 -$11 11-06 00:59
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +408 $354 88¢ $359 +$5 11-07 08:33
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? No +388 $313 92¢ $355 +$43 11-05 17:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? No +350 $278 98¢ $342 +$64 11-05 16:36
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +436 $329 78¢ $342 +$13 11-06 15:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +352 $305 94¢ $332 +$27 11-05 07:00
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +400 $324 83¢ $332 +$8 11-05 06:26
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? No +414 $304 80¢ $331 +$26 11-07 03:34
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +400 $253 81¢ $324 +$71 11-03 16:41
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +400 $340 80¢ $322 -$18 11-05 12:04
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +352 $271 88¢ $310 +$39 11-05 02:35
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? Yes +307 $290 97¢ $298 +$8 11-06 19:19
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes +320 $291 91¢ $291 $0 11-06 05:10
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +389 $306 74¢ $290 -$15 11-05 04:14
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +337 $291 86¢ $288 -$3 11-06 18:56
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? Yes +322 $290 89¢ $286 -$4 11-05 21:29
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +300 $243 95¢ $285 +$42 11-04 20:50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +300 $265 94¢ $284 +$19 11-04 17:41
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +350 $309 81¢ $283 -$26 11-06 08:20
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +327 $251 86¢ $280 +$29 10-31 17:49
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +402 $295 68¢ $273 -$21 11-06 12:55
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? No +338 $264 80¢ $272 +$8 11-05 23:36
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +300 $223 90¢ $270 +$47 11-03 12:18
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? No +268 $255 98¢ $263 +$8 10-31 18:18
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? Yes +381 $220 68¢ $261 +$41 11-05 09:05
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +271 $254 96¢ $261 +$7 11-06 00:46