Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
3.1%
Resolved (7d)
1,123
Trades (7d)
19,897
30,422 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$244.9K
$379.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$10.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 11-06 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
60% 9% -$1,627
Politics
28% 6% -$353
Crypto
4% 5% -$29
Sports
4% 4% -$32
Tech
3% 0% -$13
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 3724 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Yes +1,002 $640 97¢ $968 +$329 11-05 19:17
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +695 $448 76¢ $532 +$84 11-06 04:54
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +472 $402 94¢ $442 +$40 11-05 19:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? No +455 $272 97¢ $441 +$169 11-05 18:02
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9? No +420 $399 94¢ $397 -$2 11-06 00:59
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026? No +404 $308 92¢ $374 +$65 11-05 00:05
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? No +388 $313 92¢ $357 +$45 11-05 17:01
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +400 $347 88¢ $350 +$3 11-05 19:19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +352 $305 98¢ $347 +$41 11-05 07:00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? No +350 $278 99¢ $347 +$68 11-05 16:36
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +389 $306 88¢ $341 +$35 11-05 04:14
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +400 $324 83¢ $332 +$8 11-05 06:26
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +400 $340 80¢ $322 -$18 11-05 12:04
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +352 $271 90¢ $315 +$44 11-05 02:35
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +400 $253 78¢ $312 +$59 11-03 16:41
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? No +397 $291 78¢ $311 +$20 11-05 20:10
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +335 $152 91¢ $303 +$151 11-05 17:09
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? No +338 $264 88¢ $295 +$32 11-05 23:36
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes +320 $291 91¢ $291 $0 11-06 05:10
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? Yes +322 $290 90¢ $288 -$2 11-05 21:29
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +350 $309 82¢ $285 -$24 11-06 08:20
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +300 $243 95¢ $285 +$42 11-04 20:50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +300 $265 94¢ $281 +$16 11-04 17:41
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +300 $223 88¢ $264 +$41 11-03 12:18
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? No +268 $255 98¢ $263 +$8 10-31 18:18
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +271 $254 96¢ $261 +$7 11-06 00:46
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? Yes +381 $220 68¢ $257 +$37 11-05 09:05
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +334 $244 77¢ $257 +$14 11-05 09:10
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +279 $238 92¢ $257 +$18 11-05 18:50
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +347 $256 71¢ $246 -$10 11-05 06:41