Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.56K
Hit rate
3.1%
Resolved (30d)
2,292
Trades (30d)
46,082
46,027 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$556.8K
$556.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$11.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 11-12 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
62% 8% -$2,460
Politics
26% 5% -$488
Sports
5% 3% -$73
Crypto
4% 3% -$47
Tech
3% 0% -$48
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 3724 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +709 $642 97¢ $691 +$49 11-11 09:44
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? No +499 $406 99¢ $492 +$85 11-12 13:57
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +498 $390 98¢ $490 +$100 11-08 17:04
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +486 $370 97¢ $471 +$102 11-08 17:02
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +472 $402 98¢ $463 +$62 11-05 19:55
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? Yes +496 $416 92¢ $458 +$43 11-12 10:33
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +567 $409 74¢ $422 +$13 11-11 18:28
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +500 $427 84¢ $418 -$10 11-11 13:10
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? Yes +400 $231 100¢ $400 +$169 11-12 01:00
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +456 $397 82¢ $374 -$22 11-08 17:47
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +435 $236 85¢ $370 +$134 11-11 02:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +460 $337 80¢ $366 +$29 11-09 13:51
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +400 $359 90¢ $360 +$1 11-12 11:05
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes +370 $338 97¢ $360 +$22 11-09 04:14
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? Yes +382 $219 94¢ $357 +$138 11-12 13:27
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +402 $316 88¢ $356 +$40 11-09 15:06
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +388 $84 88¢ $344 +$260 11-05 17:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? No +350 $278 97¢ $338 +$59 11-05 16:36
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +400 $324 83¢ $332 +$8 11-05 06:26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +352 $305 94¢ $331 +$26 11-05 07:00
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +400 $340 82¢ $330 -$10 11-05 12:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +329 $284 96¢ $317 +$33 11-08 17:47
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes +369 $302 84¢ $312 +$10 11-11 20:51
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +464 $297 66¢ $304 +$7 11-10 23:58
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +400 $314 76¢ $302 -$12 11-09 13:55
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +320 $304 94¢ $301 -$3 11-12 10:51
Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +336 $271 90¢ $300 +$29 11-10 11:51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +305 $145 98¢ $300 +$155 11-08 23:05
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? No +318 $287 94¢ $298 +$11 11-12 05:30
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +366 $268 81¢ $296 +$28 11-12 02:25