Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
3.0%
Resolved (90d)
2,567
Trades (90d)
49,868
49,868 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$602.0K
$602.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$11.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 11-13 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
62% 8% -$2,713
Politics
25% 5% -$546
Sports
5% 3% -$73
Crypto
3% 3% -$56
Tech
3% 0% -$72
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 3724 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +709 $642 99¢ $704 +$62 11-11 09:44
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? No +499 $406 99¢ $493 +$86 11-12 13:57
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +498 $390 98¢ $489 +$98 11-08 17:04
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +486 $370 98¢ $475 +$106 11-08 17:02
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +472 $402 99¢ $470 +$68 11-05 19:55
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? Yes +482 $315 97¢ $467 +$152 11-12 14:09
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +567 $409 79¢ $448 +$39 11-11 18:28
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +514 $446 86¢ $445 -$1 11-13 19:25
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +500 $427 88¢ $438 +$10 11-11 13:10
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +636 $412 66¢ $423 +$11 11-13 17:10
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +435 $236 88¢ $381 +$145 11-11 02:49
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +402 $316 92¢ $370 +$54 11-09 15:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +460 $337 80¢ $366 +$29 11-09 13:51
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +400 $359 91¢ $364 +$5 11-12 11:05
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +388 $84 93¢ $363 +$279 11-05 17:01
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes +370 $338 97¢ $360 +$22 11-09 04:14
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +399 $296 90¢ $359 +$63 11-13 19:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? No +350 $278 98¢ $345 +$66 11-05 16:36
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +352 $305 94¢ $332 +$26 11-05 07:00
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +400 $340 82¢ $330 -$10 11-05 12:04
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +418 $327 78¢ $326 -$1 11-12 14:30
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? No +383 $312 83¢ $318 +$6 11-13 09:32
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +329 $284 96¢ $317 +$33 11-08 17:47
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +320 $304 98¢ $314 +$10 11-12 10:51
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +318 $161 98¢ $313 +$152 11-10 21:27
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? Yes +496 $416 62¢ $307 -$109 11-13 07:27
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +391 $304 78¢ $303 -$1 11-13 17:42
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? No +302 $267 100¢ $301 +$34 11-12 14:08
Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +336 $271 90¢ $300 +$29 11-10 11:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? No +318 $287 94¢ $298 +$11 11-12 05:30