Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$173
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,470
lifetime
Volume
$172.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 06-30 12:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
46%
Other
26%
Politics
24%
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +963 $901 95¢ $917 +$16 06-30 14:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +493 $367 74¢ $365 $-3 06-30 17:11
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +513 $408 69¢ $354 $-54 06-20 22:38
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-296 100¢ $-300 $-5 06-10 15:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +5,987 $315 $293 $-22 06-30 12:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +333 $273 86¢ $288 +$15 06-11 17:30
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +232 $185 95¢ $219 +$34 06-30 17:46
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +203 $218 100¢ $202 $-16 06-14 20:46
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +212 $190 91¢ $193 +$3 06-30 00:32
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +159 $150 95¢ $151 +$1 06-30 07:54
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +154 $126 82¢ $127 +$1 06-19 08:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -123 $-117 99¢ $-122 $-5 06-11 23:33
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -87 $-80 95¢ $-82 $-2 06-01 03:20
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +80 $69 92¢ $74 +$5 06-30 08:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +1,213 $74 $67 $-7 06-29 06:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +211 $65 31¢ $65 +$0 06-26 22:44
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +275 $55 22¢ $62 +$7 06-18 17:16
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +2,762 $149 $61 $-88 06-30 10:39
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +483 $57 12¢ $60 +$4 06-20 17:11
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +87 $48 60¢ $53 +$5 06-30 08:12
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +949 $137 $51 $-86 06-30 13:25
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? No +56 $53 91¢ $51 $-2 06-16 08:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +55 $43 81¢ $45 +$1 06-29 09:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -957 $-51 $-45 +$6 06-30 14:41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -166 $-60 26¢ $-43 +$18 06-22 14:20
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-39 71¢ $-39 $-0 06-19 20:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No -37 $-35 95¢ $-35 +$0 06-30 07:55
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-27 91¢ $-29 $-2 06-10 18:17
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -23 $-22 94¢ $-22 +$1 06-17 20:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-29 20:06