Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$179
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9,378
lifetime
Volume
$272.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 07-21 21:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
40%
Other
40%
Politics
17%
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 630 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -715 $-687 94¢ $-674 +$13 07-21 21:06
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -417 $-332 82¢ $-342 $-10 07-19 23:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +333 $267 72¢ $241 $-25 07-21 04:47
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +211 $190 80¢ $170 $-20 07-02 21:32
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,500 $102 $127 +$26 07-03 04:13
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +131 $100 80¢ $105 +$6 07-19 20:24
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -87 $-80 97¢ $-84 $-4 06-01 03:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +123 $82 68¢ $83 +$1 07-19 23:03
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +3,983 $239 $58 $-182 07-21 11:24
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +58 $49 98¢ $57 +$8 07-11 11:31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No -55 $-52 98¢ $-54 $-2 07-13 06:41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? No +56 $53 93¢ $52 $-1 06-16 08:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -1,260 $-67 $-48 +$19 07-09 11:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No -49 $-47 98¢ $-48 $-1 07-07 16:31
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +211 $65 20¢ $41 $-24 06-26 22:44
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-39 74¢ $-41 $-2 06-19 20:43
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -166 $-60 24¢ $-40 +$20 06-22 14:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +1,093 $43 $33 $-9 07-21 05:44
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-27 94¢ $-30 $-3 06-10 18:17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? No +25 $24 97¢ $24 +$1 07-20 12:50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$1 07-02 08:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -397 $-24 $-18 +$6 05-30 21:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +15 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 07-21 05:48
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +14 $13 93¢ $13 $-0 06-27 19:03
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 $-0 07-20 15:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -133 $-6 $-9 $-3 06-04 19:47
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -9 $-8 92¢ $-8 $-0 06-12 22:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -274 $-8 $-7 +$1 06-12 07:34
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-12 92¢ $-7 +$5 07-07 16:38
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-30 09:14