Realized P&L
-$19.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.23K
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
1,266
Trades
75,296
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 11-08 05:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
64% 49% -$7,686
Other
23% 39% -$4,955
Sports
12% 58% -$7,130
Crypto
1% 79% -$103
Tech
0% 33% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? Yes +1,920 $1,559 75¢ $1.4K -$119 11-07 15:23
Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes +1,150 $518 90¢ $1.0K +$519 11-08 06:24
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? No +1,124 $1,039 92¢ $1.0K -$5 11-07 15:24
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027? No +1,000 $849 84¢ $845 -$4 11-05 14:56
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +744 $714 98¢ $729 +$15 11-08 02:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +1,150 $191 58¢ $667 +$476 11-07 17:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $570 19¢ $569 -$1 11-06 18:46
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +772 $539 70¢ $537 -$2 11-08 05:13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +498 $28 96¢ $477 +$448 11-04 23:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? Yes +890 $444 52¢ $462 +$18 11-07 19:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 12%-15%? Yes +900 $197 50¢ $453 +$256 11-07 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $390 90¢ $448 +$57 11-07 21:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? Yes +1,000 $111 44¢ $441 +$330 11-07 19:13
Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $324 93¢ $419 +$95 11-06 07:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 15%-18%? Yes +971 $809 43¢ $417 -$392 11-07 08:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more? Yes +1,100 $215 34¢ $375 +$161 11-07 17:23
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027? No +426 $340 82¢ $347 +$8 11-05 13:42
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +357 $294 94¢ $337 +$44 11-07 23:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +400 $10 56¢ $222 +$213 11-04 18:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 9%-12%? Yes — +304 $260 68¢ $206 -$53 11-04 13:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +225 $176 84¢ $190 +$14 11-07 08:26
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +211 $190 89¢ $188 -$3 07-02 21:32
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027? Yes +900 $243 20¢ $185 -$59 11-06 22:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%? No +165 $99 96¢ $159 +$60 10-26 17:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more? Yes +135 $68 98¢ $133 +$64 11-04 17:41
Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027? No +323 $140 40¢ $131 -$9 11-05 23:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? No +127 $87 100¢ $126 +$39 11-01 10:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 15%-18%? No +125 $111 99¢ $124 +$13 11-03 08:27
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +122 $69 92¢ $111 +$42 11-03 00:45
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +123 $107 88¢ $108 +$1 11-07 13:43