(anonymous) 0xeed8c2…6135f0
whale cold
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$37.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$84.2K
Hit rate
35.5%
Resolved
5,975
Trades
138,658
lifetime
Volume
$8.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$1.21M
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-30
last 10-30 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
50% 42% -$23,218
Politics
43% 46% -$11,326
Tech
4% 30% -$1,981
Sports
2% 24% -$1,150
Crypto
1% 8% -$227
Pop-Culture
0% 46% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +116,805 $81,961 60¢ $70.1K -$11,878 10-30 03:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +78,424 $66,158 82¢ $64.7K -$1,458 10-30 10:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +84,644 $54,638 71¢ $60.1K +$5,459 10-30 12:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +56,636 $54,515 97¢ $55.0K +$451 10-28 18:29
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +53,870 $46,433 97¢ $52.1K +$5,686 10-28 11:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +53,941 $42,868 94¢ $50.7K +$7,837 10-30 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +57,086 $44,362 88¢ $50.5K +$6,159 10-30 04:16
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +48,451 $43,148 99¢ $48.1K +$4,963 10-23 16:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +66,089 $41,688 72¢ $47.3K +$5,565 10-30 11:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +116,125 $35,841 40¢ $46.5K +$10,609 10-30 03:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +46,446 $38,348 97¢ $45.1K +$6,705 10-30 11:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +45,867 $44,436 98¢ $45.0K +$536 10-30 10:51
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +49,083 $43,422 84¢ $41.1K -$2,315 10-30 07:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +70,310 $41,389 58¢ $40.5K -$855 10-30 07:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +41,538 $39,956 97¢ $40.2K +$232 10-30 11:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +45,886 $37,902 86¢ $39.7K +$1,789 10-13 19:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +48,588 $34,592 76¢ $37.2K +$2,577 10-29 15:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +52,201 $32,460 70¢ $36.8K +$4,341 10-30 11:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +34,696 $33,443 98¢ $33.9K +$473 10-30 09:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,705 $32,670 76¢ $33.0K +$327 10-30 01:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +34,031 $28,956 94¢ $31.8K +$2,863 10-29 17:45
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +39,753 $27,587 78¢ $30.8K +$3,222 10-30 11:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,827 $29,038 42¢ $29.6K +$534 10-30 07:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +35,094 $27,535 80¢ $28.3K +$715 10-29 23:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +29,828 $24,431 90¢ $26.7K +$2,265 10-30 07:22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +27,937 $24,473 95¢ $26.5K +$2,066 10-28 14:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +26,425 $22,797 97¢ $25.6K +$2,835 10-30 13:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,193 $8,990 100¢ $24.2K +$15,202 10-27 23:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +28,549 $21,203 84¢ $23.8K +$2,635 10-23 14:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +35,670 $19,123 67¢ $23.8K +$4,705 10-30 03:04