Shameful-Cinnamon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$182

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,856

lifetime

Volume

$530.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$12

Other

46% 100% +$170

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	2	$19.1K	19,142	0	+19,142	open	—	02-23 09:29
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	22	$12.4K	6,061	6,543	-482	open	—	04-14 01:47
italy nordio reform referendum passes	8	$12.0K	6,035	6,035	+0	open	—	03-23 17:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	58	$10.5K	6,944	3,833	+3,111	open	—	04-30 00:45
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	8	$9.2K	2,313	6,882	-4,569	open	—	01-18 19:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	39	$9.0K	4,956	5,016	-60	open	—	04-17 18:27
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	111	$8.9K	10,758	10,833	-75	open	—	03-08 22:08
Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?	5	$8.8K	8,836	0	+8,836	open	—	01-21 12:11
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	24	$8.3K	3,655	4,766	-1,111	open	—	01-19 09:02
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	10	$8.3K	4,240	4,240	+0	open	—	02-08 11:03
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	4	$7.9K	7,920	3	+7,917	open	—	01-03 17:06
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	42	$7.6K	4,774	3,024	+1,749	open	—	03-15 21:40
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	30	$7.4K	7,527	1,185	+6,341	open	—	02-09 00:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	9	$7.4K	3,533	3,933	-400	open	—	06-24 11:44
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	17	$7.0K	4,856	2,528	+2,328	open	—	02-08 21:31
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	15	$6.7K	3,300	3,667	-367	open	—	06-22 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$6.7K	3,422	3,422	+0	open	—	05-19 05:35
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	12	$6.7K	4,475	2,235	+2,241	open	—	02-18 05:14
will the centrist reform alliance win the second most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	21	$6.7K	5,222	1,561	+3,661	open	—	02-08 22:39
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	22	$6.6K	4,028	3,627	+401	open	—	01-19 09:04
japanese snap election called by january 31 2026	8	$6.0K	6,102	0	+6,102	open	—	01-23 13:20
will seguro win all of portugals districts	12	$6.0K	5,982	0	+5,982	open	—	02-14 03:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$5.9K	5,155	900	+4,255	open	—	03-04 16:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	21	$5.9K	4,029	2,629	+1,400	open	—	05-28 13:02
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$5.8K	1,633	4,253	-2,620	open	—	02-08 22:40
will the liberal democratic party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	25	$5.5K	3,088	2,607	+481	open	—	02-08 13:58
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	13	$5.5K	4,066	1,844	+2,222	open	—	03-08 20:15
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	14	$5.4K	5,517	1,067	+4,450	open	—	07-07 13:02
Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?	9	$5.4K	2,948	2,478	+470	open	—	01-19 21:48
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	35	$5.3K	3,784	3,784	+0	open	—	08-10 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:04:36	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$15	0xeeba40…
08-11 08:15:03	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	76	78¢	$60	0x22e3c0…
08-11 06:46:49	will jose luis rodriguez zapatero be arrested by december 31 2026 20260628222238877	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3773cf…
08-10 17:47:13	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	111	67¢	$74	0x885134…
08-10 05:49:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	388	85¢	$330	0x0b1282…
08-09 18:54:01	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	1,111	98¢	$1,084	0x2a9fec…
08-09 18:13:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	388	83¢	$322	0x58de6c…
08-09 11:22:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	8¢	$89	0x7a1719…
08-09 10:17:16	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0xc9c8fc…
08-07 22:38:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	777	78¢	$606	0x56c381…
08-07 07:01:55	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x401ef5…
08-07 00:56:27	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x4a86b4…
08-05 22:12:41	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	282	72¢	$203	0xd6e122…
08-05 21:51:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	119	70¢	$83	0x68129e…
08-05 21:29:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	159	68¢	$108	0xcdb9c4…
08-05 14:57:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	222	7¢	$16	0xdd4b4a…
08-05 08:44:32	Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0xab4ee0…
08-05 06:36:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	29	81¢	$24	0x459d60…
08-05 06:35:14	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	71	81¢	$57	0xf21a15…
08-04 16:16:30	Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	126	92¢	$116	0x2ca820…
08-04 15:58:35	Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1ebd55…
08-04 12:06:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x14af30…
08-04 12:06:32	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd650f7…
08-04 12:05:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xcc41de…
08-04 12:05:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x04f5ce…
08-04 08:45:06	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x0b935e…
08-04 08:45:00	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xd05b9b…
08-04 08:45:00	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x489708…
08-04 01:03:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x3e7fae…
08-03 20:42:48	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x3903b2…
08-03 20:42:38	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xf324d9…
08-03 20:42:36	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe5de3b…
08-03 20:42:36	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	630	80¢	$504	0xb22fce…
08-03 15:27:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xcb7b63…
08-03 12:59:35	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd5bd63…
08-03 12:59:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2906ca…
08-03 12:59:05	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	209	9¢	$19	0xd423a1…
08-03 02:04:51	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb825bc…
08-02 22:19:53	Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	990	99¢	$980	0x640f83…
08-02 17:45:35	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	611	95¢	$580	0x7b055e…
08-02 17:40:29	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x131cfa…
08-02 02:28:21	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	1,111	70¢	$778	0x495fd7…
08-01 23:17:45	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	13¢	$29	0x97c708…
08-01 20:08:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x450978…
08-01 19:50:38	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x9e6f6b…
08-01 17:31:35	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0x52375a…
08-01 17:02:21	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	111	68¢	$75	0xb18c10…
08-01 16:52:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0xd3ed3d…
08-01 16:36:35	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	105	65¢	$68	0xa4f917…
08-01 16:35:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x2da149…
08-01 16:35:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0fc5e9…
08-01 16:33:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0x48c607…
08-01 16:11:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	111	67¢	$74	0xa61205…
08-01 15:52:26	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	99	68¢	$68	0xbf9490…
08-01 13:32:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	111	67¢	$74	0x7f8e3d…
08-01 13:30:45	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	142	78¢	$111	0x0b14c0…
08-01 13:21:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	111	80¢	$89	0x6c8c44…
08-01 12:42:24	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xbcf083…
08-01 12:42:21	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0x7048a4…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1,111	65¢	$722	0x6d9f93…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	69	31¢	$21	0x6d9f93…
08-01 11:54:21	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xc6a3e2…
08-01 11:50:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xc3d187…
08-01 11:08:11	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x466c14…
08-01 10:23:50	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	111	25¢	$28	0x3561a5…
08-01 10:15:51	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xa41559…
08-01 08:32:39	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	93	80¢	$74	0x011961…
07-31 18:55:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	1,051	73¢	$767	0x7d0caa…
07-31 12:22:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	603	50¢	$302	0xccc19f…
07-30 23:22:24	spain snap election called by august 31 2026 20260624205647682	No	BUY	778	98¢	$763	0xa62ed4…
07-30 20:56:38	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9af0f7…
07-29 16:48:51	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xc4565f…
07-29 16:14:29	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	444	85¢	$377	0xdea41a…
07-29 13:16:17	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x2d7853…
07-29 10:10:39	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$22	0xc621aa…
07-28 22:52:26	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0x32783f…
07-28 09:34:34	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	201	86¢	$173	0x3aa14a…
07-27 04:35:03	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x182878…
07-26 15:02:54	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xb2f524…
07-26 13:31:24	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x51d111…
07-25 23:26:22	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xfccb4d…
07-25 17:32:25	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x4036e2…
07-25 13:03:39	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	499	97¢	$485	0x15e5d7…
07-25 01:25:10	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb0cb8a…
07-24 19:24:54	andy burnham out as uk pm by december 31 20260720161648861	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x3f5bc7…
07-23 14:14:52	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2415ac…
07-23 14:13:09	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4645b3…
07-23 14:12:52	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x446d6d…
07-23 14:12:49	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	478	99¢	$474	0xb34d2f…
07-23 13:20:31	andy burnham out as uk pm by december 31 20260720161648861	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1ce049…
07-23 13:20:10	andy burnham out as uk pm by december 31 20260720161648861	No	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x5dc35e…
07-22 13:14:36	spain snap election called by august 31 2026 20260624205647682	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xf4d4cc…
07-22 13:11:55	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	BUY	263	99¢	$261	0x501f26…
07-20 19:24:15	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	328	100¢	$328	0xf7aac8…
07-20 08:41:58	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0xe4fc4d…
07-20 07:25:01	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x463116…
07-20 01:31:28	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x55a825…
07-19 23:46:09	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x8ff82c…
07-19 19:48:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	295	88¢	$260	0x7ad45c…
07-19 19:11:54	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,110	0x738fd0…