Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d0121…ce1645
whale hot 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.32K
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
567
Trades
6,871
lifetime
Volume
$1.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$64.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
52% 74% +$5,115
Other
47% 76% +$16,284
Sports
1% 100% +$206
Tech
1% 67% -$51
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +9,541 $9,360 98¢ $9.3K -$53 10-20 17:03
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +9,148 $6,460 82¢ $7.5K +$1,087 10-26 11:24
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +8,155 $6,308 82¢ $6.6K +$338 10-12 22:00
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +7,091 $5,874 88¢ $6.3K +$402 10-25 20:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,025 $5,161 92¢ $5.6K +$413 09-13 11:33
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,687 $4,428 96¢ $4.5K +$95 10-06 20:14
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +4,444 $4,044 92¢ $4.1K +$44 10-13 06:52
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +4,119 $4,053 98¢ $4.0K -$37 10-29 01:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3,584 $2,542 94¢ $3.4K +$845 10-25 23:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,161 $2,897 94¢ $3.0K +$59 10-12 17:29
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +4,035 $2,971 72¢ $2.9K -$66 10-12 19:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,241 $891 43¢ $973 +$82 10-14 17:50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,111 $889 71¢ $789 -$100 10-13 09:40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,111 $745 57¢ $629 -$117 08-26 01:35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11,755 $95 4¢ $464 +$369 10-16 13:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -438 -$385 97¢ $-424 -$39 05-22 14:05
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +907 $499 43¢ $392 -$107 09-23 12:42
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,592 $308 15¢ $388 +$79 10-28 04:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -400 -$336 96¢ $-382 -$46 05-19 03:08
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,365 $315 5¢ $328 +$13 09-30 14:37
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +320 $308 96¢ $308 +$0 10-25 21:38
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +338 $279 90¢ $304 +$25 10-24 14:50
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +1,671 $514 16¢ $276 -$238 10-13 19:04
Celonis IPO before 2027? No -292 -$272 92¢ $-270 +$2 09-12 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +309 -$113 68¢ $208 +$321 10-21 17:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,139 $255 17¢ $197 -$58 10-26 04:13
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +200 $177 97¢ $194 +$17 06-17 02:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No -200 -$182 96¢ $-192 -$10 06-30 15:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -200 -$182 92¢ $-185 -$3 07-04 01:52
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +450 $166 38¢ $173 +$7 05-20 14:47