Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d0121…ce1645
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$182
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,755
lifetime
Volume
$514.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$187
Open exposure
$1.98K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$12
Other
47% 100% +$170
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,289 $855 54¢ $689 $-165 07-15 07:30
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -349 $-316 86¢ $-302 +$14 07-02 08:35
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -275 $-253 90¢ $-249 +$4 07-01 07:09
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +200 $177 91¢ $182 +$5 06-17 02:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -200 $-182 90¢ $-179 +$3 07-04 01:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -90 $-86 96¢ $-86 +$0 07-13 08:56
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -86 $-84 98¢ $-84 $-0 07-13 15:16
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -65 $-59 95¢ $-62 $-2 06-12 12:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No -50 $-46 92¢ $-46 $-0 06-30 15:25
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +39 $27 78¢ $31 +$4 06-26 15:23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +200 $28 12¢ $25 $-3 06-25 09:33
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +23 $17 84¢ $20 +$2 06-18 11:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $18 23¢ $11 $-7 05-28 18:28
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +117 $16 8¢ $9 $-7 06-13 01:27
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +24 $-34 18¢ $4 +$39 06-30 22:55
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -29 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$1 07-20 01:31