Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d0121…ce1645
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$182
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,635
lifetime
Volume
$495.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$188
Open exposure
$4.03K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 07:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
53% 100% +$12
Other
47% 100% +$170
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +1,600 $1,568 99¢ $1.6K +$14 07-01 15:00
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -1,067 $-998 98¢ $-1045 $-47 06-28 04:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +600 $462 82¢ $489 +$27 06-02 07:41
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -275 $-253 92¢ $-253 +$0 07-01 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +300 $180 70¢ $208 +$28 06-01 17:50
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +200 $177 91¢ $181 +$4 06-17 02:06
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -65 $-59 90¢ $-58 +$1 06-12 12:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -70 $-62 83¢ $-58 +$4 06-24 14:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -50 $-46 92¢ $-46 +$0 06-30 15:25
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +39 $27 80¢ $31 +$4 06-26 15:23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +200 $28 14¢ $28 +$0 06-25 09:33
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +23 $17 83¢ $19 +$2 06-18 11:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $18 26¢ $13 $-5 05-28 18:28
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +117 $16 8¢ $9 $-7 06-13 01:27
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +24 $-34 25¢ $6 +$40 06-30 22:55
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No -81 $-3 1¢ $-1 +$2 06-22 08:28
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +0 $-6 100¢ $0 +$6 06-24 16:19