Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

132

Trades

773

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 11-09 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

57% 15% -$44

Politics

22% 21% -$13

Crypto

14% 53% -$29

Tech

4% 50% $0

Sports

3% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$15	98¢	$20	+$4	10-27 01:44
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-27 01:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-27 04:00
will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by november 30 2026	No	+0	$5	5¢	$0	-$5	11-03 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$39	65	65	+0	No	-$1	11-07 08:53
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	11-09 12:59
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	4	$30	43	43	+0	open	—	11-07 22:14
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	$0	11-04 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	11	$26	50	0	+50	Up	-$12	09-19 20:43
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$26	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	10-27 12:55
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	11-09 01:42
Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	3	$24	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-31 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	5	$24	63	63	+0	No	-$3	10-27 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$23	38	0	+38	Down	$0	09-19 20:34
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	11-06 07:49
Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$22	35	35	+0	Yes	+$2	10-30 16:27
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	5	$22	64	64	+0	Yes	-$5	11-06 04:09
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$22	80	80	+0	open	—	11-06 06:41
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 04:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by March 31, 2027?	3	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 07:09
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	3	$21	31	31	+0	open	—	11-09 21:56
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$21	29	29	+0	Yes	+$11	10-27 01:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027?	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	11-01 07:41
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 23:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 09:59
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-27 01:44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$19	35	35	+0	open	—	11-02 02:29
will perena launch a token by march 31 2027	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 18:44
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?	4	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	11-05 12:56
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by November 30?	3	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 18:01
Will James Li win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election?	5	$18	60	60	+0	open	—	11-05 11:41
Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?	2	$18	60	60	+0	open	—	11-05 10:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	4	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 15:48
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 06:17:22	Will Josh Allen have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x675250…
11-09 21:56:07	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xabcbd4…
11-09 21:52:37	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x178a76…
11-09 20:04:34	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x48975d…
11-09 19:57:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x054bd2…
11-09 19:16:30	Will Khalil Shakir have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd331c4…
11-09 19:16:28	Will Khalil Shakir have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe333fb…
11-09 18:57:21	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0xf97ece…
11-09 18:29:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xb86174…
11-09 17:33:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x156215…
11-09 14:37:10	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x4d91c4…
11-09 14:37:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf8cd1f…
11-09 14:01:13	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xacc7b7…
11-09 13:11:30	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x27282e…
11-09 12:59:21	Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfd3aaa…
11-09 12:39:37	Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x98e570…
11-09 10:58:25	Will Junts win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe8a880…
11-09 10:58:12	Will Junts win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xda0b51…
11-09 10:31:46	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xade5ef…
11-09 10:17:24	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x472f1e…
11-09 10:17:24	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x3181bc…
11-09 10:16:18	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x4172d6…
11-09 10:16:16	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa21f19…
11-09 10:06:16	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xdebae3…
11-09 04:05:52	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x361144…
11-09 04:05:37	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdc298a…
11-09 01:42:46	Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x06596f…
11-09 01:40:15	Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x509cfe…
11-09 01:19:36	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x46b0e1…
11-09 00:46:13	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xbb9dac…
11-09 00:26:55	Will PP win 144 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x36a8aa…
11-09 00:26:40	Will PP win 144 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x1e174c…
11-09 00:25:43	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xdd56a2…
11-08 22:43:57	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xea1750…
11-08 22:19:07	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xddf8e5…
11-08 21:58:13	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x95caa5…
11-08 21:58:12	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xbe004b…
11-08 21:55:24	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xf0a3f3…
11-08 21:49:28	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xecb000…
11-08 12:00:04	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million?	No	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0xbb1b5b…
11-08 11:59:00	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xa8a330…
11-08 11:58:58	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million?	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xedff1a…
11-08 11:37:10	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x2c0953…
11-08 11:34:06	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc774d0…
11-08 11:34:03	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xac2b63…
11-08 10:24:25	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x3daa69…
11-08 10:24:09	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xabe5f5…
11-08 10:23:18	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xbb752e…
11-08 06:48:48	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xc2de2e…
11-08 06:46:43	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0d290e…
11-08 02:20:15	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x375b64…
11-08 00:53:18	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa42901…
11-08 00:22:22	Will Drake Maye have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x4217d0…
11-08 00:19:34	Will exactly 7 candidates appear on the first-round ballot of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf89d21…
11-07 23:59:21	Will exactly 7 candidates appear on the first-round ballot of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb999fe…
11-07 23:51:55	Will Drake Maye have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x80f5e0…
11-07 22:14:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x72bf1a…
11-07 22:08:03	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc933f9…
11-07 22:06:39	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x515d21…
11-07 20:55:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.03% in November?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc4dc42…
11-07 20:55:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.03% in November?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x7f2b24…
11-07 20:55:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.03% in November?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x5f4f1c…
11-07 20:54:55	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.03% in November?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe46823…
11-07 18:45:12	Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 70-79 seats?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe1cc05…
11-07 18:37:03	Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 70-79 seats?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf1377b…
11-07 16:47:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x62d659…
11-07 15:14:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb9ef3e…
11-07 12:23:30	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x2279c7…
11-07 12:23:13	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x573e50…
11-07 08:53:52	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0xd3e6c3…
11-07 07:49:01	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x110bf1…
11-07 07:32:04	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x48ecb2…
11-07 06:30:18	Will PP win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xae1775…
11-07 06:29:18	Will PP win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6cdb2d…
11-07 06:29:09	Will PP win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x0bee8c…
11-06 22:26:40	Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7541ec…
11-06 22:26:39	Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x522980…
11-06 22:13:12	US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x731bf2…
11-06 22:11:25	Will Team Nemesis win BLAST Slam IX?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x7557fa…
11-06 22:10:27	Will Team Nemesis win BLAST Slam IX?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xdef4b4…
11-06 22:10:27	Will Team Nemesis win BLAST Slam IX?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xcc31f1…
11-06 22:09:27	Will Team Nemesis win BLAST Slam IX?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8e5cd3…
11-06 22:09:24	Will Team Nemesis win BLAST Slam IX?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x171885…
11-06 22:09:04	Will Falcons Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x852513…
11-06 22:08:52	Will Falcons Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x37ad6f…
11-06 21:31:07	Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x696cc8…
11-06 21:25:54	US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x95fb5d…
11-06 21:12:36	Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbed2ce…
11-06 18:37:52	Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x0c8516…
11-06 18:37:39	Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xca0fa3…
11-06 15:44:19	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x1a6092…
11-06 15:08:43	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x781a0d…
11-06 11:43:09	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x300dda…
11-06 10:38:55	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7ac9e5…
11-06 07:49:52	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x62f33a…
11-06 07:48:01	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd630ff…
11-06 07:33:00	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x315829…
11-06 07:18:12	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x23836d…
11-06 06:41:46	Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x77fbf7…
11-06 06:24:46	Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x827af1…