Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

717

838 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.39K

$2.72K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 11-12 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

58% 16% -$64

Politics

20% 20% -$17

Crypto

14% 53% -$29

Tech

4% 50% $0

Sports

3% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by november 30 2026	No		+0	$5	5¢	$0	-$5	11-03 01:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-27 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	3	$44	39	39	+0	open	—	11-10 13:30
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$39	65	65	+0	No	-$1	11-07 08:53
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	11-09 12:59
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	4	$30	43	43	+0	Yes	-$4	11-07 22:14
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	$0	11-04 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	11	$26	50	0	+50	Up	-$12	09-19 20:43
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$26	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	10-27 12:55
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	11-11 16:56
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	11-09 01:42
Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	3	$24	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-31 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	5	$24	63	63	+0	No	-$3	10-27 03:00
Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	2	$23	151	151	+0	open	—	11-10 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	8	$23	38	0	+38	Down	$0	09-19 20:34
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	11-06 07:49
Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$22	35	35	+0	Yes	+$2	10-30 16:27
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	5	$22	64	64	+0	Yes	-$5	11-06 04:09
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$22	80	80	+0	open	—	11-06 06:41
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 04:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by March 31, 2027?	3	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 07:09
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	3	$21	31	31	+0	open	—	11-09 21:56
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$21	29	29	+0	Yes	+$11	10-27 01:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027?	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	11-01 07:41
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 23:37
Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	2	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	11-11 21:02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 09:59
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	$0	10-27 01:44
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	11-11 01:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$19	35	35	+0	No	-$4	11-02 02:29
will perena launch a token by march 31 2027	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 18:44
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?	4	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	11-05 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 04:45:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xeaa2bb…
11-12 04:44:49	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfc22aa…
11-12 03:42:13	Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8eed69…
11-12 02:11:54	Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3d5271…
11-11 22:15:22	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x49970c…
11-11 21:59:58	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x90da5b…
11-11 21:02:04	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x8592f2…
11-11 20:31:00	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xad1eec…
11-11 20:30:00	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x69c0e4…
11-11 20:29:46	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x7c971d…
11-11 18:55:07	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd52fff…
11-11 18:55:06	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xe5863e…
11-11 16:56:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe38a83…
11-11 16:56:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x91f12b…
11-11 16:54:34	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa70ba3…
11-11 16:37:45	Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x13ee5e…
11-11 16:34:37	Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcc3697…
11-11 15:14:46	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xc6a557…
11-11 12:02:24	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf38337…
11-11 12:02:16	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x67608f…
11-11 12:02:15	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xb372f7…
11-11 09:40:18	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x23b07c…
11-11 09:39:46	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x15155b…
11-11 06:49:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd976ac…
11-11 06:32:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x764936…
11-11 05:13:46	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x8dfd07…
11-11 05:13:30	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xb28dcc…
11-11 03:00:51	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xa5079c…
11-11 03:00:51	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x34e062…
11-11 03:00:49	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x640830…
11-11 02:40:48	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x31ae37…
11-11 02:37:57	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2bf07b…
11-11 02:29:36	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xd9cfb2…
11-11 02:29:34	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x73e88d…
11-11 02:25:10	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x4eaf78…
11-11 01:42:33	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xa0d5f1…
11-11 01:42:30	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd90ab…
11-10 22:58:37	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2d2326…
11-10 22:41:33	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xad6897…
11-10 17:24:09	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x7a1565…
11-10 17:20:13	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x992fdd…
11-10 15:28:36	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xc8f397…
11-10 15:28:33	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x3a8707…
11-10 13:30:52	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xa45953…
11-10 13:30:51	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	48¢	$19	0x95c5ba…
11-10 13:00:07	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0x5120e8…
11-10 12:37:43	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x98ffc2…
11-10 12:28:21	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x64f9cc…
11-10 11:58:45	Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0x6056c2…
11-10 11:57:07	Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x28c957…
11-10 10:32:03	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x21193c…
11-10 09:37:37	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 105m?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xbc1c4e…
11-10 09:37:37	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 105m?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xa2a134…
11-10 09:37:22	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 105m?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x35e5c0…
11-10 09:35:45	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x5c3ea4…
11-10 09:32:06	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x971e07…
11-10 08:59:06	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x6e6241…
11-10 08:40:03	Saturn FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xf8e595…
11-10 08:40:03	Saturn FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x03df3b…
11-10 08:39:49	Saturn FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x017e45…
11-10 08:32:48	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x6ba7eb…
11-10 08:32:34	Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x8e9cd7…
11-10 06:17:37	Will Josh Allen have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x868059…
11-10 06:17:22	Will Josh Allen have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x675250…
11-09 21:56:07	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xabcbd4…
11-09 21:52:37	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x178a76…
11-09 20:04:34	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x48975d…
11-09 19:57:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x054bd2…
11-09 19:16:30	Will Khalil Shakir have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd331c4…
11-09 19:16:28	Will Khalil Shakir have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe333fb…
11-09 18:57:21	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0xf97ece…
11-09 18:29:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xb86174…
11-09 17:33:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x156215…
11-09 14:37:10	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x4d91c4…
11-09 14:37:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf8cd1f…
11-09 14:01:13	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xacc7b7…
11-09 13:11:30	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x27282e…
11-09 12:59:21	Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfd3aaa…
11-09 12:39:37	Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x98e570…
11-09 10:58:25	Will Junts win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe8a880…
11-09 10:58:12	Will Junts win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xda0b51…
11-09 10:31:46	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xade5ef…
11-09 10:17:24	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x472f1e…
11-09 10:17:24	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x3181bc…
11-09 10:16:18	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x4172d6…
11-09 10:16:16	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa21f19…
11-09 10:06:16	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xdebae3…
11-09 04:05:52	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x361144…
11-09 04:05:37	Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdc298a…
11-09 01:42:46	Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x06596f…
11-09 01:40:15	Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x509cfe…
11-09 01:19:36	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x46b0e1…
11-09 00:46:13	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xbb9dac…
11-09 00:26:55	Will PP win 144 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x36a8aa…
11-09 00:26:40	Will PP win 144 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x1e174c…
11-09 00:25:43	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xdd56a2…
11-08 22:43:57	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xea1750…
11-08 22:19:07	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xddf8e5…
11-08 21:58:13	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x95caa5…
11-08 21:58:12	Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xbe004b…