Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$123

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved (90d)

143

Trades (90d)

890

890 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.91K

$2.91K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 11-13 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

61% 18% -$71

Politics

19% 20% -$17

Crypto

13% 53% -$29

Tech

4% 50% $0

Sports

3% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by november 30 2026	No		+0	$5	5¢	$0	-$5	11-03 01:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-27 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	11-12 16:05
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	11	$44	130	130	+0	open	—	11-12 08:56
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	3	$44	39	39	+0	open	—	11-10 13:30
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$39	65	65	+0	No	-$1	11-07 08:53
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	4	$37	46	46	+0	open	—	11-12 18:30
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	5	$34	51	51	+0	open	—	11-12 16:25
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	11-09 12:59
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	3	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	11-13 02:32
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	4	$30	43	43	+0	Yes	-$4	11-07 22:14
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	$0	11-04 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	11	$26	50	0	+50	Up	-$12	09-19 20:43
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$26	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	10-27 12:55
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	11-11 16:56
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	11-09 01:42
Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	3	$24	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	10-31 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	5	$24	63	63	+0	No	-$3	10-27 03:00
Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	2	$23	151	151	+0	open	—	11-10 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$23	38	0	+38	Down	$0	09-19 20:34
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	11-06 07:49
Will JW Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$22	35	35	+0	Yes	+$2	10-30 16:27
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	5	$22	64	64	+0	Yes	-$5	11-06 04:09
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$22	80	80	+0	open	—	11-06 06:41
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 04:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by March 31, 2027?	3	$21	40	40	+0	open	—	10-31 07:09
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$21	29	29	+0	Yes	+$11	10-27 01:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027?	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	11-01 07:41
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 23:37
Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	2	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	11-11 21:02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 09:59
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	$0	10-27 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:41:18	Will Cape Verde win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf24501…
11-13 16:39:19	Will Cape Verde win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa2df01…
11-13 16:13:51	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xc4222a…
11-13 16:13:51	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x3943d0…
11-13 16:13:34	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x501e1f…
11-13 14:09:21	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x28a6be…
11-13 12:34:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x6a1b4b…
11-13 12:18:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6b95df…
11-13 12:17:00	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x5451e0…
11-13 12:09:30	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xb1a565…
11-13 12:04:25	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7d51c8…
11-13 11:13:15	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x09241a…
11-13 11:11:28	Will Tim Cook join Trump at APEC in China?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x2286e6…
11-13 11:10:34	Will Tim Cook join Trump at APEC in China?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe09fb1…
11-13 11:10:22	Will Tim Cook join Trump at APEC in China?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x645b6c…
11-13 11:05:33	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xecfba1…
11-13 10:03:15	Will Tim Cook join Trump at APEC in China?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x78700e…
11-13 09:44:40	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x94c0ea…
11-13 07:31:51	Will Cade Mower come in third-place on The Voice season 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd374b9…
11-13 07:31:51	Will Cade Mower come in third-place on The Voice season 30?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x509e79…
11-13 07:31:51	Will Cade Mower come in third-place on The Voice season 30?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x26d391…
11-13 07:24:36	Will Cade Mower come in third-place on The Voice season 30?	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0x5cd073…
11-13 02:56:00	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8530fb…
11-13 02:32:58	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x85ce7c…
11-13 02:30:51	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xaa0bf7…
11-13 01:57:16	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$15	0x1ef643…
11-13 00:16:49	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3195bd…
11-13 00:15:42	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x97cfd7…
11-12 21:32:24	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xf74617…
11-12 18:43:52	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xc3b3dc…
11-12 18:31:09	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc91bbc…
11-12 18:30:36	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	39¢	$17	0x6544c0…
11-12 18:30:36	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x122f6e…
11-12 18:18:15	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc94380…
11-12 16:49:18	Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xd7f2ce…
11-12 16:49:18	Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x53e9de…
11-12 16:49:03	Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf80520…
11-12 16:25:21	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x9a7e6e…
11-12 16:10:58	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3d0be8…
11-12 16:05:00	Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x60a775…
11-12 16:02:36	Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x3782da…
11-12 15:51:10	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x532d67…
11-12 15:48:07	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x31cc20…
11-12 14:44:06	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xeda7f1…
11-12 14:44:06	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x26a23f…
11-12 14:42:49	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026?	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xd20db5…
11-12 14:33:54	Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5e5ba1…
11-12 12:38:04	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x488264…
11-12 12:07:43	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdf90f7…
11-12 11:26:36	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xde5b6c…
11-12 11:24:49	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x018299…
11-12 11:21:01	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x18f652…
11-12 10:02:10	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7d6c85…
11-12 10:01:58	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xf4bd02…
11-12 09:46:31	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x8c4a01…
11-12 08:56:28	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x128c96…
11-12 08:05:09	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd883be…
11-12 07:47:18	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0625ba…
11-12 07:47:12	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc6f96d…
11-12 07:47:09	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x8942a3…
11-12 07:42:30	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x9aec1d…
11-12 07:41:37	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x0ce70c…
11-12 04:45:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xeaa2bb…
11-12 04:44:49	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfc22aa…
11-12 03:42:13	Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8eed69…
11-12 02:11:54	Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3d5271…
11-11 22:15:22	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x49970c…
11-11 21:59:58	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x90da5b…
11-11 21:02:04	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x8592f2…
11-11 20:31:00	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xad1eec…
11-11 20:30:00	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x69c0e4…
11-11 20:29:46	Over $750k committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x7c971d…
11-11 18:55:07	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd52fff…
11-11 18:55:06	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xe5863e…
11-11 16:56:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe38a83…
11-11 16:56:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x91f12b…
11-11 16:54:34	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa70ba3…
11-11 16:37:45	Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x13ee5e…
11-11 16:34:37	Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcc3697…
11-11 15:14:46	Over $15M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xc6a557…
11-11 12:02:24	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf38337…
11-11 12:02:16	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x67608f…
11-11 12:02:15	Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xb372f7…
11-11 09:40:18	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x23b07c…
11-11 09:39:46	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x15155b…
11-11 06:49:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd976ac…
11-11 06:32:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x764936…
11-11 05:13:46	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x8dfd07…
11-11 05:13:30	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xb28dcc…
11-11 03:00:51	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xa5079c…
11-11 03:00:51	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x34e062…
11-11 03:00:49	Will Rome Odunze have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x640830…
11-11 02:40:48	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x31ae37…
11-11 02:37:57	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2bf07b…
11-11 02:29:36	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xd9cfb2…
11-11 02:29:34	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x73e88d…
11-11 02:25:10	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x4eaf78…
11-11 01:42:33	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xa0d5f1…
11-11 01:42:30	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd90ab…
11-10 22:58:37	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2d2326…