Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

1,207

Trades

3,135

lifetime

Volume

$219

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-05 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

79% 11% -$40

Politics

13% 28% +$2

Crypto

4% 3% -$5

Tech

4% 8% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 797 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes		+10	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	11-02 20:35
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes		+25	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-04 05:57
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+25	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	11-02 21:47
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	—	+25	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-04 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	9	$2	50	44	+6	No	+$1	11-04 07:39
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	13	$2	75	50	+25	open	—	11-03 20:16
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$1	50	25	+25	No	+$1	10-31 04:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 2?	8	$1	50	37	+13	No	+$1	11-02 13:40
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	8	$1	75	25	+50	open	—	11-04 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	10-30 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30?	4	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	10-30 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?	4	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	10-30 05:51
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	5	$1	50	25	+25	open	—	11-04 08:51
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?	5	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-04 03:40
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-07 House seat?	3	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-04 03:00
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 01:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-03 22:55
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 20, 2026?	3	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-03 01:45
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 04:23
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 9, 2026?	3	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-01 21:52
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-02 20:06
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	3	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-04 18:54
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	3	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 31?	5	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	10-31 17:15
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	9	$1	50	50	-0	open	—	11-04 06:07
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 6, 2026?	6	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-03 20:05
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat?	5	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 00:27
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	6	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 06:24
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	8	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 02:36
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	5	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-03 09:35
Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?	6	$1	25	25	+0	No	+$1	11-04 13:54
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	5	$1	25	25	+0	open	—	11-04 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	6	$1	25	23	+2	No	+$1	11-03 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:03:58	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x3241d5…
11-05 02:01:31	Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0fe204…
11-05 01:43:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xac4599…
11-05 01:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb5f697…
11-05 01:33:03	Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xcf01f4…
11-05 01:33:03	Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a8655…
11-05 01:16:10	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x82f0a9…
11-05 01:14:09	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x3d162b…
11-05 01:12:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xe71304…
11-05 01:11:51	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdcaea9…
11-05 01:11:51	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7f62fa…
11-05 01:11:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb1745d…
11-05 01:11:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x02ecac…
11-05 00:45:01	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2a9ed9…
11-05 00:23:39	Will India win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c65a7…
11-05 00:23:39	Will Nigeria win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x413c18…
11-05 00:23:39	Will Haiti win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1482b3…
11-05 00:23:39	Will Pakistan win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x02737f…
11-05 00:16:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x52e35b…
11-05 00:08:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa817bc…
11-05 00:06:13	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x3e66ba…
11-05 00:06:12	Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9e973d…
11-05 00:06:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x8f5cf8…
11-05 00:02:40	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xb31922…
11-05 00:01:28	Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x23810d…
11-04 23:57:30	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9d95c8…
11-04 23:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x6a2428…
11-04 23:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaea6af…
11-04 23:38:21	Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7f95ff…
11-04 23:38:21	Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x637003…
11-04 23:38:19	Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x668da6…
11-04 23:38:19	Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x056fb9…
11-04 22:59:06	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xbfa3f6…
11-04 22:43:58	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xff00f0…
11-04 22:43:58	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe57bc8…
11-04 22:42:16	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc9e106…
11-04 22:41:37	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ad231…
11-04 22:41:37	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x495ff4…
11-04 22:41:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8bb9ed…
11-04 22:41:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3a4eee…
11-04 22:38:19	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfcaf6a…
11-04 22:38:19	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd9cc54…
11-04 22:34:46	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde66c9…
11-04 22:34:46	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b39d2…
11-04 22:34:46	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x180f9d…
11-04 22:34:46	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x02a525…
11-04 22:28:10	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x964e9b…
11-04 22:01:31	Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9690de…
11-04 21:53:09	Will Revolut have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xfc98c1…
11-04 21:52:55	Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2d11c1…
11-04 21:52:45	Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd3d325…
11-04 21:25:49	Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xfabd46…
11-04 20:55:24	Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x3f549a…
11-04 20:55:22	Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xd12393…
11-04 20:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xebb737…
11-04 20:42:49	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x94e588…
11-04 20:32:48	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x54db55…
11-04 20:32:48	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0a5521…
11-04 20:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2e38f9…
11-04 20:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x21948e…
11-04 20:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcf1d4b…
11-04 20:27:55	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4dce5a…
11-04 20:19:42	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9fa2f7…
11-04 20:06:52	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa95562…
11-04 20:06:52	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x182cfc…
11-04 19:48:40	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7c529e…
11-04 19:29:42	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe7ceb5…
11-04 19:28:46	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1b0956…
11-04 19:06:04	Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa687e4…
11-04 19:05:01	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x66aa02…
11-04 18:54:34	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8bf364…
11-04 18:32:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf6f303…
11-04 18:32:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x6e45cb…
11-04 18:29:54	Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb926d6…
11-04 18:29:54	Will Xiaomi have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa5a10f…
11-04 18:29:54	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7817f3…
11-04 18:09:37	Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x0d47be…
11-04 17:50:54	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xfe1874…
11-04 17:12:01	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x760f6b…
11-04 17:11:31	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4a4fe7…
11-04 16:53:01	Pete Buttigieg Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xfeace1…
11-04 16:50:37	Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf8faab…
11-04 16:50:37	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcc68ba…
11-04 16:48:37	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf0c285…
11-04 16:48:37	Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x05a5e0…
11-04 16:35:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x77a1aa…
11-04 16:27:48	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe9cd0b…
11-04 16:27:48	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x1a1dcf…
11-04 15:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x5f1c50…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfce9bd…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Revolut have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xde013e…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Canva have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc4d97d…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbfb1b1…
11-04 15:43:43	Will ByteDance have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xa8c9b9…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6b8234…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x47a6c7…
11-04 15:43:43	Will ByteDance have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2c9c23…
11-04 15:43:43	Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x18b3e1…
11-04 15:43:30	Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb8acc1…
11-04 15:43:30	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9fc46d…