Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
33.1%
Resolved
64
Trades
4,498
lifetime
Volume
$94.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$295
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
59% 20% $-184
Politics
20% 60% +$60
Sports
17% 0% $-0
Crypto
3% 100% +$1
Tech
2% 100% +$11
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +103 $103 89¢ $91 $-12 07-05 02:44
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +42 $39 95¢ $40 +$1 07-03 00:22
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -34 $-28 78¢ $-27 +$2 06-01 18:16
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +22 $21 82¢ $18 $-3 06-12 10:35
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +21 $22 75¢ $16 $-6 06-18 20:36
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +20 $8 77¢ $16 +$7 06-02 05:09
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes -40 $-18 36¢ $-14 +$4 06-07 13:52
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +13 $12 90¢ $11 $-1 06-14 12:40
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? Yes -16 $-2 43¢ $-7 $-5 06-01 02:11
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes -91 $-10 $-6 +$4 06-02 21:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +22 $16 24¢ $5 $-11 07-02 11:16
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 64¢ $5 $-0 06-08 10:51
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $9 25¢ $5 $-4 06-17 02:54
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -36 $-2 13¢ $-5 $-2 06-02 21:21
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +21 $8 18¢ $4 $-4 06-12 03:54
Benedict Wong as Wong? No -20 $-4 18¢ $-4 +$0 06-02 11:06
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? No -7 $-1 44¢ $-3 $-2 06-01 20:36
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 $-0 06-13 07:15
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? Yes -12 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 06-13 01:02
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +52 $2 $2 $-0 07-04 00:17
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $2 51¢ $2 $-1 06-17 20:43
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $4 50¢ $2 $-3 06-24 13:08
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 78.5 -5 $-2 28¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 14:41
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -36 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-08 13:38
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $2 96¢ $1 $-1 07-04 20:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-29 16:32
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-14 18:50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-16 17:34
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $12 95¢ $1 $-11 07-02 23:38
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? No +1 $8 45¢ $1 $-8 06-28 20:45