Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
33.1%
Resolved
64
Trades
1,835
lifetime
Volume
$50.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$151
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
65% 20% $-184
Politics
24% 60% +$60
Sports
6% 0% $-0
Crypto
3% 100% +$1
Tech
1% 100% +$11
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July? No +50 $32 56¢ $28 $-4 06-12 17:24
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -34 $-28 82¢ $-28 +$1 06-01 18:16
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +22 $21 68¢ $15 $-6 06-12 10:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +37 $13 36¢ $13 $-0 06-13 06:29
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? Yes -40 $-18 29¢ $-11 +$7 06-07 13:52
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes -91 $-10 $-8 +$1 06-02 21:29
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +20 $8 34¢ $7 $-1 06-02 05:09
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +21 $8 32¢ $7 $-1 06-12 03:54
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 60¢ $5 $-0 06-08 10:51
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? Yes +52 $22 $4 $-18 06-12 16:23
Benedict Wong as Wong? No -20 $-4 20¢ $-4 $-0 06-02 11:06
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? Yes -16 $-2 24¢ $-4 $-2 06-01 02:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -36 $-2 11¢ $-4 $-2 06-02 21:21
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? Yes -12 $-3 26¢ $-3 +$0 06-13 01:02
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No -10 $-3 26¢ $-3 +$0 06-13 07:15
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? Yes +21 $9 12¢ $3 $-6 06-01 22:32
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? No -7 $-1 17¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 20:36
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -36 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-08 13:38
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-12 11:05
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-12 11:23
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +2 $0 12¢ $0 $-0 06-02 05:44
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? No +1 $-0 16¢ $0 +$0 06-04 04:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 10:21