Realized P&L
-$755
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
1,669
Trades
9,957
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$422
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-12 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
69% 35% -$419
Politics
13% 41% -$99
Sports
10% 56% -$115
Crypto
5% 32% -$55
Tech
3% 32% -$69
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puka Nacua have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +70 $18 31¢ $22 +$4 11-09 23:04
Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $5 48¢ $19 +$15 11-08 18:44
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +40 $9 45¢ $18 +$9 11-12 02:02
Will C.J. Stroud have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $17 43¢ $17 +$0 11-09 11:03
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $7 41¢ $16 +$10 11-11 11:55
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +40 $6 40¢ $16 +$10 11-08 11:31
Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? Yes +40 $5 40¢ $16 +$11 11-12 16:53
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting? Yes +40 $8 40¢ $16 +$8 11-07 19:07
Will Jacob Fowler win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? Yes +40 $4 39¢ $16 +$11 11-10 16:12
Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027? Yes +86 $8 18¢ $15 +$7 11-06 15:45
Will Puka Nacua have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $5 38¢ $15 +$10 11-09 23:02
Will Michael Wilson have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $6 19¢ $15 +$8 11-09 21:34
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +29 $9 50¢ $14 +$6 11-09 15:52
Will Puka Nacua have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +35 $7 40¢ $14 +$7 11-12 10:50
Will Hadash support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence? Yes +40 $7 34¢ $14 +$7 11-11 05:43
Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +37 $6 36¢ $13 +$7 11-11 07:08
Will Will Anderson Jr. have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $14 33¢ $13 -$1 11-08 23:24
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $5 32¢ $13 +$8 11-12 05:39
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +40 $8 32¢ $13 +$5 11-11 15:30
Will Jonathan Truong qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? Yes +70 $16 18¢ $13 -$3 11-09 15:41
Will CASHCAT reach $0.25 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 35¢ $13 +$8 11-10 15:50
Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? Yes +36 $8 32¢ $12 +$3 10-29 13:02
Will Hy4 debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $10 30¢ $12 +$2 11-10 17:15
Will Bayer Leverkusen score the most goals in the UEL league phase? Yes +70 $12 16¢ $12 -$1 11-05 23:14
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown? Yes +40 $12 29¢ $11 -$1 11-08 08:40
Will James Cook have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $15 29¢ $11 -$3 10-30 07:47
Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? No +75 $10 15¢ $11 +$1 11-12 05:31
Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31? Yes +28 $2 40¢ $11 +$9 11-12 12:00
Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $7 26¢ $11 +$4 11-11 21:23
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026? Yes +40 $7 26¢ $10 +$3 11-04 06:29