Realized P&L
-$734
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
1,648
Trades
9,836
lifetime
Volume
$26.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$459
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-11 11:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
69% 35% -$423
Politics
13% 42% -$98
Sports
10% 56% -$115
Crypto
5% 33% -$38
Tech
3% 32% -$63
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026? No +80 $18 36¢ $29 +$11 11-10 15:50
Will Hy4 debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $10 53¢ $21 +$12 11-10 17:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? No +40 $13 52¢ $21 +$8 11-05 23:29
Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $5 48¢ $19 +$15 11-08 18:44
Will Puka Nacua have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +70 $18 26¢ $18 $0 11-09 23:04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? No +70 $17 26¢ $18 +$1 11-11 02:45
Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31? Yes +40 $7 40¢ $16 +$9 11-09 02:26
Will Bucky Irving finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +40 $6 40¢ $16 +$10 11-08 11:31
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting? Yes +40 $8 40¢ $16 +$8 11-07 19:07
Will Jacob Fowler win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? Yes +40 $4 39¢ $16 +$11 11-10 16:12
Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027? Yes +86 $8 18¢ $15 +$7 11-06 15:45
Will Puka Nacua have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $5 38¢ $15 +$10 11-09 23:02
Will Michael Wilson have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $6 19¢ $15 +$8 11-09 21:34
Will Breece Hall have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $12 37¢ $15 +$2 11-09 00:44
Will Hadash support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence? Yes +40 $7 37¢ $15 +$8 11-11 05:43
Will C.J. Stroud have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $17 37¢ $15 -$2 11-09 11:03
Will Michael Wilson have 524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $0 37¢ $15 +$15 11-10 22:41
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +29 $9 50¢ $14 +$6 11-09 15:52
Will Josh Downs have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $11 34¢ $14 +$3 11-10 07:43
Will GV San José be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB? No +40 $10 34¢ $14 +$3 11-10 13:38
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? Yes — +40 $7 34¢ $13 +$7 11-11 11:55
Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +37 $6 36¢ $13 +$7 11-11 07:08
Will Will Anderson Jr. have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $14 33¢ $13 -$1 11-08 23:24
Will Jonathan Truong qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? Yes +70 $16 18¢ $13 -$3 11-09 15:41
Will CASHCAT reach $0.25 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 35¢ $13 +$8 11-10 15:50
Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +40 $12 30¢ $12 +$0 11-04 05:34
Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? Yes +36 $8 32¢ $12 +$3 10-29 13:02
Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? No +40 $6 30¢ $12 +$5 11-10 04:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the Nevada Democratic primary? Yes +40 $10 29¢ $12 +$2 11-10 14:43
Will Bayer Leverkusen score the most goals in the UEL league phase? Yes +70 $12 16¢ $12 -$1 11-05 23:14