Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
open
Total volume
$100
$63 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$106
Latest YES mid
60¢
Latest NO mid
40¢
End date
2026-02-28
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-23 09:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $2 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $9 | $16 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $-9 | $14 | 6 | 07-05 20:17 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | +4 | $-2 | $3 | 2 | 07-17 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe83c…0d7f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf88c…a126 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 23:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 09:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x0851…e119 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x66ca75… |
| 07-23 09:00:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x66ca75… |
| 07-23 05:27:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x64d045… |
| 07-23 05:27:13 | (anonymous) 0xe83c…0d7f | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x64d045… |
| 07-17 20:17:40 | Elliptical-Singular 0xb5a1…c09d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd5f136… |
| 07-17 20:17:40 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xd5f136… |
| 07-05 20:17:44 | Deep-Spending 0xbe6e…acf1 | No | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b5ec6… |
| 07-05 20:17:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b5ec6… |
| 07-04 19:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x9e06…447d | No | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0448cb… |
| 07-04 19:46:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0448cb… |
| 07-04 19:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0448cb… |
| 07-04 19:46:23 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0448cb… |
| 07-01 11:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x9f2cb6… |
| 07-01 11:41:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x9f2cb6… |
| 07-01 11:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x9e06…447d | No | BUY | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0x9f2cb6… |
| 07-01 01:05:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x046547… |
| 07-01 01:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x046547… |
| 07-01 01:05:32 | Productive-Sovereignty 0x1697…d711 | No | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x046547… |
| 07-01 01:05:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x046547… |
| 07-01 01:05:26 | Electric-Interpretation 0x8f13…daae | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9bcf39… |
| 07-01 01:05:26 | Productive-Sovereignty 0x1697…d711 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x9bcf39… |
| 06-23 21:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xb036…eea3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4eb09e… |
| 06-23 21:52:02 | Electric-Interpretation 0x8f13…daae | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x4eb09e… |
| 06-23 19:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xf070…339f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x037982… |
| 06-23 19:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x037982… |
| 06-23 09:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xb036…eea3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1f0fbc… |
| 06-23 09:11:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1f0fbc… |
| 06-19 19:54:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9fb767… |
| 06-19 19:54:59 | Whopping-Rostrum-Vitamin 0x60a0…6b55 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9fb767… |
| 06-06 23:17:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xd9ab06… |
| 06-06 23:17:10 | (anonymous) 0xf88c…a126 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xd9ab06… |
| 06-01 21:02:24 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xbe80fc… |
| 06-01 21:02:24 | Electric-Interpretation 0x8f13…daae | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xbe80fc… |