Realized P&L
-$599
Unrealized P&L
+$778
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
118
Trades
74,281
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$851
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
66% 39% $-1,422
Sports
14% 45% +$829
Politics
12% 50% $-6
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 710 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -274 $-259 95¢ $-260 $-1 07-10 15:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +464 $29 48¢ $225 +$196 07-21 20:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +96 $83 92¢ $88 +$4 07-20 21:11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +277 $61 16¢ $46 $-15 07-21 05:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -119 $-115 37¢ $-44 +$71 07-13 20:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +476 $48 $40 $-8 07-20 21:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -907 $-264 $-39 +$226 06-25 09:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +47 $-164 52¢ $24 +$188 07-21 20:26
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +203 $28 $17 $-11 06-05 23:49
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -237 $-21 $-17 +$4 07-01 00:51
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +70 $-11 22¢ $16 +$27 07-02 15:00
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +107 $9 10¢ $11 +$2 07-21 04:57
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? No -20 $-15 38¢ $-8 +$7 07-01 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +299 $11 $7 $-4 07-19 23:20
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +77 $2 $5 +$3 07-21 04:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-11 02:29
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? Yes -43 $-11 $-2 +$9 06-10 20:44
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +1 $-1 85¢ $1 +$1 07-09 21:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -0 $-5 98¢ $-0 +$5 07-16 19:36
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1 $-75 63¢ $0 +$75 07-13 16:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 73¢ $0 $-1 06-26 06:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-2 27¢ $0 +$2 06-23 17:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -1 $5 $-0 $-5 07-20 02:51