Realized P&L
+$8.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$469
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
6,199
Trades
100,271
lifetime
Volume
$2.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
68% 38% -$4,973
Politics
14% 48% +$7,766
Sports
12% 44% +$6,652
Crypto
4% 32% +$119
Tech
1% 33% -$311
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$279
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 354 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -538 -$261 80¢ $-433 -$172 07-13 16:40
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +673 $216 44¢ $300 +$84 10-20 21:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +294 $95 99¢ $290 +$195 10-21 00:55
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -284 -$270 97¢ $-275 -$5 06-03 02:22
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +807 $294 32¢ $254 -$40 10-20 21:45
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,199 $263 20¢ $234 -$29 10-07 19:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -219 -$212 96¢ $-210 +$2 09-21 22:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +289 $166 68¢ $198 +$32 09-25 23:07
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +1,199 $234 15¢ $180 -$54 10-26 21:58
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +287 $250 60¢ $172 -$77 10-24 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +226 $73 70¢ $157 +$84 10-07 14:33
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +102 $95 96¢ $98 +$3 10-22 02:51
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +300 $93 32¢ $94 +$2 10-20 21:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +285 $85 28¢ $78 -$7 10-19 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +250 $111 31¢ $78 -$33 10-18 18:46
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +317 $56 20¢ $62 +$6 09-17 20:51
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -299 -$105 12¢ $-37 +$68 09-16 15:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +278 $71 12¢ $35 -$36 09-15 07:43
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? No +42 $31 74¢ $31 +$0 10-22 00:02
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -238 -$94 11¢ $-25 +$69 09-22 12:07
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$90 4¢ $-20 +$70 05-16 07:50
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +464 $65 4¢ $19 -$46 06-19 00:06
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +92 -$80 14¢ $13 +$93 08-16 14:27
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -182 -$125 7¢ $-12 +$113 06-23 17:40
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -237 -$21 4¢ $-10 +$11 07-01 00:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +267 -$94 4¢ $10 +$104 10-20 15:12
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +42 $1 11¢ $5 +$4 10-24 11:44
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes -254 -$12 2¢ $-4 +$8 04-28 14:11
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +2 -$18 80¢ $1 +$20 10-09 08:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2 $0 88¢ $1 +$1 09-01 11:13