Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Yes won
Total volume
$2,584,971
Trades
12,351
Unique wallets
2,177
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-01-24
last 02-02 07:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 96% YES on $883.0K
vs crowd: 92% YES on $1.92M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 121 | $1.50M | $52.3K | +$1.45M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 206 | $163.6K | $64.6K | +$99.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 473 | $78.1K | $24.6K | +$53.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,377 | $16.4K | $14.2K | +$2.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 131 | $849.1K | $33.9K | +$815.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 143 | $77.0K | $9.3K | +$67.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 100 | $5.2K | $1.3K | +$3.9K |
| Median | 383 | $26.3K | $839 | +$25.5K |
| Below median | 908 | $65.1K | $6.8K | +$58.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 196 | $7.3K | $7.2K | +$75 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 197 | $21.5K | $13.2K | +$8.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 119 | $709.6K | $83.3K | +$626.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitiful-Patience 0xe899…0899 | Yes | +268,626 | $267,743 | $267,743 | 63 | 02-02 01:37 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +125,239 | $123,848 | $133,704 | 201 | 02-01 21:03 |
| Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | +113,967 | $95,030 | $95,030 | 33 | 02-02 06:40 |
| Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | +106,790 | $106,383 | $470,544 | 533 | 02-02 07:14 |
| Suspicious-Aid 0xc254…3f73 | Yes | +98,644 | $98,473 | $98,473 | 28 | 02-01 18:58 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +81,509 | $70,952 | $71,541 | 151 | 02-02 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x59cd…92d2 | Yes | +65,361 | $65,296 | $65,296 | 1 | 02-01 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c59…ab67 | No | +61,245 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 02-02 01:52 |
| Mild-Lecture 0xb03b…6ca1 | Yes | +54,211 | $54,152 | $66,730 | 7 | 02-02 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x05e2…6e12 | Yes | +52,040 | $50,416 | $55,609 | 6 | 01-31 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d95…937b | No | +50,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 02-01 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc02b…ab4f | No | +50,000 | $50 | $50 | 29 | 02-01 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1829…1165 | No | +49,882 | $749 | $749 | 1 | 01-31 14:14 |
| Brief-Beet 0x8a81…58b0 | No | +48,974 | -$32 | $293 | 103 | 02-02 01:56 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +45,901 | $4,862 | $4,862 | 66 | 02-01 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2b1…d1a2 | No | +45,890 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 02-02 04:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfb2…1430 | No | +32,159 | $14,973 | $16,496 | 28 | 01-30 15:07 |
| Sparkling-Commonsense 0x96b5…f5e7 | Yes | +30,565 | $30,363 | $30,363 | 52 | 02-01 13:56 |
| quakeroats - 20404 0x5400…1342 | No | +30,468 | $81 | $81 | 4 | 02-01 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f03…ec48 | No | +26,578 | $68 | $68 | 4 | 02-01 17:02 |
| Arid-Grade 0xeb74…fad6 | Yes | +26,116 | $26,090 | $26,090 | 4 | 02-02 02:39 |
| Moral-Dhow 0x3c5b…0584 | No | +25,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 02-01 20:22 |
| Innocent-Mini 0xe5db…f982 | No | +24,825 | $83 | $83 | 12 | 02-01 21:47 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +21,006 | $18,081 | $18,081 | 37 | 01-31 01:29 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | Yes | +20,828 | $20,794 | $20,794 | 13 | 02-02 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd748…2125 | Yes | +20,000 | -$4,146 | $88,948 | 18 | 01-31 05:06 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +18,145 | $10,189 | $14,655 | 52 | 01-31 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7950…1d42 | No | +16,916 | $3,069 | $3,069 | 7 | 01-30 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ed3…0527 | No | +16,500 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 02-01 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x59bc…3d81 | No | +16,000 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 02-01 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x79bf…96a8 | No | +16,000 | $6,720 | $6,720 | 1 | 01-30 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0875…646b | No | +15,000 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 02-02 01:37 |
| Thirsty-Deficit 0x090c…4dee | No | +14,610 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 02-01 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x01f3…bf0f | No | +14,480 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 02-02 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2d…8ae7 | No | +14,012 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 02-02 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf26…319b | No | +13,608 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 01-31 23:17 |
| Fair-Housing 0xa800…bd7a | Yes | +12,970 | $11,358 | $11,358 | 10 | 01-31 05:05 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +12,559 | $12,157 | $22,846 | 47 | 02-01 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa32d…c8d1 | No | +12,000 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 02-02 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x486b…783d | No | +12,000 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 02-01 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xabe9…00b8 | No | +12,000 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 02-02 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8374…9149 | No | +11,430 | $3,951 | $3,951 | 27 | 01-31 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…56dd | No | +10,907 | $115 | $115 | 26 | 02-01 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | +10,672 | $10,640 | $10,640 | 11 | 02-02 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d5a…1c78 | No | +10,392 | $87 | $87 | 5 | 02-01 20:50 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +10,000 | $9,900 | $9,900 | 31 | 01-31 20:18 |
| Compassionate-Debt 0xd85d…e660 | No | +10,000 | $40 | $80 | 3 | 02-01 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c7c…252e | No | +10,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 02-02 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x16f8…d711 | No | +10,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 02-01 18:29 |
| Flashy-Bid 0xc408…4675 | Yes | +9,875 | $9,845 | $9,845 | 6 | 02-01 23:28 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +8,292 | $8,276 | $8,276 | 2 | 02-01 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8374…9149 | Yes | +8,196 | $4,747 | $4,747 | 21 | 01-30 21:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf933…8a76 | Yes | +5,481 | $3,640 | $4,054 | 19 | 01-30 18:17 |
| Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf2…a469 | Yes | +5,450 | $3,714 | $3,714 | 12 | 01-29 04:40 |
| Same-Kidney 0xdaef…54e9 | Yes | +4,399 | $1,695 | $1,695 | 3 | 01-29 21:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 07:14:04 | Digital-Repair 0xb4a7…809b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9fcfc1… |
| 02-02 07:14:04 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x9fcfc1… |
| 02-02 07:10:52 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9dbcc7… |
| 02-02 07:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x64fd…c6e6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9dbcc7… |
| 02-02 07:00:38 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 214 | 100¢ | $214 | 0x5ba506… |
| 02-02 07:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xd118…37a3 | Yes | SELL | 214 | 100¢ | $214 | 0x5ba506… |
| 02-02 06:58:30 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xc88acd… |
| 02-02 06:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x5588…2a46 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc88acd… |
| 02-02 06:53:52 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 4,026 | 100¢ | $4,022 | 0x4084cb… |
| 02-02 06:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xa32d…c8d1 | No | BUY | 12,000 | 0¢ | $12 | 0x4084cb… |
| 02-02 06:41:24 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x57efff… |
| 02-02 06:41:24 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x57efff… |
| 02-02 06:40:30 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 2,025 | 100¢ | $2,022 | 0x22cf84… |
| 02-02 06:40:30 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 3,429 | 100¢ | $3,426 | 0x22cf84… |
| 02-02 06:40:30 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22cf84… |
| 02-02 06:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x6340…53e3 | Yes | BUY | 1,536 | 100¢ | $1,535 | 0x22cf84… |
| 02-02 06:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xabe9…00b8 | No | BUY | 7,000 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x22cf84… |
| 02-02 06:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x5c18…fadb | Yes | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf665db… |
| 02-02 06:40:24 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xf665db… |
| 02-02 06:05:10 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3624a7… |
| 02-02 06:05:10 | Straight-Maize 0xb02e…8533 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3624a7… |
| 02-02 06:05:02 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xa84227… |
| 02-02 06:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x2fff…a496 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa84227… |
| 02-02 05:02:34 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 5,552 | 100¢ | $5,546 | 0x05cde1… |
| 02-02 05:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x3c7c…252e | No | BUY | 10,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x05cde1… |
| 02-02 04:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x1cd2…9d43 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x836c02… |
| 02-02 04:56:10 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x836c02… |
| 02-02 04:42:20 | (anonymous) 0xde54…beac | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x45dc2e… |
| 02-02 04:42:20 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x45dc2e… |
| 02-02 04:41:22 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x131d5f… |
| 02-02 04:41:22 | (anonymous) 0x9424…13aa | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x131d5f… |
| 02-02 04:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x798d…1b76 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xf6c1c8… |
| 02-02 04:41:04 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0xf6c1c8… |
| 02-02 04:36:58 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 740 | 100¢ | $739 | 0x0dcc1b… |
| 02-02 04:36:58 | Mild-Lecture 0xb03b…6ca1 | Yes | SELL | 740 | 100¢ | $739 | 0x0dcc1b… |
| 02-02 04:13:26 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xae896a… |
| 02-02 04:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x7e5b…06e8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xae896a… |
| 02-02 04:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xa2b1…d1a2 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xcb450b… |
| 02-02 04:11:12 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 100¢ | $2,997 | 0xcb450b… |
| 02-02 04:07:50 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x51722c… |
| 02-02 04:07:50 | (anonymous) 0x3f90…cc98 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x51722c… |
| 02-02 03:52:20 | Scornful-Guacamole 0x1f7a…1d90 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x435ba3… |
| 02-02 03:52:20 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x435ba3… |
| 02-02 03:48:26 | Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | Yes | BUY | 5,767 | 100¢ | $5,762 | 0x060400… |
| 02-02 03:48:26 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 100¢ | $9,990 | 0x060400… |
| 02-02 03:48:26 | Outstanding-Quit 0x6caf…2799 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x060400… |
| 02-02 03:48:26 | (anonymous) 0xa2b1…d1a2 | No | BUY | 42,890 | 0¢ | $43 | 0x060400… |
| 02-02 03:12:04 | Outstanding-Quit 0x6caf…2799 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x69a2de… |
| 02-02 03:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xa704…b01e | No | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x69a2de… |
| 02-02 03:06:48 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 100¢ | $2,495 | 0xdf554c… |
| 02-02 03:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x2b94…473e | No | BUY | 2,500 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xdf554c… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | Muted-Overhead 0x7623…2ccc | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | (anonymous) 0xef2d…8ae7 | No | BUY | 9,012 | 0¢ | $10 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:49:18 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 988 | 100¢ | $986 | 0xf10711… |
| 02-02 02:41:28 | Big-Whey 0x2b49…244f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9c9c5b… |
| 02-02 02:41:28 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9c9c5b… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 3,367 | 100¢ | $3,363 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | Big-Whey 0x2b49…244f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | Minty-Contagion 0x6528…94bb | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x01f3…bf0f | No | BUY | 14,480 | 0¢ | $14 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | Arid-Grade 0xeb74…fad6 | Yes | BUY | 9,103 | 100¢ | $9,094 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:39:50 | Favorite-Signal 0x595b…8b54 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3a42c4… |
| 02-02 02:35:42 | Arid-Grade 0xeb74…fad6 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x738ab7… |
| 02-02 02:35:42 | Next-Catastrophe 0x755a…9748 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x738ab7… |
| 02-02 02:18:30 | Arid-Grade 0xeb74…fad6 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x949fb6… |
| 02-02 02:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x8191…669d | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x949fb6… |
| 02-02 02:16:00 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 22,681 | 100¢ | $22,658 | 0xe30dbf… |
| 02-02 02:16:00 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | BUY | 22,681 | 100¢ | $22,658 | 0xe30dbf… |
| 02-02 02:15:46 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x67e085… |
| 02-02 02:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x67e085… |
| 02-02 02:15:20 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x960b16… |
| 02-02 02:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x960b16… |
| 02-02 02:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2fdf5f… |
| 02-02 02:15:10 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2fdf5f… |
| 02-02 02:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc5dbb2… |
| 02-02 02:15:04 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc5dbb2… |
| 02-02 02:15:00 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb71430… |
| 02-02 02:15:00 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb71430… |
| 02-02 02:14:56 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc03be4… |
| 02-02 02:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xc03be4… |
| 02-02 02:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd304a1… |
| 02-02 02:14:52 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd304a1… |
| 02-02 02:14:48 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x742efe… |
| 02-02 02:14:48 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x742efe… |
| 02-02 02:14:44 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x617d90… |
| 02-02 02:14:44 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x617d90… |
| 02-02 02:14:40 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe7e089… |
| 02-02 02:14:40 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe7e089… |
| 02-02 02:14:36 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x90b39e… |
| 02-02 02:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x90b39e… |
| 02-02 02:14:32 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd11738… |
| 02-02 02:14:32 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd11738… |
| 02-02 02:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x277316… |
| 02-02 02:14:28 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x277316… |
| 02-02 02:14:24 | Unwieldy-Billing 0x1521…f23e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2b2e9a… |
| 02-02 02:14:24 | (anonymous) 0xf0e0…a72a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2b2e9a… |